NBA · resolved market

Bucks vs. Suns: O/U 216.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd853e90d0343090b58a7cb3018d193e2a94b3ff2d1c83a8b29be48d4967672cc

Rebuilt 4 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Mar 22, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $58,673

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,673 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x6ade…f5b0backed Over	53c	25,000$13,250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13,249.99	1,556	52.8%822 W · 734 L	+40.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under	47c	13,801$6,523 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,278.39	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under	47c	8,951$4,199 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,751.37	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under	57c	5,931$3,370 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,560.37	2,949	51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L	+119.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under	47c	4,000$1,880 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,120	2,153	51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L	+76.7wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa28d…d5ccbacked Over	45c	4,000$1,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,799.99	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.2wins	-0.24per pick	44cpaid	-63.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xee17…b46ebacked Over	52c	3,857$2,006 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,005.62	42	57.1%24 W · 18 L	+2.9wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+20.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb5a4…5780backed Over	44c	3,507$1,543 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,543.28	31	35.5%11 W · 20 L	-3.9wins	-0.13per pick	48cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under	50c	2,337$1,171 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,166.69	3,668	41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L	-70.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Under	55c	1,817$999 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$817.75	1,522	49.6%755 W · 767 L	+27.6wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Under	80c	1,546$1,233 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$313	658	72.8%479 W · 179 L	+46.1wins	+0.07per pick	66cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under	79c	1,132$897 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$235.09	3,341	53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L	+108.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed Over	32c	1,065$337 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$336.62	279	37.3%104 W · 175 L	+57.6wins	+0.21per pick	17cpaid	+187%equal weight	71+0.19 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Over	18c	1,000$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180	285	37.9%108 W · 177 L	-4.5wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Over	48c	1,000$480 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$480	843	42.9%362 W · 481 L	-39.1wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over	52c	951.18$497 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$497.23	3,285	49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L	+5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0caf…91adbacked Over	35c	850.82$297 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$297.42	67	64.2%43 W · 24 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	62cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under	47c	821.64$386 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$436.02	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under	53c	815.77$429 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$386.77	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under	47c	804.85$379 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$425.74	2,346	48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L	-14.3wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8de5…e8bbbacked Under	72c	800$576 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$224	131	54.2%71 W · 60 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Over	22c	631.53$138 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$138.31	1,055	49.9%526 W · 529 L	+29.7wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f45…ab6abacked Over	32c	629.46$203 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$202.56	62	37.1%23 W · 39 L	-2.5wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under	47c	612.78$288 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$324.77	1,915	49.3%944 W · 971 L	+19.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x81ae…3615backed Over	19c	609.28$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112.97	43	41.9%18 W · 25 L	-1.4wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9385…2484backed Under	48c	608.69$292 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$316.52	93	52.7%49 W · 44 L	+6.5wins	+0.07per pick	46cpaid	+17.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1349…dc1fbacked Over	53c	471.7$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	88	51.1%45 W · 43 L	-2.4wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ece…8786backed Over	54c	462.96$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	28	64.3%18 W · 10 L	+3.4wins	+0.12per pick	52cpaid	+27.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8b7b…9ab9backed Over	65c	461.54$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	274	62%170 W · 104 L	+4.1wins	+0.01per pick	61cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under	55c	454.64$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$204.59	1,758	48.7%856 W · 902 L	+28.3wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d9f…77aebacked Over	48c	417.5$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	23	39.1%9 W · 14 L	-2.7wins	-0.12per pick	51cpaid	-26.5%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa2e9…a86ebacked Over	54c	370.37$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	102	54.9%56 W · 46 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	57cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0176…910ebacked Over	28c	358.21$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	604	44.2%267 W · 337 L	+17.3wins	+0.03per pick	41cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x19c1…a397backed Under	79c	338.61$269 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69.65	15	40%6 W · 9 L	+0.4wins	+0.03per pick	37cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Over	46c	326.09$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	954	52.3%499 W · 455 L	-17.4wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under	47c	221.23$104 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$117.25	2,507	48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L	+19.8wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over	20c	215$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43	2,468	50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L	+38.4wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Over	54c	214.91$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116.05	890	48.8%434 W · 456 L	-1.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Under	47c	207.91$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$110.19	553	47.9%265 W · 288 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4512…5d41backed Over	49c	205.61$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	216	37.5%81 W · 135 L	-7.5wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe203…1b53backed Over	19c	200$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38	274	35.4%97 W · 177 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Under	48c	200$96 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$104	249	46.6%116 W · 133 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc314…3501backed Over	26c	200$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	34cpaid	-32.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under	56c	192.41$108 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$84.63	3,551	46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1160…b054backed Over	41c	185.32$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.98	25	48%12 W · 13 L	-0.9wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	+13%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21db…2a42backed Over	41c	174.62$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.42	188	50.5%95 W · 93 L	+2.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Under	44c	150.15$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$84.08	1,141	48%548 W · 593 L	+9.0wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6276…7f2ebacked Under	69c	145.15$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.15	191	66.5%127 W · 64 L	+7.1wins	+0.04per pick	63cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6fbd…b8d3backed Over	54c	139$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.06	672	48.8%328 W · 344 L	-10.0wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Over	24c	129.17$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31	274	63.5%174 W · 100 L	+34.8wins	+0.13per pick	51cpaid	+19.1%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed Over	48c	124.64$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	970	49.5%480 W · 490 L	-11.4wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36b7…6f17backed Over	46c	108.7$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	5	60%3 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.06per pick	66cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a2e…3ef0backed Over	47c	107.02$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	263	45.6%120 W · 143 L	-5.3wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Under	47c	106.46$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.42	950	47.2%448 W · 502 L	-28.5wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x913b…0852backed Under	52c	104.17$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50	421	53%223 W · 198 L	+23.3wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under	66c	101.13$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.88	1,170	50.3%588 W · 582 L	+46.8wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x61af…aa01backed Over	56c	100$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56	384	64.3%247 W · 137 L	+5.5wins	+0.01per pick	63cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b42…7cbebacked Over	50c	100$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.12per pick	52cpaid	-35.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3af5…caebbacked Over	53c	94.34$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	118	50%59 W · 59 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x972f…65bdbacked Over	54c	92.59$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	121	52.9%64 W · 57 L	-5.3wins	-0.04per pick	57cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf9ef…7ee6backed Over	76c	92.32$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	14	57.1%8 W · 6 L	-1.5wins	-0.10per pick	68cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa5dc…ec43backed Over	56c	89.77$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	690	49.4%341 W · 349 L	-30.0wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb8a…8775backed Over	46c	86.96$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	15	80%12 W · 3 L	+3.1wins	+0.21per pick	59cpaid	+33.7%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Over	23c	85.71$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.3	877	44.7%392 W · 485 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x88a0…f673backed Under	47c	81$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.93	66	53%35 W · 31 L	+1.8wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2886…9bb2backed Under	67c	80$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.4	109	45%49 W · 60 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcba6…bb05backed Over	50c	72.91$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.46	388	53.4%207 W · 181 L	+8.8wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Under	55c	72.73$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.73	271	38.7%105 W · 166 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7ce2…80edbacked Over	30c	67.51$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	4	50%2 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-25.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7291…3d0fbacked Over	19c	62.67$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.18	79	45.6%36 W · 43 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under	47c	57$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.17	1,150	49.5%569 W · 581 L	-12.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Under	73c	51.9$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.97	1,036	47.6%493 W · 543 L	+6.7wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cfc…0a65backed Over	50c	50$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	42	59.5%25 W · 17 L	+2.7wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe2ba…882abacked Over	66c	50$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.9	56	50%28 W · 28 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4676…b720backed Under	65c	45.89$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.04	142	64.8%92 W · 50 L	+9.6wins	+0.07per pick	58cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5a33…9a46backed Over	34c	40$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.5	139	53.2%74 W · 65 L	+2.8wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa00e…73fabacked Under	48c	40$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.8	169	51.5%87 W · 82 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x91e0…26a0backed Under	54c	40$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.27	455	44.8%204 W · 251 L	+21.8wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Under	56c	38.56$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.97	903	57%515 W · 388 L	+40.0wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x50e0…776ebacked Under	48c	38.46$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20	83	53%44 W · 39 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6884…2518backed Over	32c	37.7$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	25	40%10 W · 15 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb0f…b652backed Under	49c	36$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.52	266	39.8%106 W · 160 L	+13.0wins	+0.05per pick	35cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x39dc…3fb1backed Over	30c	33.92$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.03	93	47.3%44 W · 49 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Under	53c	32.48$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.22	804	40.3%324 W · 480 L	+27.4wins	+0.03per pick	37cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4ec…1cc8backed Over	52c	32.08$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.7	22	50%11 W · 11 L	+0.8wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa423…d3dfbacked Under	49c	29.4$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.1	31	29%9 W · 22 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x73a2…3b68backed Under	79c	28.3$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.87	390	55.6%217 W · 173 L	+8.8wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e3d…bbfabacked Under	51c	27.61$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.46	60	58.3%35 W · 25 L	+4.5wins	+0.08per pick	51cpaid	+9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9be6…b8b2backed Over	40c	25$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	32	62.5%20 W · 12 L	+2.0wins	+0.06per pick	56cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6152…6074backed Over	52c	20.09$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.45	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.52per pick	52cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d03…b8a6backed Under	80c	20$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4	49	59.2%29 W · 20 L	-1.8wins	-0.04per pick	63cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Bucks vs. Suns: O/U 216.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event