TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Clippers (-6.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Clippersof Clippers, Mavericks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$51,146

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,146 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x37c1…c53abacked Clippers54c17,245$9,312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,933.231,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Mavericks47c10,250$4,778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,778.449,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Mavericks46c7,145$3,285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,285.464,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Clippers53c6,636$3,517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,118.851,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Clippers21c2,302$493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,809.2622140.7%90 W · 131 L+0.7wins0.00per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05c4…a4f2backed Mavericks47c2,005$942 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$942.3512045%54 W · 66 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Mavericks51c1,953$994 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$993.784,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Clippers51c1,847$942 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$905.11,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Clippers54c1,180$636 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$543.34,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Mavericks46c1,100$509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5093,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Mavericks75c1,054$788 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$788.31,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67b4…19acbacked Mavericks48c1,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4804052.5%21 W · 19 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Mavericks46c585$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.11,66752.7%878 W · 789 L+45.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3ede…6c27backed Clippers54c529.63$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.9745151.4%232 W · 219 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Mavericks70c437$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.946258.2%269 W · 193 L-0.6wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Mavericks48c436.83$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.394,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc3e…776bbacked Clippers54c433.56$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.659047.8%43 W · 47 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Clippers44c413.66$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.568,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Mavericks77c398$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.511,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb178…1fa0backed Mavericks64c392.93$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2503444.1%15 W · 19 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-21%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x236b…26b7backed Mavericks48c389$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.7111433.3%38 W · 76 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xea60…e977backed Clippers53c332.08$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.089159.3%54 W · 37 L+5.5wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x44ca…907cbacked Mavericks46c308$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.6845646.7%213 W · 243 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Mavericks48c302.5$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.553,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Mavericks48c301.1$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.823,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Clippers56c267.86$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.8665349.9%326 W · 327 L+20.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2db1…45e5backed Mavericks47c266.65$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12524849.6%123 W · 125 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Clippers56c261.86$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.082,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1dc0…099dbacked Mavericks66c253.54$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1676653%35 W · 31 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Mavericks46c250$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1152,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x292e…172cbacked Mavericks46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10043447.5%206 W · 228 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed Mavericks46c215.06$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10052146.6%243 W · 278 L-14.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed Mavericks41c200$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8234425.6%88 W · 256 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Clippers28c183.92$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.771,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88ba…b99abacked Clippers43c162.79$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.7910050%50 W · 50 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea78…a74ebacked Mavericks46c154$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.8456547.8%270 W · 295 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xabb3…c184backed Mavericks50c140$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.83154.8%17 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Clippers41c135.03$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.141,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56e0…1a3bbacked Clippers53c122.64$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.6413932.4%45 W · 94 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe722…57c5backed Mavericks48c122.44$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.7776552.9%405 W · 360 L-2.9wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed Clippers53c122$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.3420537.1%76 W · 129 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaa61…7f3bbacked Clippers53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479255.4%51 W · 41 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb1bd…7235backed Mavericks79c100$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$796429.7%19 W · 45 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc15…3a2ebacked Clippers53c94$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.1814144.7%63 W · 78 L-5.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1349…dc1fbacked Clippers54c92.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.598851.1%45 W · 43 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Clippers31c87.31$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.221,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0204…0e31backed Clippers52c86.51$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.5128949.1%142 W · 147 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e80…9cebbacked Clippers54c86$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.568248.8%40 W · 42 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+23.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1d7…d31abacked Clippers13c77.6$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.621640.3%87 W · 129 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+43.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x913b…0852backed Mavericks46c74.79$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.5142153%223 W · 198 L+23.3wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+8.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc03a…d7c4backed Mavericks47c70.91$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.336342.9%27 W · 36 L-5.1wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-16.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Mavericks46c69.98$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.1944747%210 W · 237 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f39…d603backed Mavericks47c64.39$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.0891746.9%430 W · 487 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf35e…f846backed Clippers53c58.85$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.857356.2%41 W · 32 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7492…6568backed Clippers53c56.74$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.7431955.2%176 W · 143 L+13.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Mavericks46c55.07$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.331,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Mavericks45c46.12$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.765,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Mavericks47c44$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.682,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6fc0…8f18backed Mavericks48c41$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.774535.6%16 W · 29 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x635b…195dbacked Mavericks49c41$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.0938252.4%200 W · 182 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0893…c760backed Clippers59c40.4$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.772263.6%14 W · 8 L+2.4wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+30.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc376…a8e7backed Mavericks57c38.6$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2231748.9%155 W · 162 L-12.1wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-6.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa8e8…2c0ebacked Clippers52c38.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.4623145.9%106 W · 125 L-0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Mavericks49c38$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.621,63448.1%786 W · 848 L+5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Mavericks46c36.7$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.8855444.4%246 W · 308 L-11.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Mavericks46c33.64$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.4425138.6%97 W · 154 L-11.4wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-9.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd0c7…4459backed Mavericks80c32.5$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2611753.8%63 W · 54 L-8.1wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-15.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5101…4a4fbacked Clippers53c32$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.0440048.3%193 W · 207 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x700a…58a5backed Mavericks49c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.622336.8%82 W · 141 L-7.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9fa…b505backed Clippers54c27.78$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.7811244.6%50 W · 62 L-6.0wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7bbd…7d08backed Clippers55c27.27$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.2712257.4%70 W · 52 L+7.0wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+12.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed Mavericks48c26.8$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9896956.3%546 W · 423 L+26.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcaf1…a57bbacked Mavericks59c26.76$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.792850%14 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Mavericks47c26.6$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.52,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2841…3c5abacked Clippers52c24.98$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.9921349.3%105 W · 108 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xca20…7b68backed Mavericks48c24.95$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9924652.8%130 W · 116 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa431…bd20backed Clippers55c23.62$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.541566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+19.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb996…038cbacked Clippers54c21$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.6613148.9%64 W · 67 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Clippers55c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$987049.3%429 W · 441 L+1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7d9…bad0backed Clippers55c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96864.7%44 W · 24 L+6.2wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8058…4cc3backed Mavericks80c16$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.84852.1%25 W · 23 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-11.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Mavericks67c15$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.053,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.