TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will Atlético San Luis win on 2026-03-21?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$71,927

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,927 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8a92…6941backed Yes44c26,687$11,692 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,692.314443.1%62 W · 82 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb22…6478backed No54c19,230$10,381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,848.8129446.6%137 W · 157 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No56c16,030$8,932 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,098.275,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes30c6,261$1,868 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,867.891,98544.8%890 W · 1,095 L-44.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbca…b7b7backed Yes46c5,875$2,703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,702.52450%12 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+13.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c74…4ef0backed Yes46c3,952$1,818 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8186357.1%36 W · 27 L+4.6wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes28c3,567$1,004 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,003.918,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef99…ef8dbacked Yes46c3,389$1,559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,559540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-20%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes46c1,549$709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$709.093,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No62c1,462$910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$552.161,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes45c1,285$581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$581.048530.6%26 W · 59 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Yes36c1,249$452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452.3210819.4%21 W · 87 L-8.6wins-0.08per pick27cpaid-35.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Yes44c900$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3969651%49 W · 47 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Yes34c467.04$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.7584943.8%372 W · 477 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes46c422.09$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.8737851.3%194 W · 184 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes46c375$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.51,35549.7%674 W · 681 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes46c300$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13839853%211 W · 187 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5f9…87b0backed No55c299$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.5518352.5%96 W · 87 L+10.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9cf0…8b2bbacked No51c250$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.5450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes49c250$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.51,65150.6%836 W · 815 L-4.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Yes32c210$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.428953.9%48 W · 41 L+8.9wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+13.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Yes35c190.79$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.2945746.8%214 W · 243 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes37c189.89$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.971,25356.2%704 W · 549 L+73.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked No52c182.69$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.6917049.4%84 W · 86 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c04…a5c1backed Yes44c180.96$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$803345.5%15 W · 18 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked No56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.5731745.1%143 W · 174 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd35e…a1e8backed Yes34c176.67$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.081145.5%5 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-16.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No63c154.48$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.621,36652.4%716 W · 650 L+51.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xef21…3dc9backed No57c149.12$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.121560%9 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+17.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No62c138.91$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.373,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Yes30c120.99$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.0285220.7%176 W · 676 L-85.2wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-52.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xb61f…976abacked No71c119.8$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.743066.7%20 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf15…bc03backed No49c114.58$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.31776.5%13 W · 4 L+3.1wins+0.18per pick58cpaid+42.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Yes45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457149.3%35 W · 36 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x983a…ac6bbacked Yes46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x736d…c635backed Yes45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick42cpaid-44.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf0a8…a0f5backed Yes13c100$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135444.4%24 W · 30 L-0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid+8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No65c96.5$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.9449449%242 W · 252 L+22.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No61c88.01$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.131,44456.4%815 W · 629 L+51.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c84…ac9abacked No57c87.72$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.72450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes41c85$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.5511334.5%39 W · 74 L-9.3wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-20.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No56c81.56$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.111,28253.7%689 W · 593 L+5.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Yes46c79$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.348763.2%55 W · 32 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick60cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf60b…c18ebacked No56c77.75$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.2121345.1%96 W · 117 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x78d6…48b6backed No56c77.75$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.211100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No56c74.94$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.971,23153.9%663 W · 568 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes46c73.02$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.5928231.6%89 W · 193 L-10.8wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-20.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8776…f2efbacked No56c71.43$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.43966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+34.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x452f…b277backed Yes44c70.45$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3111637.1%43 W · 73 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Yes29c69.89$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.0471619.7%141 W · 575 L-49.1wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-32.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x0bff…c8a8backed Yes37c67.57$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256838.2%26 W · 42 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Yes46c66$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.362,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Yes46c64.36$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.616842.6%29 W · 39 L-8.7wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-29.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1c42…213bbacked Yes25c60.01$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.99250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-25.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2de6…e187backed Yes29c57.06$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.52642.3%11 W · 15 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+80.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes47c55.63$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.392,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Yes46c54$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.8417143.9%75 W · 96 L-9.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Yes46c54$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.8424253.3%129 W · 113 L+8.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x75d1…0b9cbacked No56c53.57$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.57714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.34per pick48cpaid-74.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Yes28c52.16$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.6135758%207 W · 150 L+17.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+22.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x44b6…98b4backed No62c51.05$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.556141%25 W · 36 L-6.8wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-24.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe9da…ed70backed No52c45.21$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.721266.5%141 W · 71 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84cb…4b77backed Yes44c44$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.472748.1%13 W · 14 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e72…54f0backed No58c43.1$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.18263.4%52 W · 30 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1121…6604backed Yes46c43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7810943.1%47 W · 62 L-5.9wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0e0a…745dbacked Yes46c43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.782958.6%17 W · 12 L+4.2wins+0.14per pick44cpaid+34.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xcf02…3a63backed Yes46c43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.784748.9%23 W · 24 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e2a…a58dbacked Yes30c41.28$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.194566.7%30 W · 15 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No65c41.23$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.5881740.8%333 W · 484 L+20.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe3c…c0bfbacked Yes44c39.61$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.43333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick58cpaid-51.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde66…be48backed No50c37.92$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.964963.3%31 W · 18 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes38c37$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.0232936.5%120 W · 209 L-10.0wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x98db…bf6cbacked Yes32c35.47$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.311573.3%11 W · 4 L+2.8wins+0.18per pick55cpaid+31.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4376…8745backed Yes41c33.86$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba49…e8acbacked Yes36c33.13$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122934.5%10 W · 19 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-13%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x700a…58a5backed Yes46c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.84228.6%12 W · 30 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-27.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf8c8…7c4cbacked Yes43c30$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.97950.6%40 W · 39 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes46c29$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.341,42851.8%740 W · 688 L+22.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Yes35c28.51$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0994848.1%456 W · 492 L-18.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No71c26.03$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.571,03849.4%513 W · 525 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Yes46c25$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.54027.5%11 W · 29 L-5.2wins-0.13per pick41cpaid-47.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x00d2…fe64backed Yes46c25$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.54247.6%20 W · 22 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07dd…0876backed Yes46c25$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.53138.7%12 W · 19 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-15%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6674…79f7backed Yes46c25$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+16.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04b4…8d0bbacked No74c21.24$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.424353.5%23 W · 20 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7125…a5aabacked No80c20$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4633.3%2 W · 4 L-2.6wins-0.43per pick77cpaid-58.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc9d2…090fbacked No76c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.83167.7%21 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.