TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Bucks vs. Suns: O/U 220.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$12,659

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,659 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x82e3…ce50backed Over47c5,352$2,515 inLost-$2,515.44425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-51.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa676…a4c5backed Over49c2,810$1,377 inLost-$1,376.7817042.4%72 W · 98 L+8.1wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under51c2,577$1,314 inWon+$1,262.524,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa526…2fe7backed Under53c1,876$994 inWon+$881.72425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-52.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb3a…b5f1backed Under53c1,855$983 inWon+$871.85475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+45.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x53f5…078abacked Under53c1,621$859 inWon+$761.87475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick51cpaid+48.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4cb7…3644backed Over1c1,000$10 inLost-$107944.3%35 W · 44 L-7.3wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-14.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Under54c282.78$153 inWon+$130.0365349.9%326 W · 327 L+20.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b7b…9ab9backed Under72c277.78$200 inWon+$77.7827462%170 W · 104 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over46c254.72$117 inLost-$117.179,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Over28c236.72$66 inLost-$66.2884342.9%362 W · 481 L-39.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf33d…24cabacked Under50c186.97$93 inWon+$93.4919432%62 W · 132 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-21.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xeca1…57e4backed Under55c172.73$95 inWon+$77.7319245.3%87 W · 105 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x42d1…5874backed Under59c117.7$70 inWon+$47.71650%8 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x913b…0852backed Under51c102.05$52 inWon+$5042153%223 W · 198 L+23.3wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+8.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over49c98.05$48 inLost-$48.042,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over43c83.32$36 inLost-$35.833,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Over60c82.95$50 inLost-$5095452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7291…3d0fbacked Over29c81.54$24 inLost-$23.787945.6%36 W · 43 L-0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7100…b346backed Under57c62.26$35 inWon+$26.7720147.8%96 W · 105 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed Under52c60.59$32 inWon+$29.0827937.3%104 W · 175 L+57.6wins+0.21per pick17cpaid+187%equal weight71+0.19 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Over40c53.54$21 inLost-$21.491,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over43c47.81$20 inLost-$20.382,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8d9…df36backed Under55c43.15$24 inWon+$19.4240053.5%214 W · 186 L+14.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over45c43.15$19 inLost-$19.422,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a96…0d7cbacked Under58c36.12$21 inWon+$15.0910748.6%52 W · 55 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7492…6568backed Under58c34.64$20 inWon+$14.6431955.2%176 W · 143 L+13.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over42c34.37$15 inLost-$14.614,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca2d…39edbacked Over41c30.39$12 inLost-$12.4723651.3%121 W · 115 L+11.3wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbc4c…0992backed Over47c29.98$14 inLost-$14.0910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x13f4…48c6backed Under54c27.78$15 inWon+$12.7813852.9%73 W · 65 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x898f…e9f2backed Under54c27.78$15 inWon+$12.787354.8%40 W · 33 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under59c22.37$13 inWon+$9.088,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1608…eeb8backed Under59c22$13 inWon+$9.023773%27 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick72cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf33f…51dabacked Under57c21.05$12 inWon+$9.053545.7%16 W · 19 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-14.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2654…b45fbacked Under72c20.86$15 inWon+$5.8416867.3%113 W · 55 L+13.8wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+9.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Under54c20.11$11 inWon+$9.2587049.3%429 W · 441 L+1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01b3…52debacked Under73c20$15 inWon+$5.41369.2%9 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+14.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeed1…0d39backed Under58c19.34$11 inWon+$8.127650%38 W · 38 L-5.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-12.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.