La Liga · resolved market
Real Racing Club vs. Albacete Balompié: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x67836c070b495871f39a8542cf423cff0cf0c953e045624d04be91529d9525b2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $69,818
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $69,818 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 38c | 53,811$20,436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,375.03 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 62c | 26,896$16,676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,675.64 | 501 | 49.5%248 W · 253 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 62c | 9,432$5,852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,852.16 | 3,461 | 43%1,489 W · 1,972 L | +31.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 54c | 9,026$4,872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,871.94 | 4,753 | 47.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L | -21.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Under | 62c | 3,000$1,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,860 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 61c | 1,999$1,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,224.31 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Under | 24c | 1,577$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.48 | 95 | 28.4%27 W · 68 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…d83abacked Under | 62c | 820$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.4 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Under | 62c | 600$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372 | 227 | 46.7%106 W · 121 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Under | 63c | 400$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 129 | 54.3%70 W · 59 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 35c | 349.23$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227 | 172 | 52.3%90 W · 82 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…976abacked Under | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1650…42f6backed Under | 48c | 210.06$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.83 | 93 | 36.6%34 W · 59 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Under | 62c | 200$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc94c…ba65backed Under | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 63c | 198$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.82 | 1,662 | 43.7%727 W · 935 L | -23.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10fb…29bfbacked Under | 43c | 175.44$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe2…5981backed Under | 65c | 162.93$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.91 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Under | 62c | 156.94$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.3 | 118 | 53.4%63 W · 55 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee1…268bbacked Over | 37c | 135$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Under | 62c | 126.59$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.49 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 36c | 125$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 1,045 | 47.8%500 W · 545 L | +15.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe220…f862backed Over | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf15…bc03backed Under | 65c | 81.54$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.04 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 54c | 75.94$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.1 | 411 | 47.9%197 W · 214 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dec…60c2backed Over | 27c | 68.61$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.09 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Under | 62c | 62.44$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.71 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x087f…2ebfbacked Over | 51c | 53.33$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.13 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x261b…b32bbacked Under | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7397…05babacked Over | 37c | 47.39$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Over | 30c | 40.73$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.62 | 170 | 32.9%56 W · 114 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Under | 62c | 40$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 103 | 48.5%50 W · 53 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 35c | 37.97$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.68 | 1,577 | 51.4%811 W · 766 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4148…4397backed Over | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16fe…9496backed Over | 35c | 34.14$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.14 | 209 | 47.4%99 W · 110 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9368…8b01backed Under | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2734…22efbacked Under | 63c | 31.01$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Under | 62c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 295 | 45.4%134 W · 161 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea9b…2be5backed Under | 62c | 20.02$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.41 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd8…f9e3backed Under | 65c | 17.65$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Real Racing Club vs. Albacete Balompié: O/U 3.5this page
- Real Racing Club vs. Albacete Balompié: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Real Racing Club vs. Albacete Balompié: O/U 2.5Over won
- Real Racing Club vs. Albacete Balompié: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Albacete Balompié (-1.5)Albacete Balompié won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.