TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

SC Internacional vs. Associação Chapecoense de Futebol: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$113,023

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $113,023 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 114 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0792…b778backed Under66c73,918$48,779 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,138.43742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-19.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2a4…cf8abacked Over35c37,481$13,044 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,044.063151.6%16 W · 15 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee17…b46ebacked Under65c30,510$19,832 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,678.532100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+73.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over31c11,162$3,456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,456.218,11248.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L+27.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked Over34c7,550$2,567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5675736.8%21 W · 36 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid+49.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over34c7,000$2,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,3808153.1%43 W · 38 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Over34c5,285$1,797 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,796.98643%37 W · 49 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-4.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xea00…c1f1backed Over34c3,500$1,190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1905259.6%31 W · 21 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over32c2,988$962 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$961.695,76245.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L+94.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Over34c2,500$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8503652.8%19 W · 17 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c16…8bfabacked Over34c2,295$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$780.3633.3%2 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick16cpaid+1,597%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over34c2,195$745 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$745.412,38851.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L-9.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cc9…f0b3backed Over25c2,017$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001735.3%6 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick32cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed Over34c1,788$608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607.9222457.1%128 W · 96 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Over32c1,749$562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$562.0114022.1%31 W · 109 L-8.6wins-0.06per pick28cpaid-29.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfec0…aeb9backed Over34c1,741$592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$591.944153.7%22 W · 19 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over34c1,500$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51011459.6%68 W · 46 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a39…a189backed Over34c1,500$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5102245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-22.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x40d0…4415backed Over34c1,275$434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$433.512757.5%73 W · 54 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf469…dcaabacked Over34c1,053$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.27540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-23.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x897e…4153backed Over34c764.71$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc39…1564backed Over34c500$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1704656.5%26 W · 20 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over34c500$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1704153.7%22 W · 19 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xffea…5f0abacked Over37c379$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.232642.3%11 W · 15 L-2.4wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-15.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3c9b…a556backed Under67c373.13$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.132100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Over33c359.27$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.564953.1%26 W · 23 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over34c300$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10239853%211 W · 187 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb86f…da81backed Over34c291.76$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.21136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Over27c286.87$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.8728231.6%89 W · 193 L-10.8wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-20.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Over34c250$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8519460.3%117 W · 77 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over34c250$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8512761.4%78 W · 49 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Over34c200$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$683951.3%20 W · 19 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Over34c200$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$687554.7%41 W · 34 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Over30c180$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5433745.4%153 W · 184 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Under70c180$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5455155%303 W · 248 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7583…0469backed Over34c176.47$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Over34c175$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.55160.8%31 W · 20 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Over34c175$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.57856.4%44 W · 34 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Over34c150$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$513151.6%16 W · 15 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Over34c150$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$517153.5%38 W · 33 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Over34c150$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512850%14 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Over34c140$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.66558.5%38 W · 27 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd49b…abffbacked Over34c135.29$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461827.8%5 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-48%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Over34c130.38$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.3335758%207 W · 150 L+17.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+22.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x04b4…8d0bbacked Over34c127.82$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.464353.5%23 W · 20 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x341b…b92cbacked Over34c127.3$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.891450%7 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Over34c125$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.54654.3%25 W · 21 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Over34c125$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.517960.3%108 W · 71 L+8.5wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Over34c125$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.56962.3%43 W · 26 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked Over34c120$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.83348.5%16 W · 17 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Over34c120$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.87055.7%39 W · 31 L+0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over34c120$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.813557%77 W · 58 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over24c116.67$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2844939.2%176 W · 273 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc16f…0f4fbacked Over34c109$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.065752.6%30 W · 27 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-11.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa494…4a1fbacked Over34c105$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.715359.5%91 W · 62 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Over34c100$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345250%26 W · 26 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Over34c100$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346453.1%34 W · 30 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Over34c100$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343948.7%19 W · 20 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Over34c100$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345151%26 W · 25 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Over34c100$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345350.9%27 W · 26 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Over34c100$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345556.4%31 W · 24 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Over34c100$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344050%20 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Over34c100$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346162.3%38 W · 23 L+4.2wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Over34c100$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345453.7%29 W · 25 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe601…c728backed Over34c100$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347058.6%41 W · 29 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Over34c100$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344353.5%23 W · 20 L-0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b82…2d2abacked Over34c100$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342955.2%16 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Over34c97.77$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.249953.5%53 W · 46 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c2d…2570backed Over34c90$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.62748.1%13 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed Over34c86.74$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.4913050.8%66 W · 64 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over35c86$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.12,61454.2%1,416 W · 1,198 L+25.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3eff…ae12backed Over34c83.41$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.369759.8%58 W · 39 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e9a…a9a8backed Under64c77.43$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.8711963.9%76 W · 43 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked Over34c75$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.53050%15 W · 15 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1941…c47fbacked Over34c75$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.52853.6%15 W · 13 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa204…e66fbacked Over34c75$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.52951.7%15 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcba6…bb05backed Under71c73.91$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.293748.6%18 W · 19 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0e72…54f0backed Over34c73.53$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258263.4%52 W · 30 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4148…4397backed Over28c71.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203852.6%20 W · 18 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef40…b116backed Over35c71$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.8520%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed Over34c70$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.88045%36 W · 44 L-7.2wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-23.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe6df…22a9backed Over34c70$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.85151%26 W · 25 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Over36c69$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.8417143.9%75 W · 96 L-9.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe013…1ddcbacked Over34c62.49$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.254252.4%22 W · 20 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c4c…dc70backed Over34c61$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.742360.9%14 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x96f4…8081backed Over34c60$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.42857.1%16 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Over34c60$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.19854.1%53 W · 45 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Over34c58.73$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9727053%143 W · 127 L+8.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x700a…58a5backed Over23c58.5$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.444228.6%12 W · 30 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-27.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaf60…79c5backed Over34c58.29$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.822254.5%12 W · 10 L+2.6wins+0.12per pick43cpaid+17.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over32c56.96$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.342,17343.6%948 W · 1,225 L-55.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-19.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdf3d…fd74backed Over34c56.47$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.23751.4%19 W · 18 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb5a…2faabacked Over34c56.03$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.05333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.28per pick62cpaid-56.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over19c55.88$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8331355.6%174 W · 139 L+24.8wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+16.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xeb01…2783backed Over34c55$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.73151.6%16 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3afe…fbbdbacked Over32c51.73$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d61…d43cbacked Over34c50$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172951.7%15 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9adf…3f2fbacked Over34c50$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172454.2%13 W · 11 L-0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf99a…5487backed Over34c50$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172646.2%12 W · 14 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-20.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe9ea…810abacked Over34c50$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174052.5%21 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.