Asian League · resolved market
Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xac1f9ccf85b50f2a2c1c712fa412b69680be97c06a3b1267fc4460726db34f76
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,803
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,803 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3541…78debacked Yes | 72c | 808.68$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.81 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.4wins | +0.31per pick | 51cpaid | +75.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed No | 34c | 735.13$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.56 | 105 | 22.9%24 W · 81 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 74c | 721.72$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.89 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 29c | 434.46$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.7 | 693 | 52.2%362 W · 331 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc94c…ba65backed No | 7c | 400$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 25c | 363.65$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.21 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb5…cabdbacked Yes | 64c | 311.02$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.02 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed No | 33c | 174.74$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.69 | 194 | 36.6%71 W · 123 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe2…5981backed No | 24c | 171.64$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.22 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Yes | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 25c | 148.15$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.66 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 38c | 119.79$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.7 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 62c | 109.05$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.44 | 1,117 | 46.2%516 W · 601 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e08…19cabacked Yes | 62c | 80$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.74 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +3.3wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 36c | 70$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed No | 35c | 60.97$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.34 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeca1…57e4backed Yes | 68c | 41.91$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.41 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Yes | 67c | 37.53$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.38 | 190 | 55.3%105 W · 85 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 61c | 34$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.26 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9db…dd44backed Yes | 63c | 16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.92 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70fb…d507backed Yes | 75c | 14.26$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.54 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.7wins | +0.30per pick | 59cpaid | +61.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Qingdao Hainiu FC (-1.5)Zhejiang Zhiye FC won
- Spread: Zhejiang Zhiye FC (-1.5)Zhejiang Zhiye FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.