NFL · resolved market
Spread: 49ers (-4.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8c676e7251d005614520c3d8203ba6bdfe6b9a4fb706db760d5890ce04f23500
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 49ersof 49ers, Browns
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $583,775
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $837,932
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $583,775 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Browns | 48c | 270,587$129,882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129,881.65 | 865 | 47.9%414 W · 451 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…936fbacked 49ers | 52c | 250,000$130,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120,000 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3850…c4b4backed 49ers | 52c | 28,000$14,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,520 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Browns | 48c | 12,223$5,858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,858.08 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Browns | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,900 | 129 | 44.2%57 W · 72 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68df…4815backed 49ers | 52c | 9,718$5,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,701.58 | 181 | 56.9%103 W · 78 L | +11.8wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Browns | 49c | 8,668$4,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,240.76 | 204 | 43.6%89 W · 115 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed 49ers | 51c | 6,000$3,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,940 | 257 | 44.4%114 W · 143 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked 49ers | 51c | 6,000$3,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,940 | 513 | 52.2%268 W · 245 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed 49ers | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 265 | 47.2%125 W · 140 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1589…2171backed 49ers | 52c | 2,692$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,292.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Browns | 48c | 2,577$1,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,236.67 | 758 | 52.5%398 W · 360 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec0…f7aabacked Browns | 49c | 2,109$1,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,031.29 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +29%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Browns | 48c | 2,094$1,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,005.33 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x827a…8a2bbacked Browns | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 155 | 55.5%86 W · 69 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…f5b6backed Browns | 49c | 1,551$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760 | 123 | 43.1%53 W · 70 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x007b…adc6backed 49ers | 53c | 1,462$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682.34 | 136 | 41.9%57 W · 79 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed 49ers | 52c | 1,424$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$683.35 | 169 | 55%93 W · 76 L | +15.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbb00…42e9backed 49ers | 52c | 1,200$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1388…339abacked 49ers | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 101 | 42.6%43 W · 58 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed 49ers | 52c | 940.5$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.46 | 650 | 48.3%314 W · 336 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked 49ers | 52c | 930$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.21 | 770 | 52.7%406 W · 364 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaabc…a190backed Browns | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed 49ers | 51c | 600.94$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.85 | 175 | 47.4%83 W · 92 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed 49ers | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.92 | 163 | 51.5%84 W · 79 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa61d…df1abacked 49ers | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.92 | 105 | 55.2%58 W · 47 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Browns | 45c | 540$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243 | 106 | 50.9%54 W · 52 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d6…34e3backed Browns | 47c | 525.25$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.87 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Browns | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 236 | 47%111 W · 125 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb98b…7e18backed 49ers | 53c | 400$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188 | 278 | 35.3%98 W · 180 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed 49ers | 52c | 400$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 136 | 41.2%56 W · 80 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66ba…621fbacked 49ers | 52c | 400$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x631e…f0acbacked Browns | 49c | 313.35$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.54 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.8wins | -0.40per pick | 54cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked 49ers | 50c | 294.04$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.02 | 568 | 52.3%297 W · 271 L | +26.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf931…8897backed Browns | 50c | 294.04$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.02 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5b3…9279backed 49ers | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.46 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef54…c997backed 49ers | 52c | 260$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.8 | 105 | 48.6%51 W · 54 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Browns | 48c | 228.43$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.93 | 834 | 47.1%393 W · 441 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Browns | 49c | 210$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.4 | 203 | 54.7%111 W · 92 L | +11.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b80…657fbacked Browns | 48c | 208$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.84 | 157 | 46.5%73 W · 84 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7fb…56cabacked 49ers | 52c | 204.58$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.2 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Browns | 48c | 202$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.24 | 230 | 24.3%56 W · 174 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x769d…4004backed 49ers | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7bf…b567backed 49ers | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 120 | 39.2%47 W · 73 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed 49ers | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x183a…d514backed 49ers | 52c | 182.46$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.05 | 143 | 55.2%79 W · 64 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50bb…9aa6backed 49ers | 52c | 175$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed 49ers | 52c | 173.08$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.08 | 280 | 47.5%133 W · 147 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Browns | 47c | 155.49$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.08 | 414 | 50.5%209 W · 205 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a25…c24dbacked 49ers | 52c | 153.85$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.85 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaad6…8b65backed 49ers | 53c | 146.36$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.79 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Browns | 48c | 140.39$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.39 | 544 | 51.7%281 W · 263 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked 49ers | 51c | 133.01$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.18 | 1,065 | 51.3%546 W · 519 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed 49ers | 52c | 110$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.8 | 182 | 45.6%83 W · 99 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd547…5ed7backed 49ers | 47c | 110$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.3 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Browns | 48c | 105$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 553 | 45%249 W · 304 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Browns | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 594 | 53.7%319 W · 275 L | +24.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8c…e115backed 49ers | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…ccfabacked Browns | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa496…9eccbacked 49ers | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5384…7408backed 49ers | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66fe…e123backed 49ers | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 104 | 54.8%57 W · 47 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x591a…aec2backed 49ers | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe87f…9d9bbacked Browns | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cd…37a1backed 49ers | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaf…4f6bbacked 49ers | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 38cpaid | -76%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2549…91f5backed 49ers | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe43b…f955backed 49ers | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7415…fae8backed Browns | 49c | 92.63$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.39 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Browns | 53c | 83.4$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.2 | 736 | 51.2%377 W · 359 L | +25.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32f8…a7d2backed 49ers | 53c | 82.13$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.6 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3552…f07bbacked 49ers | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.43 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4748…1d93backed 49ers | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.92 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…129ebacked 49ers | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.92 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce34…63f7backed 49ers | 52c | 75$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe44b…6e0abacked 49ers | 52c | 70$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 169 | 40.8%69 W · 100 L | -7.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4eaa…44eebacked Browns | 49c | 62.45$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb78d…835dbacked 49ers | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 220 | 53.2%117 W · 103 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05af…8f0fbacked 49ers | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +69.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e7a…0f0ebacked 49ers | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd52d…412dbacked 49ers | 53c | 41.51$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.51 | 121 | 41.3%50 W · 71 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb6…a2fcbacked 49ers | 52c | 40.38$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.38 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f9…2aa8backed 49ers | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 290 | 59.7%173 W · 117 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf9d…3ea9backed 49ers | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 266 | 60.9%162 W · 104 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e3…6548backed 49ers | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…71ddbacked 49ers | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 177 | 41.8%74 W · 103 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed 49ers | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 600 | 49.3%296 W · 304 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef34…1d61backed 49ers | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 141 | 58.9%83 W · 58 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77e1…8dd6backed 49ers | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Browns | 49c | 27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 363 | 41.9%152 W · 211 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfea3…c0c3backed 49ers | 52c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: 49ers (-4.5)this page
- 49ers vs. Browns49ers won
- 49ers vs. Browns: 1H Moneyline49ers won
- 49ers vs. Browns: O/U 34.5Under won
- 49ers vs. Browns: O/U 35.5Under won
- 49ers vs. Browns: O/U 36.5Under won
- 49ers vs. Browns: O/U 39.5Under won
- 49ers vs. Browns: O/U 40.5Under won
- Spread: 49ers (-5.5)49ers won
- Spread: 49ers (-6.5)49ers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.