TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Australian A League · resolved market

Brisbane Roar FC vs. Wellington Phoenix FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$329,902

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $329,902 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 171 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Australian A League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Under48c225,278$107,545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107,545.5714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.5wins-0.36per pick50cpaid-71.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over52c138,960$72,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66,699.6214755.1%81 W · 66 L+8.9wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+19.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9ae8…c2a8backed Over53c44,624$23,651 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,973.283844.7%17 W · 21 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Under47c20,000$9,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,399.97366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+41.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under36c18,420$6,596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,596.0922652.7%119 W · 107 L+13.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x59e8…c5e8backed Over70c15,000$10,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,500250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over58c9,286$5,396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,890.7398844.4%439 W · 549 L-11.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Over52c8,000$4,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,8401100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over54c5,848$3,138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,709.4212055%66 W · 54 L+12.6wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+29.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Under46c4,522$2,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,080.061770.6%12 W · 5 L+3.3wins+0.19per pick51cpaid+39.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked Over54c4,364$2,357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,007.651643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-26.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over53c4,239$2,265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,974.7719345.1%87 W · 106 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over52c3,984$2,072 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,912.3247850.8%243 W · 235 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e12…20e9backed Over53c3,500$1,855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,645580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.19per pick61cpaid+32.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xea00…c1f1backed Over52c3,500$1,820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6801275%9 W · 3 L+2.6wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+50.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf5d1…cdc9backed Under42c2,960$1,241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,240.953043.3%13 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+31.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x085e…9aeabacked Over49c2,849$1,397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,451.84540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-21.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Over52c2,500$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2002065%13 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+25.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa72e…3db9backed Over58c2,000$1,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8402661.5%16 W · 10 L+3.4wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+23.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed Over52c1,788$930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$858.24966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+21.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaab8…a331backed Over59c1,635$969 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$665.973729.7%11 W · 26 L-5.4wins-0.15per pick44cpaid-37.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over52c1,500$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7205257.7%30 W · 22 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a39…a189backed Over52c1,500$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$720560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick62cpaid+7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf6de…95e8backed Under47c1,410$663 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$662.71338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-19.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…d83abacked Over52c1,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+10.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over52c962$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.765558.2%32 W · 23 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over52c865.38$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$415.384355.8%24 W · 19 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd871…6bbabacked Over58c860$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.2475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+45.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8e5a…154cbacked Over55c820.73$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.746946.4%32 W · 37 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under49c736.39$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.4114951%76 W · 73 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over55c709.09$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.094753.2%25 W · 22 L-4.7wins-0.10per pick63cpaid-14.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Over52c700$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3361163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+24.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Over52c600$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2886453.1%34 W · 30 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x622b…5a4abacked Under46c550$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25320%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc93c…caeebacked Under46c544.64$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.64333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc39…1564backed Over52c500$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2401070%7 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+15.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over52c500$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2401668.8%11 W · 5 L+2.3wins+0.14per pick54cpaid+34.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed Over52c470$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.63253.1%17 W · 15 L-0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under45c461.2$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.1643748.3%211 W · 226 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Under33c439.39$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.965129.4%15 W · 36 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-19%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Over49c418.34$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.372123.8%5 W · 16 L-3.1wins-0.15per pick39cpaid-55.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7ac1…3afebacked Over75c400.47$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.47771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+0.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Over78c374$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.132650%13 W · 13 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9de4…7f2ebacked Over57c328$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.04560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x006a…14edbacked Over62c300$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1141154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+47.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Over53c290.07$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.787048.6%34 W · 36 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Over53c283.01$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.012259.1%13 W · 9 L-0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid+6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9013…e7e0backed Under40c250.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008327.7%23 W · 60 L-10.2wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-38.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Over52c250$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1206460.9%39 W · 25 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over52c250$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1203174.2%23 W · 8 L+6.0wins+0.19per pick55cpaid+41.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x1df5…1e18backed Over55c212.7$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.72560%15 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Over52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$961566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.3wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+60.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x27d3…0764backed Over54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$925100%5 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+70.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over50c199.03$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.534937.8%132 W · 217 L-13.0wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-19.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x22d2…82d7backed Over31c193.24$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.382540%10 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Over52c175$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$841770.6%12 W · 5 L+2.3wins+0.14per pick57cpaid+28.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Over52c175$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$845156.9%29 W · 22 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+14.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over54c162.1$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.498353%44 W · 39 L+8.1wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+14.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x8d27…676ebacked Over60c156.04$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.19366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+27.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over73c152.99$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.8612156.2%68 W · 53 L+9.4wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Over59c151.68$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.559257.6%53 W · 39 L+10.1wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+33.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over66c150.36$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.2930954.7%169 W · 140 L+8.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf0e…3197backed Under65c150$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.817365.8%48 W · 25 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+15.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Over52c150$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$721656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Over52c150$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$724946.9%23 W · 26 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Over53c150$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.51361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4fb0…3182backed Under35c149.03$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.0150%0 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1fab…8850backed Under59c147.46$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8720%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Over52c140$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.24656.5%26 W · 20 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+11.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under37c140$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.334843.8%21 W · 27 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-25.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under45c139.49$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.7711940.3%48 W · 71 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb7ed…6fb8backed Over65c137.32$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.062268.2%15 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+22.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Under30c133.33$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403141.9%13 W · 18 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf800…bdbabacked Under45c133.19$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.946841.2%28 W · 40 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Under53c131.87$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$706746.3%31 W · 36 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-13.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Over52c125$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$601450%7 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Over52c125$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$603473.5%25 W · 9 L+5.9wins+0.17per pick56cpaid+37.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Over52c125$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$603158.1%18 W · 13 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f34…ed6abacked Under46c123$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.381330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-46.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4c4c…dc70backed Over53c122$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.34757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked Over52c120$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.61060%6 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Over52c120$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.64355.8%24 W · 19 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over52c120$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.66563.1%41 W · 24 L+7.6wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+23.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under45c119.13$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.7213243.2%57 W · 75 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3eff…ae12backed Over53c117.78$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.441275%9 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+36.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed Over52c115.38$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.382277.3%17 W · 5 L+5.7wins+0.26per pick51cpaid+70.8%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x3b5f…7b99backed Over49c109$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.593354.5%18 W · 15 L+3.7wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+19.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc16f…0f4fbacked Over52c109$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.322958.6%17 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4929…b9f9backed Over74c107.63$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.631172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.4wins+0.22per pick51cpaid+48.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa494…4a1fbacked Over52c105$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.4955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ee1…268bbacked Under48c104.72$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.33per pick50cpaid-66.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0870…1e49backed Over53c101$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.475100%5 W · 0 L+2.6wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+142.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Over54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$463060%18 W · 12 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+16.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Over52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$483360.6%20 W · 13 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+16.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Over52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$486253.2%33 W · 29 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+17.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Over52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.13per pick59cpaid+24.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Over52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$483855.3%21 W · 17 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Over52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$484459.1%26 W · 18 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+15%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Over52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$484050%20 W · 20 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Over52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$482060%12 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.