TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Clippers vs. Mavericks: O/U 234.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$353,348

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $353,348 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 269 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa729…9326backed Under52c52,800$27,456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,4564949%24 W · 25 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd76…00f4backed Over48c16,650$7,992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,658966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+39.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1579…a551backed Under52c16,085$8,364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,364.2666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+36.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x243b…cfccbacked Under52c13,661$7,104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,103.72757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+18%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4bfc…e319backed Under52c13,374$6,954 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,954.48666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+37.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1759…c01ebacked Under52c13,367$6,951 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,950.84771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick48cpaid+54.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xacb0…576dbacked Under52c9,742$5,066 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,065.84366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+43.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b8c…d55cbacked Over48c9,439$4,531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,908.285100%5 W · 0 L+2.4wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+95.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd913…2c5cbacked Under52c9,230$4,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,799.6366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+35.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ffd…db90backed Under52c9,160$4,763 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,763.2560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+18.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf089…ceb8backed Under52c8,771$4,561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,560.92366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+36.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1e1…35d6backed Under52c8,675$4,511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,511366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+40.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe327…f384backed Under52c8,510$4,425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,425.2366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+36.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f33…db5ebacked Under52c8,448$4,393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,392.96450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7fd0…fa64backed Under52c8,373$4,354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,353.96666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+42.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3d76…6229backed Under52c7,927$4,122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,122.04366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+35.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x82fb…be51backed Under52c7,758$4,034 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,034.16475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+47.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x111c…95ddbacked Under52c7,567$3,935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,934.84757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+19.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff6e…3800backed Under52c7,127$3,706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,706.04850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x987c…0bcdbacked Over48c6,450$3,096 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,354862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+28.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x32aa…105abacked Under52c6,125$3,185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,185850%4 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb54…cf14backed Under52c5,129$2,667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,667.08633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-28.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdda7…59f5backed Over48c4,998$2,399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,598.963100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+111.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf1de…4a84backed Under52c4,879$2,537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,537.08850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a9a…1f57backed Under52c4,800$2,496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,496366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+41.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x312d…0367backed Under52c4,712$2,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,450.24250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcadb…8b46backed Under52c4,708$2,448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,448.16250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8b5…3b13backed Under52c4,619$2,402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,401.88250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe1e0…5258backed Over48c4,430$2,126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,303.6785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.7wins+0.38per pick47cpaid+83.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5562…ab87backed Under52c4,423$2,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,299.96366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+42.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2cae…97e8backed Under52c4,417$2,297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,296.84250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x71b3…7c0cbacked Under52c4,245$2,207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,207.4450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf53f…b2a1backed Under52c4,236$2,203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,202.72475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+52.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb01a…e2f2backed Under52c4,179$2,173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,173.08450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5dc0…1987backed Under52c4,085$2,124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,124.2250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3181…958ebacked Under52c3,963$2,061 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,060.76366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+35.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Over50c3,565$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,764.852,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea61…fc6abacked Under52c3,469$1,804 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,803.88757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+19.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x984f…8024backed Over48c3,331$1,599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,732.12450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf58c…fd15backed Over48c3,331$1,599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,732.12250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x192e…a5e3backed Under52c3,212$1,670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,670.24850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c02…22a7backed Over48c3,123$1,499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,623.96333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5617…31acbacked Over48c2,949$1,416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,533.48250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb86…9efdbacked Under52c2,930$1,524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,523.6250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under53c2,803$1,474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,473.991,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcbcb…4bf9backed Under52c2,759$1,435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,434.6820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbe40…3b91backed Over48c2,740$1,315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,424.82100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick49cpaid+106.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Over49c2,620$1,284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,336.41,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20d2…a3d5backed Over48c2,556$1,227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,329.127100%7 W · 0 L+3.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+102.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x5aec…9505backed Over48c2,498$1,199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,298.96450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b56…5bdbbacked Over48c2,482$1,191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,290.64450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4aea…2adcbacked Over48c2,481$1,191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,290.12580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+60.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf5e7…7d3dbacked Over48c2,481$1,191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,290.12250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ed5…e873backed Under52c2,479$1,289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,289.08250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x596d…6c5fbacked Over48c2,479$1,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,289.08250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa25e…b5abbacked Over48c2,477$1,189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,288.04666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+22.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb088…d961backed Over48c2,476$1,188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,287.52560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+21.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9477…58eebacked Over48c2,469$1,185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,283.88560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+20.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd52b…62ffbacked Over48c2,465$1,183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,281.8862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.19per pick43cpaid+27.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8bdc…8e1ebacked Over48c2,458$1,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,278.16450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d40…4559backed Over48c2,454$1,178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,276.08425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-47.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf491…04f4backed Over48c2,454$1,178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,276.08450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8384…9f9bbacked Over48c2,453$1,177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,275.56250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6d0…28ecbacked Over48c2,448$1,175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,272.96333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf8ee…4f03backed Over48c2,445$1,174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,271.4366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+38.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4df5…91fabacked Over48c2,430$1,166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,263.6250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf523…8f8bbacked Over48c2,423$1,163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,259.96250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbed1…65cbbacked Over48c2,412$1,158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,254.24333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x032c…aacfbacked Over48c2,412$1,158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,254.24250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3113…043bbacked Over48c2,409$1,156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,252.68250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36c2…a2cebacked Over48c2,405$1,154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,250.6771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+41.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd407…043bbacked Over48c2,401$1,152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,248.52333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8eb6…e3ddbacked Over48c2,398$1,151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,246.96650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xef42…4a76backed Over48c2,395$1,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,245.4250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a55…3858backed Over48c2,393$1,149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,244.36666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+35.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e07…1306backed Over48c2,379$1,142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,237.08250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1710…50e7backed Over48c2,376$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,235.52366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+38.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb40d…c9e5backed Over48c2,373$1,139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,233.96366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+38.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb46…98c1backed Over48c2,371$1,138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,232.92580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.32per pick48cpaid+69.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4fc0…a42fbacked Under52c2,348$1,221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,220.96250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5051…7810backed Over48c2,344$1,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,218.88250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc024…85e2backed Over48c2,339$1,123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,216.28250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f5b…5d1bbacked Over48c2,325$1,116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,209850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5909…2dadbacked Over48c2,318$1,113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,205.36560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+25%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x80d9…7d07backed Over48c2,310$1,109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,201.2633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-34.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf95d…de12backed Over48c2,308$1,108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,200.16450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8eb…2292backed Over48c2,304$1,106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,198.08250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7619…3428backed Over48c2,303$1,105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,197.56333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40ac…9322backed Over48c2,300$1,104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,196650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf993…9d87backed Over48c2,297$1,103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,194.44977.8%7 W · 2 L+3.0wins+0.34per pick44cpaid+61.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa412…bf8ebacked Over48c2,290$1,099 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,190.8560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+23.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e31…d143backed Under52c2,290$1,191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,190.8250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3f0…63ffbacked Over48c2,289$1,099 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,190.28250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe060…9f19backed Over48c2,288$1,098 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,189.76580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+62.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd84f…0f22backed Over48c2,286$1,097 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,188.72450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe418…ea28backed Over48c2,281$1,095 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,186.12250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd4bb…3e6bbacked Over48c2,274$1,092 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,182.48771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.26per pick45cpaid+44.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5002…9f56backed Over48c2,274$1,092 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,182.48366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+33.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x054f…724fbacked Over48c2,273$1,091 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,181.96366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+38.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8594…9e2fbacked Over48c2,270$1,090 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,180.4580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+60.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.