TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

SC Internacional vs. Associação Chapecoense de Futebol: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$98,587

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $98,587 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0792…b778backed Under41c30,816$12,652 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,163.63742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-19.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12b9…3ec2backed Over47c15,000$7,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,05030841.2%127 W · 181 L+9.5wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Over58c7,060$4,095 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,094.7231349.8%156 W · 157 L+13.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over59c4,027$2,376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,375.6637851.3%194 W · 184 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over68c3,661$2,507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,507.265,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea00…c1f1backed Over59c3,500$2,065 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0655259.6%31 W · 21 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under49c3,466$1,714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,751.368,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under43c3,183$1,376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,806.812,17043.7%948 W · 1,222 L-53.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Over59c2,500$1,475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4753652.8%19 W · 17 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over50c2,316$1,158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,15817146.2%79 W · 92 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed Over59c1,788$1,055 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,054.9222457.1%128 W · 96 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over59c1,500$885 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88511459.6%68 W · 46 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a39…a189backed Over59c1,500$885 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8852245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-22.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x40d0…4415backed Over59c1,275$752 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$752.2512757.5%73 W · 54 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over58c1,245$727 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$726.653,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Over69c1,168$806 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$805.79850%4 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-15.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c80…93b5backed Over46c1,087$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50015945.9%73 W · 86 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e5a…154cbacked Over53c943.4$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50021839.4%86 W · 132 L-9.5wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over66c849.63$564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$563.772,38851.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L-9.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Over59c793$464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$464.4318742.2%79 W · 108 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-13.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over59c700$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41339853%211 W · 187 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Over59c627.12$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3701942.1%8 W · 11 L-2.5wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-26.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xcc39…1564backed Over59c500$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2954656.5%26 W · 20 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over59c500$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2954153.7%22 W · 19 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Over60c499.6$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.9114022.1%31 W · 109 L-8.6wins-0.06per pick28cpaid-29.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5fb4…90f3backed Under42c476.19$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.194261.9%26 W · 16 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+17.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd06f…0263backed Over45c446.17$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.991656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over73c412.64$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.647756%267 W · 210 L+9.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xffea…5f0abacked Over59c374.1$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.672642.3%11 W · 15 L-2.4wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-15.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Over59c300$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.53151.6%16 W · 15 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Over59c300$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.52850%14 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Over59c250$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.519460.3%117 W · 77 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over59c250$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.512761.4%78 W · 49 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under44c250$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1402,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf3d…fd74backed Over68c228.22$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.83751.4%19 W · 18 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Over59c200$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1183951.3%20 W · 19 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c0e…4838backed Under55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90580%4 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.39per pick41cpaid+75.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under44c190$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.41,35549.7%674 W · 681 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Under49c180$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.855155%303 W · 248 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Over59c175$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.255160.8%31 W · 20 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Over59c175$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.257856.4%44 W · 34 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3454…333bbacked Over59c169.47$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.993345.5%15 W · 18 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Over51c160.39$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.833745.4%153 W · 184 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x883c…474dbacked Over65c153.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.29per pick43cpaid-67.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf800…bdbabacked Over59c150$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.521837.6%82 W · 136 L-12.0wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-10.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Over59c150$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.57153.5%38 W · 33 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over59c149.83$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.450746.7%237 W · 270 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90df…a209backed Over59c147.17$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.835052%26 W · 24 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Over59c140$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.66558.5%38 W · 27 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Over69c138.37$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.7335758%207 W · 150 L+17.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+22.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Over59c125$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.754654.3%25 W · 21 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Over59c125$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.7517960.3%108 W · 71 L+8.5wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Over59c125$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.756962.3%43 W · 26 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under45c125$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.751,65150.6%836 W · 815 L-4.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked Over59c120$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.83348.5%16 W · 17 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Over59c120$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.87055.7%39 W · 31 L+0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over59c120$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.813557%77 W · 58 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53fa…83f9backed Over59c113.85$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.555062%31 W · 19 L+6.3wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+15.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5cd9…51d0backed Over45c110.87$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5013833.3%46 W · 92 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc16f…0f4fbacked Over59c109$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.315752.6%30 W · 27 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-11.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x576c…f218backed Over57c107.71$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.417066.5%113 W · 57 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+0.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa494…4a1fbacked Over59c105$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.9515359.5%91 W · 62 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed Over59c101.7$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607745.5%35 W · 42 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Over59c100$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$595250%26 W · 26 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Over59c100$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$596453.1%34 W · 30 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Over59c100$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$593948.7%19 W · 20 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Over59c100$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$595151%26 W · 25 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Over59c100$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$595350.9%27 W · 26 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Over59c100$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$595556.4%31 W · 24 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Over59c100$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$594050%20 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Over59c100$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$596162.3%38 W · 23 L+4.2wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over54c100$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5483642.9%359 W · 477 L-3.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Over59c100$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$595453.7%29 W · 25 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe601…c728backed Over59c100$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$597058.6%41 W · 29 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Over59c100$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$594353.5%23 W · 20 L-0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b82…2d2abacked Over59c100$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$592955.2%16 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Over55c90$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.7817436.2%63 W · 111 L-9.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0c2d…2570backed Over59c90$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.12748.1%13 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over59c84.09$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5035958.8%211 W · 148 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over33c79.82$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.4185220.7%176 W · 676 L-85.2wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-52.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked Over59c75$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.253050%15 W · 15 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1941…c47fbacked Over59c75$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.252853.6%15 W · 13 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa204…e66fbacked Over59c75$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.252951.7%15 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe3f8…4d2abacked Under55c72.73$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.731883.3%15 W · 3 L+3.5wins+0.19per pick64cpaid+28.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over64c70.31$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4544939.2%176 W · 273 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed Over59c70$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.38045%36 W · 44 L-7.2wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-23.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe6df…22a9backed Over59c70$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.35151%26 W · 25 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1093…d547backed Under62c64.52$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.52250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe013…1ddcbacked Over59c62.5$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.884252.4%22 W · 20 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c4c…dc70backed Over59c61$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.992360.9%14 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x96f4…8081backed Over59c60$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.42857.1%16 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb01…2783backed Over59c55$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.453151.6%16 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a68…22dfbacked Under30c54.07$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.856415.6%10 W · 54 L-4.9wins-0.08per pick23cpaid-25.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa146…1d57backed Over74c52.87$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.31154.5%6 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.17per pick72cpaid-26.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1f68…4132backed Under43c50.2$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.611338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-28.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d61…d43cbacked Over59c50$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.52951.7%15 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9adf…3f2fbacked Over59c50$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.52454.2%13 W · 11 L-0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf99a…5487backed Over59c50$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.52646.2%12 W · 14 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-20.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe9ea…810abacked Over59c50$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.54052.5%21 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over59c50$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.57742.9%33 W · 44 L-6.4wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-25%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.