Premier League · resolved market
Ipswich Town FC vs. Millwall FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe58067965d08acb0330e6dd024287a68149594b3115fa139006395470494d04d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,762
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,762 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 52c | 6,245$3,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,247.6 | 506 | 44.3%224 W · 282 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 55c | 3,427$1,873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,554.16 | 6,217 | 45.6%2,834 W · 3,383 L | -33.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Under | 48c | 2,917$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,516.67 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Under | 48c | 1,667$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$866.67 | 65 | 67.7%44 W · 21 L | +12.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +41%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Over | 46c | 1,086$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.56 | 141 | 38.3%54 W · 87 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc37f…455dbacked Under | 46c | 652.96$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Over | 39c | 607.57$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.51 | 234 | 35.9%84 W · 150 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 48c | 600$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 269 | 48.7%131 W · 138 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 46c | 318.45$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 286 | 33.9%97 W · 189 L | +19.7wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x20b1…69d2backed Over | 50c | 299.99$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.99 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe761…8a64backed Under | 48c | 223.02$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.97 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Over | 53c | 211.32$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 321 | 64.5%207 W · 114 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37e6…b6a5backed Over | 22c | 200$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 106 | 26.4%28 W · 78 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe220…f862backed Under | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89fd…9a38backed Under | 48c | 190$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc385…8eb0backed Over | 69c | 188.41$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 60c | 187.67$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.66 | 1,943 | 42.5%826 W · 1,117 L | -41.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd2…1468backed Under | 48c | 187$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe938…ab25backed Under | 48c | 185$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fce…c93dbacked Over | 52c | 184.66$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21a6…fbbebacked Under | 48c | 182$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf8…e16fbacked Over | 52c | 178.06$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c41…88b3backed Over | 52c | 176.43$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79fa…8bd4backed Over | 52c | 175.66$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1160…b054backed Over | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90b3…408fbacked Over | 52c | 174.34$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef34…c428backed Over | 52c | 173.12$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91b8…6f7dbacked Under | 48c | 173$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c1…1bc9backed Under | 48c | 172$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde4b…e3c1backed Over | 52c | 169.75$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe551…b01dbacked Under | 48c | 169$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40f8…4040backed Under | 48c | 168$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x521c…cdf4backed Over | 52c | 167.88$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc935…614abacked Over | 52c | 166.94$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea5…ba73backed Under | 48c | 163$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b68…971ebacked Under | 48c | 162$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3da1…a920backed Under | 48c | 158$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…7e1cbacked Over | 52c | 156.5$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0134…c2cbbacked Over | 52c | 156.27$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e25…79c9backed Under | 48c | 155$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cda…429bbacked Over | 52c | 151.72$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6071…2e21backed Over | 52c | 147.37$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x643e…c807backed Under | 48c | 146$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9331…4dfcbacked Over | 52c | 143.63$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 55c | 140$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 167 | 31.7%53 W · 114 L | -18.5wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x92d0…03aebacked Over | 52c | 138.34$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a1a…6f05backed Over | 52c | 138.25$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e20…040abacked Under | 48c | 136$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8031…2f3cbacked Over | 52c | 135.57$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfd…7a0abacked Over | 52c | 135.5$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb516…7fd2backed Over | 52c | 135.02$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb352…0620backed Under | 48c | 134.99$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 50c | 134.55$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.82 | 4,874 | 41.5%2,021 W · 2,853 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…7fecbacked Under | 48c | 134$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce2…0f93backed Under | 48c | 133$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15f2…3833backed Under | 48c | 128.99$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb7…f048backed Under | 48c | 128$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e03…4965backed Under | 48c | 127$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.04 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffb6…7be6backed Over | 52c | 126.97$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd866…55e0backed Over | 26c | 113.88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.7wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 596 | 45.5%271 W · 325 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca7…0c48backed Under | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +3.0wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +29%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Under | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 110 | 48.2%53 W · 57 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 47c | 85.36$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.24 | 2,606 | 47.7%1,242 W · 1,364 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 51c | 76.15$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.8 | 208 | 64.9%135 W · 73 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 45c | 75$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.75 | 561 | 55.1%309 W · 252 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Over | 30c | 63.33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 91 | 37.4%34 W · 57 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e72…54f0backed Under | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed Under | 53c | 36.5$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.15 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 892 | 52.9%472 W · 420 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ec…aeaabacked Over | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 47c | 27.08$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.35 | 1,305 | 42.4%553 W · 752 L | -28.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Under | 48c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 390 | 52.6%205 W · 185 L | +19.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 57c | 23.98$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.35 | 497 | 53.7%267 W · 230 L | +27.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 46c | 23.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.69 | 968 | 43.8%424 W · 544 L | -10.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x723a…c574backed Over | 48c | 21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 48c | 21$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 1,707 | 52.8%902 W · 805 L | +31.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Ipswich Town FC vs. Millwall FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Ipswich Town FC vs. Millwall FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Ipswich Town FC vs. Millwall FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Ipswich Town FC vs. Millwall FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Ipswich Town FC vs. Millwall FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Ipswich Town FC (-1.5)Millwall FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.