South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Atlético San Luis vs. Club León FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x18240a2fb1a87142dcf6b2bcdecea6aa666fcfc9b854642f119cd0eab3848374
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,444
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,444 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 46c | 2,683$1,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,235.83 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a92…6941backed No | 35c | 2,222$778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,444.3 | 144 | 43.1%62 W · 82 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 65c | 2,153$1,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,399.42 | 494 | 49%242 W · 252 L | +22.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 40c | 2,064$829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,234.86 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 60c | 1,894$1,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$751.66 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 31c | 1,261$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$868.57 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Yes | 28c | 897$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.86 | 108 | 19.4%21 W · 87 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 48c | 706.32$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.8 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 73c | 584.13$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.29 | 200 | 65%130 W · 70 L | +18.0wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 80c | 487.63$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.88 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 26c | 429.07$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.56 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked Yes | 25c | 421.52$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.38 | 212 | 51.9%110 W · 102 L | +14.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 52c | 413.34$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.21 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d2…090fbacked No | 74c | 399.99$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.33 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 31c | 352.18$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.48 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Yes | 10c | 346.04$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.25 | 112 | 30.4%34 W · 78 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -41%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…720fbacked Yes | 68c | 321.54$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.65 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -3.4wins | -0.31per pick | 58cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6b80…8b39backed Yes | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a6…7971backed Yes | 74c | 135.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2be3…48dfbacked Yes | 39c | 129.95$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.68 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.22per pick | 33cpaid | -84.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 25c | 125$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.25 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 26c | 125$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 55c | 124.6$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.43 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41ad…8dddbacked No | 32c | 122.05$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.92 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed No | 77c | 120$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.88 | 167 | 40.1%67 W · 100 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 26c | 119$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.94 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed No | 36c | 109.13$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.38 | 457 | 46.8%214 W · 243 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1df5…1e18backed No | 58c | 101.9$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.8 | 44 | 68.2%30 W · 14 L | +7.8wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bd…6cecbacked No | 32c | 99.94$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.96 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 72c | 98.7$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9720…2c24backed Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x452f…b277backed Yes | 27c | 70.37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 116 | 37.1%43 W · 73 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc644…1546backed Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 44c | 64.7$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.31 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Yes | 38c | 61.1$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.48 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 32c | 58.33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.86 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0e72…54f0backed Yes | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 82 | 63.4%52 W · 30 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed No | 27c | 46.3$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.8 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef88…29a3backed No | 68c | 45$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.25 | 46 | 76.1%35 W · 11 L | +7.2wins | +0.16per pick | 60cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 46c | 42.49$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked No | 80c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 120 | 65%78 W · 42 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 43c | 28.89$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.46 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dec…60c2backed No | 58c | 23.97$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.07 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83d0…c927backed No | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x008d…b839backed Yes | 75c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Atlético San Luis vs. Club León FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Atlético San Luis win on 2026-03-21?No won
- Will Club León FC win on 2026-03-21?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.