NBA · resolved market
Spread: Suns (-11.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x48b9a3b5e0ff69fda054147d48d2dd0ade854f2dfffa92ef7eeb60c6e92116e4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bucksof Suns, Bucks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $304,309
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $304,309 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 144 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8a3a…eb9abacked Suns | 49c | 80,069$38,896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,896 | 114 | 57.9%66 W · 48 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Bucks | 51c | 53,847$27,462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,384.87 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | +19.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Bucks | 51c | 43,346$22,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,226.22 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Bucks | 52c | 41,689$21,527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,161.97 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Suns | 49c | 27,156$13,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,302.14 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | +12.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf19d…276fbacked Bucks | 51c | 25,308$12,907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,400.85 | 231 | 47.6%110 W · 121 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x079e…8254backed Suns | 50c | 21,000$10,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,480.38 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Bucks | 52c | 18,228$9,459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,769.24 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc540…f7e5backed Suns | 49c | 14,510$7,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,110 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c29…afadbacked Bucks | 51c | 14,296$7,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,005.22 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Bucks | 51c | 11,000$5,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,389.98 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Bucks | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,900 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Suns | 49c | 9,619$4,715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,714.57 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Suns | 48c | 7,430$3,583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,582.84 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Bucks | 51c | 6,864$3,517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,346.12 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Suns | 34c | 6,811$2,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,343.27 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Suns | 49c | 6,749$3,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,307 | 492 | 46.3%228 W · 264 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea79…a9ccbacked Suns | 48c | 6,700$3,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,215.87 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e6…ccb2backed Suns | 49c | 6,122$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a4d…a3b5backed Suns | 49c | 5,581$2,735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,734.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x001a…1fb9backed Suns | 49c | 5,562$2,725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,725.38 | 316 | 43.4%137 W · 179 L | -18.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Suns | 48c | 5,281$2,535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,534.95 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf0…1139backed Suns | 0c | 5,144$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6f…2653backed Suns | 49c | 5,102$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 162 | 49.4%80 W · 82 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Suns | 49c | 4,922$2,406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,406.27 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff90…253cbacked Suns | 49c | 4,696$2,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,301 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Suns | 48c | 4,252$2,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,059.34 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe67…fc79backed Suns | 49c | 4,082$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Bucks | 51c | 3,898$1,988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,910.21 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x144e…eca0backed Bucks | 52c | 3,819$1,986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,833.23 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Bucks | 51c | 3,686$1,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,806.22 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Bucks | 51c | 3,214$1,639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,574.83 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Suns | 49c | 3,098$1,518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,518 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Suns | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe156…134bbacked Bucks | 52c | 2,363$1,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,134.35 | 112 | 35.7%40 W · 72 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77fe…551dbacked Suns | 48c | 2,270$1,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,089.6 | 244 | 50%122 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…4856backed Suns | 50c | 2,030$1,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,015 | 241 | 51%123 W · 118 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b60…9c7ebacked Suns | 48c | 2,020$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$969.74 | 226 | 43.8%99 W · 127 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cb…8f46backed Bucks | 46c | 1,999$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,079.46 | 144 | 48.6%70 W · 74 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Suns | 48c | 1,887$906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$905.64 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bee…a369backed Suns | 48c | 1,833$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880.07 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6f…e420backed Suns | 49c | 1,666$816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$816.5 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 45cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c74…4ef0backed Suns | 48c | 1,381$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663 | 187 | 49.2%92 W · 95 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Suns | 49c | 1,320$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647 | 348 | 54%188 W · 160 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Suns | 49c | 1,254$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.46 | 478 | 56.5%270 W · 208 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Bucks | 51c | 1,208$618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.82 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31b0…8c4cbacked Bucks | 48c | 1,200$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.99 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbce5…02f1backed Bucks | 48c | 1,050$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.99 | 186 | 51.6%96 W · 90 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Bucks | 38c | 1,010$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.9 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Suns | 48c | 1,005$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.4 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x598b…f296backed Suns | 64c | 1,000$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.79 | 142 | 44.4%63 W · 79 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Suns | 48c | 999.99$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a9…45ffbacked Suns | 47c | 823.18$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.06 | 238 | 50%119 W · 119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Bucks | 51c | 658.56$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.89 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed Suns | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 131 | 48.1%63 W · 68 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacb6…e3bbbacked Bucks | 53c | 471.92$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.92 | 62 | 66.1%41 W · 21 L | +9.0wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4740…fa66backed Suns | 18c | 420.68$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.83 | 304 | 44.7%136 W · 168 L | +21.5wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa4be…a13dbacked Bucks | 52c | 409.62$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.62 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -4.9wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x934c…d02bbacked Suns | 49c | 397$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.51 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Bucks | 51c | 389$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.61 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02a9…642dbacked Bucks | 53c | 384.91$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.91 | 181 | 43.1%78 W · 103 L | -12.3wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Bucks | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 653 | 49.9%326 W · 327 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf405…9df2backed Suns | 61c | 340.75$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.5 | 432 | 69.2%299 W · 133 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Suns | 48c | 334.43$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.17 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a0d…82c9backed Bucks | 52c | 295$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.6 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Suns | 49c | 280.43$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.5 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd28…dbf0backed Suns | 49c | 256$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.44 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Suns | 47c | 250$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.5 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Bucks | 49c | 244.59$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.62 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc00…79f8backed Bucks | 52c | 220$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.6 | 152 | 40.8%62 W · 90 L | -12.1wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Bucks | 53c | 216.3$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.16 | 898 | 53.1%477 W · 421 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca4…aa92backed Bucks | 52c | 211.54$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.54 | 111 | 57.7%64 W · 47 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Suns | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 521 | 46.6%243 W · 278 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8fe…9f73backed Suns | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd62d…5992backed Suns | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 378 | 52.9%200 W · 178 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Bucks | 42c | 190$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.2 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c67…a0e0backed Bucks | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 296 | 46.6%138 W · 158 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Suns | 35c | 184.79$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.38 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Bucks | 53c | 168$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.96 | 775 | 49.2%381 W · 394 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa42a…d91fbacked Suns | 49c | 155$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.95 | 623 | 47.5%296 W · 327 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d24…9c89backed Bucks | 52c | 151$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.48 | 187 | 44.4%83 W · 104 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea3…a8aebacked Bucks | 52c | 149.04$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.54 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x40d2…312fbacked Bucks | 51c | 149$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.01 | 288 | 52.1%150 W · 138 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb996…038cbacked Bucks | 52c | 149$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.52 | 131 | 48.9%64 W · 67 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88a0…f673backed Bucks | 52c | 149$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.52 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6df…588cbacked Bucks | 52c | 149$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.52 | 223 | 51.6%115 W · 108 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec38…ca10backed Bucks | 52c | 149$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.52 | 110 | 50.9%56 W · 54 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Suns | 49c | 146.25$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.15 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked Suns | 48c | 139.13$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.78 | 377 | 47.5%179 W · 198 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…8848backed Bucks | 51c | 137.25$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.25 | 722 | 50.6%365 W · 357 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5818…39e2backed Bucks | 53c | 136$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.92 | 139 | 50.4%70 W · 69 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77a7…bb11backed Bucks | 52c | 136$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.28 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88ba…b99abacked Suns | 54c | 130.25$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Suns | 50c | 128.22$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 434 | 47.5%206 W · 228 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4010…77d4backed Bucks | 49c | 120$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.2 | 481 | 46.2%222 W · 259 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c3…6031backed Suns | 52c | 112.77$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.64 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Bucks | 54c | 111.11$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.57 | 765 | 52.9%405 W · 360 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04b7…7491backed Bucks | 51c | 103$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.47 | 109 | 55%60 W · 49 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0152…b455backed Suns | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 660 | 46.4%306 W · 354 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x197a…d3d1backed Suns | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 82 | 57.3%47 W · 35 L | +7.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Suns (-11.5)this page
- Bucks vs. SunsBucks won
- Bucks vs. Suns: 1H MoneylineBucks won
- Bucks vs. Suns: 1H O/U 112.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Suns: 1H O/U 113.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Suns: O/U 216.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Suns: O/U 217.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Suns: O/U 218.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Suns: O/U 219.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Suns: O/U 220.5Under won
- Ryan Rollins: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Spread: Suns (-10.5)Bucks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.