TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Clippers vs. Mavericks: O/U 233.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$160,008

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $160,008 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 125 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6ade…f5b0backed Over52c25,000$13,105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,895.141,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Under47c22,642$10,665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,665.2154539.6%216 W · 329 L-28.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over52c6,764$3,517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,246.721,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under49c6,580$3,207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,207.139,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over51c5,768$2,959 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,808.364,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb6f…2653backed Under50c5,404$2,702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,70216249.4%80 W · 82 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Over51c4,935$2,517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,418.391,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under49c4,241$2,058 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,057.874,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21b7…a2e7backed Over52c3,042$1,582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,459.872100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+94.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf45d…a787backed Over52c3,036$1,579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,457.282100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick52cpaid+94.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1f35…d5b0backed Over52c3,007$1,564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,443.362100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick52cpaid+94.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x01bf…4114backed Under48c3,000$1,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,44020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3dc4…c05ebacked Under48c2,999$1,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,439.5220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d89…b572backed Under48c2,998$1,439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,439.04250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb62b…4fd4backed Under48c2,997$1,439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,438.5620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe8fb…51c8backed Under48c2,996$1,438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,438.08250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xece3…174dbacked Over52c2,995$1,557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,437.62100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xde16…4caebacked Under48c2,993$1,437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,436.64250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4bf…0a3cbacked Over52c2,977$1,548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,428.962100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc44c…0d32backed Under48c2,968$1,425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,424.64250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7f7…4f34backed Over52c2,966$1,542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,423.68250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3d1…ff7cbacked Over52c2,961$1,540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,421.282100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick52cpaid+94.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe0b5…0c4dbacked Under48c2,958$1,420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,419.8420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa6da…ba56backed Over52c2,950$1,534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,416250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb1df…e65abacked Under48c2,950$1,416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,416333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c29…a64ebacked Under48c2,946$1,414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,414.0820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc6cc…cacbbacked Under48c2,942$1,412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,412.16250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05c5…bbedbacked Over52c2,906$1,511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,394.882100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick52cpaid+94.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x60be…f6b9backed Under48c2,905$1,394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,394.4250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dee…9997backed Under48c2,904$1,394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,393.92250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3dfd…0142backed Over52c2,899$1,507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,391.52250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb4d…8459backed Under48c2,898$1,391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,391.0420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xee29…3f18backed Under48c2,894$1,389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,389.12250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02c3…f574backed Over52c2,889$1,502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,386.722100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick52cpaid+94.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x73b0…dcdebacked Over52c2,870$1,492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,377.6250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x805f…7bf4backed Over52c2,870$1,492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,377.6250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4924…92bfbacked Over52c2,869$1,492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,377.122100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x45d4…6370backed Under48c2,857$1,371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,371.3620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x42d6…2578backed Over52c2,853$1,484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,369.442100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick52cpaid+94.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9643…a44bbacked Over52c2,851$1,483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,368.482100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick52cpaid+94.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6845…8202backed Under48c2,841$1,364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,363.6820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdfe8…af46backed Under48c2,838$1,362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,362.2420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1b2c…6527backed Over52c2,816$1,464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,351.682100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick52cpaid+94.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd138…a815backed Over52c2,810$1,461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,348.8250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31d7…e0c6backed Over52c2,792$1,452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,340.162100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick52cpaid+94.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x983b…5811backed Over52c2,784$1,448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,336.322100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick52cpaid+94.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xac9c…b321backed Over52c2,773$1,442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,331.042100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick52cpaid+94.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5840…1581backed Over52c2,770$1,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,329.62100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb162…c408backed Over52c2,740$1,425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,315.2250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa35d…1c67backed Over52c2,731$1,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,310.88250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f79…000dbacked Under48c2,730$1,310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,310.420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1276…6a35backed Over52c2,723$1,416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,307.042100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick52cpaid+94.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1cac…1c1dbacked Under48c2,722$1,307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,306.56250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2183…0d85backed Under48c2,711$1,301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,301.28250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2871…68ffbacked Under48c2,702$1,297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,296.96250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9060…204cbacked Under48c2,697$1,295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,294.56250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f50…a9bcbacked Over52c2,690$1,399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,291.22100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick52cpaid+94.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd812…e78abacked Under48c2,680$1,286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,286.420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xda47…5f57backed Under48c2,674$1,284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,283.5220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7694…a036backed Over52c2,665$1,386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,279.22100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x81d1…b82ebacked Under48c2,663$1,278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,278.2420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x82cb…7755backed Under48c2,656$1,275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,274.8820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb3a…b5f1backed Over50c2,654$1,327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,327475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+45.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7a3…5b17backed Over52c2,651$1,379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,272.48250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaba1…1a43backed Under48c2,644$1,269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,269.1220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc54…bcd0backed Over52c2,633$1,369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,263.84250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b03…436cbacked Over52c2,631$1,368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,262.88250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21ba…227dbacked Under48c2,630$1,262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,262.420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x90e6…3cd8backed Over52c2,627$1,366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,260.96250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5122…4965backed Over52c2,623$1,364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,259.042100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6036…2c32backed Under48c2,621$1,258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,258.0820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf9bf…c212backed Under48c2,612$1,254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,253.7620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x22c7…d6c6backed Under48c2,603$1,249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,249.44250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5731…8cc2backed Over52c2,600$1,352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,248250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba09…d908backed Under48c2,599$1,248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,247.5220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x85a2…8186backed Under48c2,583$1,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,239.84250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02bc…ab5ebacked Under48c2,570$1,234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,233.620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7275…587dbacked Over52c2,569$1,336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,233.122100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick52cpaid+94.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf07d…38d8backed Under48c2,565$1,231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,231.220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x830a…f6e7backed Over52c2,561$1,332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,229.282100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick52cpaid+94.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xce4a…7862backed Over52c2,416$1,256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,159.682100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Under50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00038946%179 W · 210 L-13.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa526…2fe7backed Under50c1,922$961 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$961425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-52.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over51c1,343$688 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$655.633,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under49c1,029$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.842,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Under47c850$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.561740.7%251 W · 366 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1480…6e8dbacked Under50c542.86$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.9758450.2%293 W · 291 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82e3…ce50backed Under50c421$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.5425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-51.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under25c371.22$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.948,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf469…dcaabacked Under50c343.24$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.6222154.8%121 W · 100 L+9.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x53f5…078abacked Under50c311$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.5475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick51cpaid+48.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e4c…c962backed Under50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502147.6%10 W · 11 L-2.5wins-0.12per pick60cpaid-19.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Over52c269.77$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.2589048.8%434 W · 456 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb996…038cbacked Over51c132$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.6813148.9%64 W · 67 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under48c130.07$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.323,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5097049.5%480 W · 490 L-11.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6fbd…b8d3backed Over52c84.66$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.2367248.8%328 W · 344 L-10.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Under49c80.15$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.3195047.2%448 W · 502 L-28.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcba6…bb05backed Over52c72.91$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.8538853.4%207 W · 181 L+8.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe2ba…882abacked Under44c70$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.85650%28 W · 28 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.