La Liga · resolved market
Real Racing Club vs. Albacete Balompié: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x05308760f330b464dd74ce88906e829b803c82157f6fe5f2728f994a5c217c19
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $386,665
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $386,665 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 61c | 356,862$217,439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139,422.95 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 39c | 188,618$73,563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73,563.34 | 501 | 49.5%248 W · 253 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 39c | 96,815$37,758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,757.79 | 172 | 52.3%90 W · 82 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 40c | 25,000$9,875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,875 | 241 | 45.2%109 W · 132 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 39c | 22,990$9,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,014.79 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Under | 2c | 15,756$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.28 | 97 | 36.1%35 W · 62 L | +14.3wins | +0.15per pick | 21cpaid | +150%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 39c | 8,326$3,268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,267.88 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 40c | 3,573$1,416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,415.59 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Under | 39c | 2,000$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Under | 4c | 1,749$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.49 | 95 | 28.4%27 W · 68 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…d83abacked Under | 39c | 1,300$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Under | 39c | 811.67$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.33 | 202 | 45.5%92 W · 110 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb106…214bbacked Under | 2c | 750$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Under | 41c | 700$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287 | 129 | 54.3%70 W · 59 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Under | 39c | 600$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234 | 227 | 46.7%106 W · 121 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Under | 39c | 374.25$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.96 | 118 | 53.4%63 W · 55 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf15…bc03backed Under | 41c | 310.42$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.27 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 12c | 290.91$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.67 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Under | 39c | 201.25$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.49 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Under | 32c | 175.65$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.66 | 170 | 32.9%56 W · 114 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 627 | 44.3%278 W · 349 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca7…0c48backed Under | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -21%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee1…268bbacked Over | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9368…8b01backed Under | 39c | 80.54$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.41 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 40c | 59.97$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.99 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9b…2be5backed Under | 40c | 58.52$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.12 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde66…be48backed Under | 41c | 55.18$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.62 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 68c | 50.05$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.05 | 387 | 48.1%186 W · 201 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x087f…2ebfbacked Under | 41c | 49.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Under | 41c | 48.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 288 | 47.6%137 W · 151 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7468…3d24backed Under | 41c | 48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.68 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under | 41c | 39.83$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.33 | 88 | 67%59 W · 29 L | +8.4wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 29c | 34.91$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb26a…214fbacked Under | 41c | 33.72$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.83 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.37per pick | 54cpaid | -72.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e32…449bbacked Under | 41c | 33.44$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.71 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16fe…9496backed Over | 57c | 31.53$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.53 | 209 | 47.4%99 W · 110 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2734…22efbacked Under | 40c | 30.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d27…676ebacked Under | 42c | 28.63$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x927f…b921backed Over | 60c | 26.47$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.67 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…1e2bbacked Over | 56c | 24.15$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.63 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 44c | 24.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.63 | 1,038 | 48.1%499 W · 539 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd650…8d74backed Over | 60c | 19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Real Racing Club vs. Albacete Balompié: O/U 2.5this page
- Real Racing Club vs. Albacete Balompié: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Real Racing Club vs. Albacete Balompié: O/U 3.5Over won
- Real Racing Club vs. Albacete Balompié: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Albacete Balompié (-1.5)Albacete Balompié won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.