NBA · resolved market
Bucks vs. Suns: O/U 219.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x967f4da9eb493347777af8db4078dfddde734d213e9aeb911f419f02143a1bbc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,986
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,986 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 50c | 6,978$3,517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,517 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc43…96d3backed Under | 49c | 5,623$2,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,852.87 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 29c | 3,776$1,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,090.23 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 18c | 2,119$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.09 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 51c | 1,703$871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.24 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x987b…3d00backed Under | 56c | 1,431$801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.73 | 165 | 55.8%92 W · 73 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 51c | 1,117$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.9 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a45…f628backed Over | 49c | 1,030$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.7 | 348 | 55.2%192 W · 156 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 54c | 774$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.04 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 47c | 731.19$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.53 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over | 48c | 729$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.19 | 348 | 51.7%180 W · 168 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 53c | 722.59$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.97 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33e9…39b0backed Under | 80c | 630$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Under | 50c | 425.37$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.69 | 662 | 50.8%336 W · 326 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6292…d254backed Under | 51c | 400$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 208 | 46.6%97 W · 111 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 51c | 388.41$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.19 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Over | 46c | 387$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.02 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Over | 20c | 313.68$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.39 | 279 | 37.3%104 W · 175 L | +57.6wins | +0.21per pick | 17cpaid | +187%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x1480…6e8dbacked Under | 51c | 307.84$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.84 | 584 | 50.2%293 W · 291 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x363e…ae45backed Over | 7c | 283$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.59 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +5.4wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 46c | 267$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.88 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2db1…45e5backed Over | 51c | 250.48$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127 | 248 | 49.6%123 W · 125 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f45…ab6abacked Over | 20c | 240$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe666…dcecbacked Under | 51c | 216.1$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe12…c26fbacked Under | 50c | 214.89$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.45 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb4…a6b5backed Over | 51c | 203.63$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.85 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5101…3cbcbacked Over | 50c | 200.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd41…f94fbacked Over | 50c | 200.02$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Under | 48c | 192.62$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.22 | 421 | 53%223 W · 198 L | +23.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2041…d8bcbacked Over | 50c | 187.24$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a84…0568backed Under | 51c | 186$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x777c…6a3ebacked Under | 51c | 185.84$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a9e…13d2backed Under | 50c | 184.98$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.49 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…a32abacked Over | 51c | 184.26$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.97 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Under | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 348 | 49.7%173 W · 175 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 45c | 181.82$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.82 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4471…1134backed Under | 50c | 180.89$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.45 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.32per pick | 56cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…1128backed Over | 51c | 167.17$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.26 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.19per pick | 36cpaid | -63%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Under | 53c | 160$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.2 | 428 | 53%227 W · 201 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc1b…1e1bbacked Over | 51c | 158.26$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.71 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0101…3728backed Over | 34c | 147$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3773…57f9backed Under | 50c | 132.56$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 46c | 131$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.8 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d78…7b8dbacked Under | 78c | 130$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.7 | 77 | 54.5%42 W · 35 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72bc…b24ebacked Over | 46c | 126$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.96 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc15…3a2ebacked Under | 54c | 115$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.9 | 141 | 44.7%63 W · 78 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 65c | 100.78$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.92 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c13…99b7backed Over | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 477 | 38.2%182 W · 295 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 690 | 49.4%341 W · 349 L | -30.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50e0…776ebacked Over | 28c | 93.19$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.33 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Over | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 574 | 44.1%253 W · 321 L | -20.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Over | 47c | 83.97$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.67 | 236 | 51.3%121 W · 115 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…a8b3backed Over | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 236 | 57.2%135 W · 101 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x061e…81e0backed Under | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.43 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc140…ac80backed Under | 51c | 63.25$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.25 | 149 | 47%70 W · 79 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5ed…96e1backed Over | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Over | 49c | 57.95$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.57 | 917 | 46.9%430 W · 487 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Under | 52c | 52.08$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 1,759 | 61.7%1,085 W · 674 L | +127.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Under | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 452 | 51.1%231 W · 221 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5558…f9c4backed Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 375 | 49.6%186 W · 189 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a96…0d7cbacked Under | 56c | 49.91$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.96 | 107 | 48.6%52 W · 55 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0435…cf1dbacked Over | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 169 | 47.3%80 W · 89 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 44c | 48.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.56 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over | 39c | 44.25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.29 | 903 | 57%515 W · 388 L | +40.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Under | 66c | 38.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3d…bbfabacked Over | 49c | 36.35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.66 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e8…3a5dbacked Under | 51c | 35.29$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.29 | 548 | 54.2%297 W · 251 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4861…4fcabacked Over | 34c | 35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 148 | 58.1%86 W · 62 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf10e…4c13backed Over | 51c | 30.31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.46 | 209 | 49.3%103 W · 106 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5337…222bbacked Over | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 123 | 31.7%39 W · 84 L | -17.0wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x170c…7fe3backed Under | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 380 | 48.7%185 W · 195 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 53c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.56 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x178b…8aa7backed Over | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Under | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 205 | 58.5%120 W · 85 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5c1…de09backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bucks vs. Suns: O/U 219.5this page
- Bucks vs. SunsBucks won
- Bucks vs. Suns: 1H MoneylineBucks won
- Bucks vs. Suns: 1H O/U 112.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Suns: 1H O/U 113.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Suns: O/U 216.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Suns: O/U 217.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Suns: O/U 218.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Suns: O/U 220.5Under won
- Ryan Rollins: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Spread: Suns (-10.5)Bucks won
- Spread: Suns (-11.5)Bucks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.