NBA · resolved market
Bucks vs. Suns: O/U 217.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6d80eb1af8280bc3247cc74e389212627e685f24b8395eb0015d6a63bbeed961
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $65,051
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,051 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Over | 50c | 37,836$18,918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,918.08 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | +19.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 50c | 17,531$8,765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,765.48 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 50c | 12,669$6,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,334.35 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Over | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 50c | 5,569$2,781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,788.75 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6f…2653backed Under | 50c | 5,200$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,600 | 162 | 49.4%80 W · 82 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 50c | 2,964$1,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,482.16 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 48c | 2,464$1,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,286.41 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 52c | 2,227$1,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,158.02 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Under | 57c | 988.89$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.52 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 50c | 784.64$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.32 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…a64abacked Under | 51c | 784.31$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.31 | 187 | 48.1%90 W · 97 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9569…27fdbacked Over | 53c | 749.99$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.49 | 139 | 59.7%83 W · 56 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 51c | 609.04$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.56 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…c9e4backed Under | 49c | 522.99$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.73 | 238 | 50.4%120 W · 118 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x006a…14edbacked Over | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 161 | 59.6%96 W · 65 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Over | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 653 | 49.9%326 W · 327 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 50c | 387.11$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.56 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked Over | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 604 | 44.2%267 W · 337 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41a3…017dbacked Over | 51c | 301.33$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.68 | 329 | 52.9%174 W · 155 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a0d…82c9backed Under | 51c | 268$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.32 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Under | 51c | 268$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.32 | 775 | 49.2%381 W · 394 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 48c | 186.22$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.83 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Under | 47c | 150.15$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.58 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40d2…312fbacked Under | 50c | 136$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 288 | 52.1%150 W · 138 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5818…39e2backed Under | 51c | 136$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.64 | 139 | 50.4%70 W · 69 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb996…038cbacked Under | 51c | 136$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.64 | 131 | 48.9%64 W · 67 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88a0…f673backed Under | 51c | 136$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.64 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec38…ca10backed Under | 51c | 136$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.64 | 110 | 50.9%56 W · 54 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d24…9c89backed Under | 51c | 136$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.64 | 187 | 44.4%83 W · 104 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6597…df88backed Over | 52c | 114.36$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Under | 52c | 105.41$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.39 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Over | 49c | 103.06$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.55 | 421 | 53%223 W · 198 L | +23.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04b7…7491backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 109 | 55%60 W · 49 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0152…b455backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 660 | 46.4%306 W · 354 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8044…358ebacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 549 | 51.9%285 W · 264 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c84…ac9abacked Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdf60…f8d5backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 98 | 44.9%44 W · 54 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x362a…8683backed Under | 50c | 93$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.5 | 131 | 55%72 W · 59 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Under | 42c | 87.26$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.74 | 279 | 37.3%104 W · 175 L | +57.6wins | +0.21per pick | 17cpaid | +187%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x8776…f2efbacked Under | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6dab…029dbacked Under | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 64 | 35.9%23 W · 41 L | -6.2wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Under | 47c | 66.17$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.82 | 369 | 49.6%183 W · 186 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Under | 48c | 66.05$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.52 | 390 | 55.6%217 W · 173 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88d5…8a61backed Over | 46c | 64.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 65c | 61.75$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.51 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Under | 58c | 60.96$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.74 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…0b9cbacked Under | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 114 | 47.4%54 W · 60 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 952 | 60.2%573 W · 379 L | +37.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59ca…fd12backed Over | 50c | 57.95$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56c4…fce5backed Under | 51c | 56$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.44 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc03a…d7c4backed Under | 50c | 50.51$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.26 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | -5.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c3…a6e8backed Over | 50c | 41$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 201 | 44.8%90 W · 111 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa00e…73fabacked Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 169 | 51.5%87 W · 82 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 50c | 39.76$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.94 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2225…1838backed Under | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5101…4a4fbacked Under | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 400 | 48.3%193 W · 207 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Under | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 361 | 53.5%193 W · 168 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e0…776ebacked Under | 54c | 26.01$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.93 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7342…9197backed Over | 72c | 21.77$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.57 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…3221backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 135 | 48.1%65 W · 70 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3a6…6e3fbacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc62…ba48backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9856…7014backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bucks vs. Suns: O/U 217.5this page
- Bucks vs. SunsBucks won
- Bucks vs. Suns: 1H MoneylineBucks won
- Bucks vs. Suns: 1H O/U 112.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Suns: 1H O/U 113.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Suns: O/U 216.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Suns: O/U 218.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Suns: O/U 219.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Suns: O/U 220.5Under won
- Ryan Rollins: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Spread: Suns (-10.5)Bucks won
- Spread: Suns (-11.5)Bucks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.