South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Club León FC win on 2026-03-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd97f1f115152de3b0a3ccc2e3d788c60dd006e7ccba701c5f84631ed871ef9ab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,769
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,769 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8cbc…c413backed Yes | 25c | 3,820$973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,847.29 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +90.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 75c | 3,603$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700.29 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Yes | 21c | 2,223$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,748.9 | 313 | 49.8%156 W · 157 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 24c | 2,116$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.14 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a92…6941backed Yes | 38c | 1,549$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.75 | 144 | 43.1%62 W · 82 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddd3…dba6backed No | 71c | 1,438$1,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,025.43 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 68c | 1,404$958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$958.34 | 211 | 32.7%69 W · 142 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Yes | 27c | 1,249$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$909.2 | 108 | 19.4%21 W · 87 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 76c | 962.55$734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733.86 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3de7…9ca7backed Yes | 26c | 934.44$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$687.44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 35cpaid | +103.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 66c | 761$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.68 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 40c | 708.9$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.9 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 77c | 610$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.85 | 200 | 65%130 W · 70 L | +18.0wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…ee5abacked Yes | 21c | 500$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcca9…af95backed No | 4c | 439.14$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.82 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 10cpaid | +91.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 69c | 410.74$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.41 | 477 | 56%267 W · 210 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 73c | 404.44$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.24 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 74c | 375$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.25 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 74c | 250$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 23c | 232.61$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.8 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 76c | 226.8$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.4 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…3070backed No | 21c | 199.69$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.93 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe803…0416backed Yes | 27c | 186.93$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.93 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 30c | 150$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe977…700fbacked No | 10c | 139.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.96 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 17cpaid | +66.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0a8…a0f5backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 69c | 99.81$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.87 | 412 | 56.6%233 W · 179 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1160…b054backed Yes | 25c | 94.72$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.04 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 74c | 94.49$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.94 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 23c | 79.66$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.66 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 74c | 73.54$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.63 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e0…a433backed Yes | 29c | 69.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.19 | 108 | 26.9%29 W · 79 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1508…5760backed Yes | 30c | 68.22$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.7 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +30%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69ac…03e9backed No | 69c | 50.55$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.88 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 27c | 49$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.77 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 77c | 47.24$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.74 | 120 | 65%78 W · 42 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf15…bc03backed No | 76c | 43.42$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.89 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.18per pick | 58cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Yes | 25c | 41$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.92 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | +8.9wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0e72…54f0backed No | 76c | 32.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 82 | 63.4%52 W · 30 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 74c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 175 | 60.6%106 W · 69 L | +11.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed No | 69c | 29.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.19 | 367 | 57.5%211 W · 156 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a25…3c70backed No | 76c | 20.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 69c | 20.74$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 495 | 35.4%175 W · 320 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 70c | 20.36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd418…d11fbacked No | 75c | 18.56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d90…3bbdbacked No | 72c | 18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -5.1wins | -0.16per pick | 63cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 73c | 14.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 378 | 51.3%194 W · 184 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Club León FC win on 2026-03-21?this page
- Will Atlético San Luis vs. Club León FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Atlético San Luis win on 2026-03-21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.