Premier League · resolved market
Ipswich Town FC vs. Millwall FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1eb2178c3d17667f7f7188bcf82c544d2f6bcda96e1c6e5f9d742a709fd88772
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,696
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,696 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes | 54c | 1,845$995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$849.89 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 49c | 1,457$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.18 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 46c | 646.18$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.24 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc94c…ba65backed No | 10c | 600$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8735…41bbbacked No | 10c | 600$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked No | 13c | 285$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.05 | 117 | 27.4%32 W · 85 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed Yes | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 79 | 31.6%25 W · 54 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3a…2126backed Yes | 52c | 184.53$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2907…69a9backed Yes | 52c | 174.57$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18f7…8183backed No | 48c | 171$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x698f…2241backed No | 48c | 170$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01b1…0fd7backed No | 48c | 163$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e4…15eebacked No | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 12cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked No | 46c | 149.99$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 191 | 45%86 W · 105 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad5d…eb6bbacked Yes | 52c | 149.47$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe49a…3c9bbacked Yes | 52c | 145.07$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d7…f8d6backed No | 48c | 143$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19c4…5e39backed No | 48c | 140$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea45…4605backed Yes | 52c | 135.57$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad22…081dbacked No | 48c | 135$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf186…0124backed Yes | 52c | 134.43$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd901…0c0abacked No | 48c | 134$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffeb…c5a1backed Yes | 52c | 129.93$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5c8…d418backed Yes | 52c | 129.43$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fca…a416backed No | 48c | 127$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13cc…cbe0backed No | 48c | 125$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5148…bbeabacked Yes | 52c | 124.55$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fa0…8f6ebacked Yes | 52c | 121.45$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d0…8f2ebacked No | 48c | 121$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Yes | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 240 | 62.5%150 W · 90 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 48c | 73.17$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.35 | 1,662 | 34.9%580 W · 1,082 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c08…e7b6backed Yes | 53c | 70$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.9 | 170 | 47.6%81 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Yes | 50c | 66$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 47c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 1,224 | 42.3%518 W · 706 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe76c…1c3cbacked Yes | 78c | 51.18$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.18 | 132 | 56.1%74 W · 58 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 53c | 38.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5683…3ea1backed Yes | 47c | 38.3$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.3 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 45c | 35.45$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.95 | 517 | 50.1%259 W · 258 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1045…06c8backed Yes | 55c | 35.45$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.95 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbf…f4e6backed Yes | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6134…c8ccbacked Yes | 50c | 27.44$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.72 | 119 | 54.6%65 W · 54 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2043…6407backed Yes | 54c | 20.37$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.37 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Ipswich Town FC vs. Millwall FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Ipswich Town FC vs. Millwall FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Ipswich Town FC vs. Millwall FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Ipswich Town FC vs. Millwall FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Ipswich Town FC vs. Millwall FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Ipswich Town FC (-1.5)Millwall FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.