La Liga · resolved market
Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Real Oviedo: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8f41f604876cbac0312e63509e9a15264f79e3083dd3a68be5b6f4ff5ef29e44
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,109
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,441
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,109 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4958…a146backed Yes | 47c | 10,490$4,930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,559.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59e1…d3bbbacked No | 53c | 7,547$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,999.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 52c | 4,004$2,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,062.08 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 48c | 3,143$1,507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,636.29 | 265 | 50.9%135 W · 130 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6c…8f4ebacked No | 53c | 2,543$1,348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,347.7 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d1…0139backed No | 53c | 2,518$1,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,334.55 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5565…6448backed Yes | 47c | 2,358$1,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,249.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x197b…a6b0backed Yes | 47c | 2,158$1,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,143.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d8f…2999backed No | 53c | 1,998$1,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,058.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b3c…0de9backed Yes | 62c | 1,700$1,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6da…2b66backed No | 3c | 1,500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 64 | 12.5%8 W · 56 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 9cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 52c | 1,481$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$769.91 | 504 | 49.8%251 W · 253 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Yes | 37c | 1,132$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$716.17 | 117 | 36.8%43 W · 74 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed No | 53c | 803.32$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.76 | 428 | 51.4%220 W · 208 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05a2…468cbacked No | 52c | 799.96$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.98 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x838a…add1backed Yes | 63c | 715.42$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.27 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 52c | 458.64$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.49 | 201 | 59.2%119 W · 82 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 39c | 419.88$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.98 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 35c | 367.18$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.51 | 616 | 57.8%356 W · 260 L | +42.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0100…9babbacked Yes | 42c | 358.59$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.59 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27ac…188dbacked No | 59c | 325.69$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.16 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -5.4wins | -0.22per pick | 60cpaid | -41%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes | 46c | 252.91$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.38 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Yes | 48c | 252.43$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.43 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1415backed Yes | 58c | 250$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 45 | 80%36 W · 9 L | +6.8wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +27%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x12e8…2cecbacked No | 6c | 217.77$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.07 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 9cpaid | +83.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e46…e394backed Yes | 48c | 207.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.41 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked No | 64c | 188$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.32 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked No | 53c | 180$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.4 | 116 | 36.2%42 W · 74 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…edcabacked Yes | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb96c…6cc6backed No | 54c | 141$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.67 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -4.9wins | -0.11per pick | 60cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2961…cfcfbacked Yes | 46c | 126.09$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.09 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Yes | 48c | 125$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Yes | 45c | 101.43$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.79 | 317 | 45.7%145 W · 172 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7205…3377backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 46c | 97.1$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.56 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked No | 64c | 94$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.16 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a3…bce8backed Yes | 46c | 92.98$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.21 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 63c | 90.3$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.45 | 284 | 46.5%132 W · 152 L | -16.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed No | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 174 | 55.2%96 W · 78 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51bb…a919backed Yes | 53c | 84.35$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.35 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd69e…3393backed Yes | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked No | 46c | 78.85$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.27 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Yes | 43c | 78.85$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.94 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a73…c2e5backed Yes | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 247 | 57.5%142 W · 105 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7e…6be6backed Yes | 27c | 75.19$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.19 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed No | 60c | 72.54$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.56 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae6f…8a1bbacked Yes | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 54c | 60.81$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.98 | 572 | 52.1%298 W · 274 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed No | 53c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3999…c2bbbacked No | 54c | 59.26$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9651…0488backed No | 63c | 53.62$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.55 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacae…41adbacked Yes | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed No | 56c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 100 | 63%63 W · 37 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 255 | 51.4%131 W · 124 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed No | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 140 | 28.6%40 W · 100 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43a1…2425backed No | 51c | 44.41$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.65 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed No | 35c | 43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.05 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b34…b202backed No | 52c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 140 | 44.3%62 W · 78 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65c5…0ec9backed Yes | 60c | 39.9$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8a…c8d6backed Yes | 46c | 35.12$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 44c | 34.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 1,508 | 38.7%583 W · 925 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b4e…f997backed No | 55c | 32.65$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Yes | 44c | 32.6$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.26 | 922 | 54.1%499 W · 423 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e5…c638backed Yes | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Yes | 46c | 30.4$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x381a…0ed5backed No | 55c | 28.9$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x429e…890abacked Yes | 46c | 26.43$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41f3…7a51backed No | 56c | 18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Real Oviedo: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 1.5Over won
- Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 2.5Over won
- Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 3.5Over won
- Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.