NBA · resolved market
Spread: Clippers (-7.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4d06eac98b822c5d6be23337b1b4e9b778a01233fb563a634f2447fc09ef98c5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mavericksof Clippers, Mavericks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $495,416
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $495,416 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 211 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Clippers | 49c | 120,205$58,976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58,975.53 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Mavericks | 51c | 108,468$55,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52,931.74 | 431 | 48.7%210 W · 221 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf11…8399backed Clippers | 35c | 56,754$19,957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,956.78 | 375 | 39.5%148 W · 227 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Clippers | 35c | 40,315$14,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,101.54 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed Mavericks | 52c | 25,338$13,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,162.24 | 293 | 51.5%151 W · 142 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Mavericks | 61c | 23,117$14,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,956.89 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Mavericks | 67c | 22,500$15,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,425 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8230…5121backed Clippers | 4c | 20,555$822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$822.2 | 208 | 37.5%78 W · 130 L | +38.2wins | +0.18per pick | 19cpaid | +115.2%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc0…4429backed Mavericks | 50c | 18,023$9,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,921.53 | 483 | 43.7%211 W · 272 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Clippers | 50c | 16,284$8,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,061.92 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Mavericks | 50c | 9,958$4,979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,979.45 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Clippers | 50c | 9,727$4,863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,863.41 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Mavericks | 50c | 8,955$4,478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,477.61 | 524 | 60.1%315 W · 209 L | +35.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a0…d84fbacked Clippers | 3c | 8,726$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.65 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72fa…249bbacked Clippers | 49c | 7,704$3,775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,775 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Clippers | 50c | 6,600$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,300 | 275 | 46.2%127 W · 148 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Mavericks | 50c | 6,547$3,274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,273.73 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Clippers | 50c | 6,106$3,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,053.05 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Mavericks | 52c | 6,000$3,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,880 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d11…c449backed Mavericks | 50c | 5,613$2,806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,806.28 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6f…2653backed Clippers | 49c | 5,449$2,670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,670 | 162 | 49.4%80 W · 82 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Clippers | 48c | 4,876$2,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,343.12 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Mavericks | 67c | 4,731$3,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,561.23 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…ac1cbacked Clippers | 3c | 4,688$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.64 | 240 | 44.6%107 W · 133 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Mavericks | 51c | 4,600$2,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,238 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e7…fef1backed Clippers | 3c | 4,569$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.64 | 90 | 46.7%42 W · 48 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…f001backed Clippers | 50c | 3,980$1,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,990 | 142 | 45.8%65 W · 77 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed Clippers | 50c | 3,755$1,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,860 | 219 | 43.4%95 W · 124 L | -12.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x144e…eca0backed Clippers | 49c | 3,537$1,738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,738 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Mavericks | 50c | 3,495$1,747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,747.99 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Clippers | 48c | 2,552$1,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,224.95 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…d748backed Mavericks | 57c | 2,500$1,423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,076.66 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Clippers | 2c | 2,184$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.89 | 602 | 50.5%304 W · 298 L | +14.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05c4…a4f2backed Clippers | 49c | 2,005$982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$982.45 | 120 | 45%54 W · 66 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Clippers | 46c | 1,677$777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$776.53 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3c…9e2dbacked Clippers | 2c | 1,616$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Mavericks | 65c | 1,538$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.46 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ac…2a18backed Mavericks | 51c | 1,532$781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750.78 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Mavericks | 52c | 1,267$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.08 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Clippers | 49c | 1,188$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.97 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Clippers | 43c | 1,023$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.01 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9385…2484backed Clippers | 48c | 1,014$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.91 | 93 | 52.7%49 W · 44 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Clippers | 49c | 1,002$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.98 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…69ebbacked Mavericks | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 629 | 48.6%306 W · 323 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47a6…69e0backed Clippers | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 387 | 50.4%195 W · 192 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ede…6c27backed Mavericks | 51c | 920.06$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.45 | 451 | 51.4%232 W · 219 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Clippers | 1c | 899.97$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 123 | 6.5%8 W · 115 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -89.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8566…c626backed Mavericks | 57c | 879.16$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.16 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97d3…8acebacked Clippers | 49c | 832$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.68 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -4.6wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce39…04d6backed Clippers | 47c | 821.3$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.01 | 378 | 42.9%162 W · 216 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Clippers | 46c | 719.98$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.25 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…e31fbacked Mavericks | 67c | 711$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.63 | 473 | 54.8%259 W · 214 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2eed…85a9backed Mavericks | 67c | 700$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231 | 314 | 55.1%173 W · 141 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Mavericks | 67c | 700$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231 | 956 | 51.5%492 W · 464 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Mavericks | 51c | 697$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.53 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Clippers | 49c | 653.06$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 874 | 53.3%466 W · 408 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Mavericks | 48c | 622.51$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.7 | 221 | 40.7%90 W · 131 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa182…03fabacked Clippers | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x973b…a912backed Mavericks | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Mavericks | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.92 | 653 | 49.9%326 W · 327 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Clippers | 48c | 565.34$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.79 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd10…3542backed Mavericks | 67c | 550.49$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.22 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Clippers | 49c | 539.42$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.04 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3860…0efcbacked Clippers | 50c | 507.36$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.68 | 129 | 50.4%65 W · 64 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Clippers | 48c | 491.12$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.04 | 389 | 46%179 W · 210 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Mavericks | 39c | 455.36$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.77 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4be…a13dbacked Clippers | 49c | 438.78$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -4.9wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6292…d254backed Clippers | 49c | 409.99$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.89 | 208 | 46.6%97 W · 111 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Clippers | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Mavericks | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 361 | 43.5%157 W · 204 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Clippers | 52c | 391.37$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.06 | 1,200 | 51.6%619 W · 581 L | +66.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…aa15backed Mavericks | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -5.2wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Clippers | 49c | 332.99$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.16 | 435 | 43.4%189 W · 246 L | -16.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Mavericks | 53c | 300.63$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.98 | 890 | 48.8%434 W · 456 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Clippers | 49c | 297$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.53 | 775 | 49.2%381 W · 394 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbbd…d6f0backed Clippers | 50c | 290$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Mavericks | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.46 | 634 | 47.5%301 W · 333 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d7…d31abacked Mavericks | 8c | 280$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258 | 216 | 40.3%87 W · 129 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Mavericks | 50c | 250$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x960e…77d6backed Mavericks | 50c | 250$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Clippers | 50c | 240$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.65 | 385 | 40.3%155 W · 230 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Clippers | 50c | 229$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.11 | 113 | 42.5%48 W · 65 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd420…df90backed Clippers | 48c | 208$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.84 | 514 | 51.9%267 W · 247 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Mavericks | 77c | 205.57$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.28 | 344 | 25.6%88 W · 256 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Clippers | 43c | 203.94$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.38 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Clippers | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Clippers | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 382 | 42.9%164 W · 218 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35d9…d520backed Clippers | 34c | 200$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.16per pick | 26cpaid | +70.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Mavericks | 51c | 199.99$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.04 | 950 | 47.2%448 W · 502 L | -28.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd62d…5992backed Clippers | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 378 | 52.9%200 W · 178 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f49…fec0backed Mavericks | 61c | 176.02$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.65 | 378 | 48.7%184 W · 194 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Mavericks | 51c | 169$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.81 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Mavericks | 44c | 168.76$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.32 | 1,170 | 50.3%588 W · 582 L | +46.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8de5…e8bbbacked Mavericks | 69c | 162.82$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.93 | 131 | 54.2%71 W · 60 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed Clippers | 45c | 162$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.26 | 236 | 49.2%116 W · 120 L | +28.6wins | +0.12per pick | 37cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Mavericks | 52c | 153.85$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.85 | 818 | 45.7%374 W · 444 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec38…ca10backed Clippers | 48c | 151$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.48 | 110 | 50.9%56 W · 54 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40d2…312fbacked Clippers | 49c | 150$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 288 | 52.1%150 W · 138 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5818…39e2backed Clippers | 49c | 150$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 139 | 50.4%70 W · 69 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77a7…bb11backed Clippers | 48c | 150$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Clippers (-7.5)this page
- Clippers vs. MavericksClippers won
- Clippers vs. Mavericks: 1H MoneylineMavericks won
- Clippers vs. Mavericks: 1H O/U 113.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Mavericks: 1H O/U 114.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Mavericks: O/U 232.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Mavericks: O/U 233.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Mavericks: O/U 234.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Mavericks: O/U 235.5Over won
- Darius Garland: Points O/U 19.5Yes won
- Kawhi Leonard: Points O/U 27.5Yes won
- Spread: Clippers (-6.5)Clippers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.