South American Leagues · resolved market
SC Internacional vs. Associação Chapecoense de Futebol: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6967d1161f0047d14f66630a464b476fdc16ad3b6e023bdf4d1b674921e1e234
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,887
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,887 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 65c | 1,544$1,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.21 | 8,175 | 48.7%3,980 W · 4,195 L | +27.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Yes | 32c | 1,249$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.38 | 140 | 22.1%31 W · 109 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 36c | 849.15$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.16 | 465 | 30.3%141 W · 324 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb0…2ccebacked No | 71c | 700$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 47c | 433.27$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203 | 391 | 27.1%106 W · 285 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes | 35c | 196.49$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.12 | 282 | 31.6%89 W · 193 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98e0…bf01backed No | 73c | 195.71$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.99 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -3.4wins | -0.23per pick | 69cpaid | -37%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 57c | 182.94$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.53 | 5,821 | 45.4%2,642 W · 3,179 L | +97.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe937…d46abacked Yes | 42c | 180$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3d…fd74backed No | 66c | 113.59$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.86 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 62c | 111.77$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 2,175 | 43.6%948 W · 1,227 L | -56.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972f…65bdbacked No | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 132 | 57.6%76 W · 56 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1160…b054backed Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Yes | 29c | 56.33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.19 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 56c | 51.22$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.29 | 3,807 | 38.4%1,463 W · 2,344 L | -29.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x700a…58a5backed Yes | 33c | 40.9$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.47 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 70c | 27.54$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.19 | 477 | 56%267 W · 210 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x550d…f1ffbacked No | 65c | 16.92$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.92 | 109 | 64.2%70 W · 39 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SC Internacional vs. Associação Chapecoense de Futebol: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- SC Internacional vs. Associação Chapecoense de Futebol: O/U 1.5Over won
- SC Internacional vs. Associação Chapecoense de Futebol: O/U 2.5Under won
- SC Internacional vs. Associação Chapecoense de Futebol: O/U 3.5Under won
- SC Internacional vs. Associação Chapecoense de Futebol: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Associação Chapecoense de Futebol (-1.5)SC Internacional won
- Spread: Associação Chapecoense de Futebol (-2.5)SC Internacional won
- Spread: SC Internacional (-1.5)SC Internacional won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.