College Football · resolved market
Kentucky vs. Louisville
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc3a67fb84d6b650f456a168766ddc33ea3f1c59c6191279efbff74ce7de3fee7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Louisvilleof Kentucky, Louisville
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $311,858
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $344,574
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $311,858 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 185 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0140…9028backed Kentucky | 49c | 53,000$25,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,970 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Louisville | 51c | 50,000$25,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,500 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5922…3388backed Louisville | 54c | 49,915$27,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,907.52 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Louisville | 58c | 43,416$25,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,415.87 | 193 | 62.2%120 W · 73 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Kentucky | 43c | 33,943$14,723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,722.8 | 162 | 34%55 W · 107 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Kentucky | 46c | 19,401$8,893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,892.78 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb78…5206backed Kentucky | 45c | 18,394$8,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,200 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd38b…5029backed Kentucky | 50c | 11,249$5,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,624.64 | 327 | 45.6%149 W · 178 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Louisville | 55c | 10,320$5,676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,643.8 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Louisville | 53c | 10,000$5,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,700 | 272 | 46%125 W · 147 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c6f…89b9backed Louisville | 56c | 9,735$5,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,317.39 | 98 | 44.9%44 W · 54 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Kentucky | 46c | 9,485$4,327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,327.4 | 524 | 49.4%259 W · 265 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Kentucky | 45c | 9,312$4,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,200.8 | 292 | 49%143 W · 149 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Louisville | 53c | 6,000$3,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,819.98 | 381 | 42.5%162 W · 219 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Kentucky | 52c | 4,909$2,534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,534.46 | 399 | 54.1%216 W · 183 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Louisville | 67c | 4,460$2,988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,471.67 | 262 | 44.3%116 W · 146 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Kentucky | 34c | 3,843$1,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,316.44 | 385 | 46%177 W · 208 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Kentucky | 45c | 2,795$1,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,244.83 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad71…4c93backed Louisville | 56c | 2,685$1,504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,181.4 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +142.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa08f…87f3backed Kentucky | 44c | 2,685$1,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,181.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Louisville | 50c | 2,500$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250 | 174 | 43.7%76 W · 98 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Louisville | 56c | 2,473$1,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,088.22 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Kentucky | 22c | 2,445$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.85 | 139 | 33.1%46 W · 93 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -45%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Kentucky | 44c | 2,307$1,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,016.8 | 384 | 50.5%194 W · 190 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a38…8fb5backed Kentucky | 45c | 2,222$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Kentucky | 51c | 2,085$1,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,063.6 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…f62dbacked Kentucky | 48c | 2,065$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d3…02e4backed Kentucky | 49c | 2,044$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd30…e95ebacked Louisville | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.85 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +62%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4be4…c601backed Kentucky | 47c | 1,809$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed Kentucky | 43c | 1,800$777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777.38 | 345 | 29.9%103 W · 242 L | -21.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d48…2ddebacked Louisville | 56c | 1,786$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4696…a507backed Kentucky | 45c | 1,733$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Louisville | 55c | 1,356$746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.05 | 494 | 43.7%216 W · 278 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd40…73a2backed Kentucky | 6c | 1,291$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 112 | 21.4%24 W · 88 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Louisville | 73c | 1,181$863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.9 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Louisville | 56c | 1,178$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.39 | 78 | 30.8%24 W · 54 L | -8.3wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4335…fc2fbacked Kentucky | 49c | 1,121$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.5 | 120 | 55%66 W · 54 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Louisville | 50c | 1,007$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.61 | 485 | 46.8%227 W · 258 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5f…d795backed Louisville | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Kentucky | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Kentucky | 45c | 921$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.39 | 402 | 44.8%180 W · 222 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Kentucky | 45c | 918$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.1 | 492 | 53.5%263 W · 229 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…937abacked Kentucky | 36c | 863.78$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Louisville | 68c | 768.05$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.88 | 553 | 50.3%278 W · 275 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…bd86backed Kentucky | 44c | 700$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -4.6wins | -0.22per pick | 41cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Louisville | 52c | 684.38$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.3 | 659 | 45.2%298 W · 361 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97cc…96cbbacked Kentucky | 47c | 681.25$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x627d…a89dbacked Kentucky | 47c | 644.69$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Louisville | 52c | 636.88$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.85 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd31…e149backed Louisville | 52c | 623.56$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x673d…e736backed Louisville | 52c | 608.57$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1abf…8fecbacked Louisville | 52c | 597.75$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x927e…a5e3backed Louisville | 52c | 570.26$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x791f…e365backed Kentucky | 47c | 553.11$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf44…95d2backed Kentucky | 47c | 550.32$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dcc…dfe2backed Louisville | 52c | 538.06$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f91…b8cbbacked Louisville | 53c | 537.26$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa567…8d12backed Kentucky | 47c | 523.54$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Kentucky | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 132 | 42.4%56 W · 76 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x834b…60e0backed Louisville | 55c | 500$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x356f…6254backed Kentucky | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd24f…849ebacked Louisville | 50c | 495.23$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.23 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Louisville | 49c | 492.18$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.02 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Louisville | 52c | 490.24$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.32 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe08a…f88fbacked Kentucky | 43c | 456.63$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.35 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.19per pick | 36cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24db…1332backed Kentucky | 30c | 436.55$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 60 | 23.3%14 W · 46 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Louisville | 57c | 385.27$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.67 | 503 | 58.1%292 W · 211 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Kentucky | 28c | 324.11$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.39 | 269 | 39.8%107 W · 162 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Louisville | 78c | 320$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.6 | 405 | 41.2%167 W · 238 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…b1b1backed Kentucky | 48c | 312.5$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Louisville | 65c | 308.86$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.16 | 588 | 50.2%295 W · 293 L | +23.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76fc…e0bdbacked Louisville | 55c | 300$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.5 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Louisville | 51c | 300$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 142 | 54.9%78 W · 64 L | +12.3wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Louisville | 77c | 289$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.69 | 571 | 44.7%255 W · 316 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Louisville | 53c | 281.42$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.92 | 284 | 40.8%116 W · 168 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3458…b5a7backed Louisville | 73c | 273.97$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.97 | 106 | 64.2%68 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafa0…d41bbacked Kentucky | 47c | 258.19$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Louisville | 67c | 256.22$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.24 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Kentucky | 45c | 254.6$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.02 | 280 | 32.9%92 W · 188 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdde2…db05backed Kentucky | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +60.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2e…dde1backed Louisville | 57c | 222$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.46 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00db…80dabacked Kentucky | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf85a…ff0ebacked Louisville | 54c | 203.7$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +83.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0cd…7d96backed Kentucky | 47c | 202.13$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Louisville | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 76 | 60.5%46 W · 30 L | +6.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x40d2…312fbacked Louisville | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x789e…fd45backed Kentucky | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf091…0ab8backed Louisville | 56c | 189$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddaf…0f6cbacked Louisville | 56c | 188$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5419…97d1backed Kentucky | 44c | 188$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…ced7backed Kentucky | 44c | 187$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e31…23e4backed Kentucky | 44c | 187$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa164…bc93backed Kentucky | 45c | 186$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7746…b5f0backed Louisville | 56c | 186$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2719…8159backed Louisville | 56c | 185$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Kentucky | 46c | 183.94$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.61 | 220 | 30.5%67 W · 153 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Kentucky | 43c | 178.41$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.71 | 183 | 38.8%71 W · 112 L | -12.3wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51b8…1df6backed Louisville | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Kentucky | 40c | 163.64$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kentucky vs. Louisvillethis page
- Kentucky vs. Louisville: O/U 46.5Under won
- O/U 47.5Under won
- Spread: Louisville (-1.5)Louisville won
- Spread: Louisville (-2.5)Louisville won
- Spread: Louisville (-3.5)Louisville won
- Spread: Louisville (-4.5)Louisville won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.