Serie A · resolved market
Spread: Como 1907 (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x00dd5f5ad4f799d818536de872569051010093df0fcd01dcc1effd1fc017593c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Como 1907of Como 1907, Pisa SC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,667
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,667 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Pisa SC | 69c | 2,984$2,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,054.42 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Como 1907 | 26c | 1,153$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$847.54 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed Como 1907 | 29c | 1,150$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$816.69 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.39per pick | 36cpaid | +120.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4844…32c9backed Como 1907 | 25c | 794.95$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.26 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Pisa SC | 69c | 655.16$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.06 | 331 | 48.6%161 W · 170 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Como 1907 | 26c | 571.16$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.53 | 175 | 38.9%68 W · 107 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaac8…b6f1backed Pisa SC | 71c | 559.32$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.12 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Como 1907 | 31c | 480.41$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.53 | 165 | 26.1%43 W · 122 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Como 1907 | 45c | 206.7$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.49 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Como 1907 | 30c | 170.69$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.54 | 652 | 54.1%353 W · 299 L | +19.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Como 1907 | 31c | 163.19$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.6 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | -6.8wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Pisa SC | 69c | 127.03$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.65 | 333 | 57.4%191 W · 142 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa747…b089backed Como 1907 | 31c | 126.08$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +152.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Como 1907 | 31c | 119.1$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.18 | 111 | 36.9%41 W · 70 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8f…5259backed Pisa SC | 68c | 117.1$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.39 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7157…7ba4backed Pisa SC | 45c | 110.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.57 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Como 1907 | 29c | 108$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.68 | 372 | 50.5%188 W · 184 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7299…31f3backed Como 1907 | 34c | 102.13$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.41 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Como 1907 | 33c | 100$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 111 | 27%30 W · 81 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb5…f5ecbacked Pisa SC | 59c | 90.2$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.22 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Como 1907 | 29c | 82$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.22 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Pisa SC | 58c | 73.11$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.39 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Como 1907 | 29c | 68.47$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.61 | 131 | 55%72 W · 59 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Pisa SC | 69c | 55.85$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.53 | 405 | 49.6%201 W · 204 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8531…5eccbacked Como 1907 | 31c | 54.52$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.62 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Pisa SC | 67c | 49.8$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.37 | 260 | 40%104 W · 156 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Pisa SC | 30c | 42.77$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 162 | 19.1%31 W · 131 L | -10.6wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x00fa…9af5backed Como 1907 | 57c | 38.44$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.51 | 68 | 60.3%41 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Pisa SC | 70c | 36.88$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.78 | 460 | 47.4%218 W · 242 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Como 1907 | 58c | 29.75$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 188 | 58.5%110 W · 78 L | +16.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Pisa SC | 75c | 15.07$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 232 | 44%102 W · 130 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Pisa SC | 75c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 16 | 93.8%15 W · 1 L | +3.1wins | +0.19per pick | 74cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Como 1907 (-2.5)this page
- Como 1907 vs. Pisa SC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Como 1907 vs. Pisa SC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Como 1907 vs. Pisa SC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Como 1907 vs. Pisa SC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Como 1907 vs. Pisa SC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Como 1907 (-1.5)Como 1907 won
- Spread: Pisa SC (-1.5)Como 1907 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.