Asian League · resolved market
Spread: Zhejiang Zhiye FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x71b3ad669eb94b3d128c81ca6d0400f1ba5a30a9c17bf0d707f003d97e6a7dc2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Zhejiang Zhiye FCof Zhejiang Zhiye FC, Qingdao Hainiu FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,281
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,281 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x58f4…764ebacked Zhejiang Zhiye FC | 36c | 945.56$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.65 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Qingdao Hainiu FC | 58c | 507.33$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.09 | 693 | 52.2%362 W · 331 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Qingdao Hainiu FC | 63c | 381.61$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.37 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Zhejiang Zhiye FC | 8c | 298.61$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.46 | 105 | 22.9%24 W · 81 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Zhejiang Zhiye FC | 30c | 285.49$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.84 | 1,117 | 46.2%516 W · 601 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Qingdao Hainiu FC | 69c | 278.66$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.12 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc7…80f8backed Qingdao Hainiu FC | 71c | 193$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4344…7918backed Qingdao Hainiu FC | 71c | 170$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fb…8750backed Qingdao Hainiu FC | 71c | 169$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Zhejiang Zhiye FC | 22c | 167.88$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.45 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Zhejiang Zhiye FC | 31c | 157.4$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.01 | 194 | 36.6%71 W · 123 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6f2…6ee4backed Zhejiang Zhiye FC | 29c | 130$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +244.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d80…765abacked Zhejiang Zhiye FC | 29c | 120$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +244.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…a439backed Zhejiang Zhiye FC | 29c | 106$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +244.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e78…ccd1backed Zhejiang Zhiye FC | 32c | 100$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2591…d2d9backed Zhejiang Zhiye FC | 29c | 100$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +244.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Qingdao Hainiu FC | 70c | 83.67$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.45 | 225 | 55.1%124 W · 101 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Zhejiang Zhiye FC | 38c | 79.13$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.13 | 334 | 52.7%176 W · 158 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac16…2320backed Zhejiang Zhiye FC | 29c | 76$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +244.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dec…60c2backed Qingdao Hainiu FC | 71c | 71.4$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.69 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Zhejiang Zhiye FC | 29c | 70.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.72 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Qingdao Hainiu FC | 21c | 50.63$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.63 | 131 | 40.5%53 W · 78 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Qingdao Hainiu FC | 70c | 35.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.85 | 404 | 48%194 W · 210 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe2…5981backed Qingdao Hainiu FC | 66c | 33.16$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.95 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a90…700bbacked Qingdao Hainiu FC | 68c | 28.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1cc…28a0backed Qingdao Hainiu FC | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 192 | 68.2%131 W · 61 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Zhejiang Zhiye FC (-1.5)this page
- Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Qingdao Hainiu FC (-1.5)Zhejiang Zhiye FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.