College Football · resolved market
UCF vs. BYU
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0c6fe5e3549a61946fb9216ca8b4f4c6fd5e6e37429d45cc24d4f40202bf0405
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BYUof UCF, BYU
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $121,541
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $126,941
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $121,541 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x04b9…cdaabacked UCF | 10c | 22,082$2,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,208.24 | 157 | 45.2%71 W · 86 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed UCF | 10c | 21,460$2,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,145.99 | 162 | 34%55 W · 107 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x387c…57b3backed UCF | 28c | 17,799$4,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,997.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked UCF | 14c | 9,813$1,332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,332.02 | 588 | 50.2%295 W · 293 L | +23.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked BYU | 73c | 7,278$5,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,975.4 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed BYU | 73c | 5,000$3,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350 | 198 | 42.9%85 W · 113 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb123…0a15backed UCF | 10c | 3,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0306…dcf6backed BYU | 69c | 2,937$2,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$906.37 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed UCF | 22c | 2,177$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.55 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed UCF | 1c | 2,165$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.74 | 69 | 4.3%3 W · 66 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked UCF | 10c | 2,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 224 | 37.5%84 W · 140 L | -17.3wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed UCF | 10c | 2,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa9…1351backed UCF | 11c | 1,940$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed UCF | 11c | 1,691$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.73 | 542 | 43.2%234 W · 308 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87a1…21a1backed UCF | 10c | 1,630$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked UCF | 9c | 1,500$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.99 | 134 | 17.2%23 W · 111 L | -8.3wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed UCF | 10c | 1,402$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.16 | 659 | 45.2%298 W · 361 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked UCF | 9c | 1,132$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.9 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked UCF | 9c | 1,125$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.25 | 485 | 46.8%227 W · 258 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd3…d057backed UCF | 12c | 993.01$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 40 | 22.5%9 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24db…1332backed UCF | 15c | 849.38$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.76 | 60 | 23.3%14 W · 46 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c54…da75backed BYU | 76c | 778.79$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.24 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed UCF | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 568 | 44.5%253 W · 315 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f44…bc79backed UCF | 15c | 499.99$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1015…3f81backed UCF | 13c | 356.67$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd40…73a2backed UCF | 10c | 324.2$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.42 | 112 | 21.4%24 W · 88 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9827…e5ffbacked UCF | 10c | 315.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.6 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab20…6a35backed UCF | 12c | 270.17$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.22 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…570cbacked UCF | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a4…caf5backed UCF | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 47 | 6.4%3 W · 44 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -67.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x954b…eb22backed BYU | 61c | 200$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed UCF | 11c | 182$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 244 | 36.9%90 W · 154 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f9f…c934backed UCF | 11c | 162.58$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.88 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf4…00fbbacked UCF | 12c | 160$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +42%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7acb…8c1dbacked UCF | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked UCF | 11c | 150$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 184 | 16.8%31 W · 153 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed UCF | 10c | 149$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed UCF | 10c | 142$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 280 | 32.9%92 W · 188 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0d4…658fbacked BYU | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf3…e0d1backed BYU | 61c | 118.93$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.38 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked UCF | 10c | 110$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 124 | 33.1%41 W · 83 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f82…eea9backed UCF | 14c | 107.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed UCF | 10c | 101.68$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.17 | 269 | 40.5%109 W · 160 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaed…f6a0backed UCF | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a6…2ab9backed UCF | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe30e…4eedbacked UCF | 16c | 63.75$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 52 | 23.1%12 W · 40 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc20…d468backed UCF | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3475…eea8backed UCF | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95da…60b4backed UCF | 39c | 40.66$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1f…4eebbacked BYU | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 107 | 57.9%62 W · 45 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UCF vs. BYUthis page
- Spread: BYU (-17.5)BYU won
- Spread: BYU (-18.5)BYU won
- UCF vs. BYU: O/U 46.5Over won
- UCF vs. BYU: O/U 47.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.