Asian League · resolved market
Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc5ccfdfda9f1eb832a3f25e81ff4feec0754e0ae38d038cc631f589d6c0dfe2c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $76,303
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $76,303 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 9c | 26,433$2,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,005.67 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 0c | 7,218$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 226 | 56.6%128 W · 98 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Over | 19c | 1,249$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,007.11 | 105 | 22.9%24 W · 81 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaac8…b6f1backed Under | 80c | 1,028$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820.26 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed Over | 24c | 833.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.33 | 103 | 40.8%42 W · 61 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 21c | 625$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.75 | 1,117 | 46.2%516 W · 601 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over | 9c | 581.78$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.42 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 21c | 574.58$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.12 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 39c | 526.33$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.52 | 375 | 62.7%235 W · 140 L | +61.4wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 20c | 508.56$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.76 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Over | 24c | 493.02$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.26 | 194 | 36.6%71 W · 123 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Over | 20c | 470$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 42c | 454.5$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.43 | 395 | 61.8%244 W · 151 L | +56.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc94c…ba65backed Under | 9c | 400$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0893…c760backed Under | 62c | 303$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 32c | 280.84$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.97 | 345 | 60%207 W · 138 L | +49.3wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 51c | 230.81$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.78 | 693 | 52.2%362 W · 331 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e4…15eebacked Under | 9c | 199.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.23per pick | 13cpaid | +151.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 25c | 153.19$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.79 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Under | 77c | 141.01$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.8 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e8…8745backed Over | 61c | 113.61$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 53c | 102$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.94 | 114 | 41.2%47 W · 67 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 80c | 100$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 267 | 49.4%132 W · 135 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Under | 78c | 75.84$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.16 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…d5e6backed Under | 57c | 65.23$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.18 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a90…700bbacked Over | 24c | 63.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.55 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed Over | 34c | 45.85$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.27 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9154…8f2dbacked Over | 39c | 45.42$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.82 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1160…b054backed Over | 49c | 42.98$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.04 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.2wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +52%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa016…4bc6backed Under | 67c | 41.87$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e15…8ea4backed Under | 78c | 38.46$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7a…3ce8backed Over | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Under | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 112 | 41.1%46 W · 66 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e72…54f0backed Under | 80c | 32.25$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.79 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed Under | 44c | 31.04$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 78c | 28$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.82 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad4…7eeabacked Under | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -2.5wins | -0.42per pick | 75cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea6…dcf5backed Under | 58c | 23.76$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.69 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1feb…5d9abacked Under | 71c | 21.13$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: O/U 4.5this page
- Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Spread: Qingdao Hainiu FC (-1.5)Zhejiang Zhiye FC won
- Spread: Zhejiang Zhiye FC (-1.5)Zhejiang Zhiye FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.