TailMyPicks

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Tennis · resolved market

Yokkaichi: Hayato Matsuoka vs Soon-Woo Kwon

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Hayato Matsuokaof Hayato Matsuoka, Soon-Woo Kwon
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$63,756
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$65,938

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,756 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd6a3…9489backed Hayato Matsuoka24c11,253$2,707 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,546.112,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Hayato Matsuoka18c9,670$1,737 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,933.258,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Soon-Woo Kwon72c5,820$4,173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,173.026,43954.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L+285.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Hayato Matsuoka27c1,830$498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,332.7911,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Soon-Woo Kwon69c1,413$973 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$973.177,81650.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L+95.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1118…6f82backed Soon-Woo Kwon73c1,377$1,011 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,011.223767.6%25 W · 12 L+4.4wins+0.12per pick56cpaid+19.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Soon-Woo Kwon36c1,039$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373.864,60248.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L+34.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Soon-Woo Kwon55c909.09$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001,44648.8%706 W · 740 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Soon-Woo Kwon73c892.59$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$649.7327240.4%110 W · 162 L-25.4wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-26.8%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x40d2…312fbacked Soon-Woo Kwon71c799.95$568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$567.9712055.8%67 W · 53 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2488…ff0ebacked Soon-Woo Kwon78c794.67$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62048650.6%246 W · 240 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b99…3035backed Soon-Woo Kwon3c735.43$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13e5…1ea5backed Soon-Woo Kwon72c725.72$523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$522.5211245.5%51 W · 61 L-9.4wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-17.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6cad…5d46backed Soon-Woo Kwon2c670.5$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.414030%12 W · 28 L-5.0wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-31.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Soon-Woo Kwon18c652.99$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.393,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57b4…48bebacked Soon-Woo Kwon76c571.34$434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$433.95728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.26per pick55cpaid-61%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8a39…fa93backed Soon-Woo Kwon73c559.83$407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407.391060%6 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Hayato Matsuoka22c554$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433.7873745.2%333 W · 404 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9647…4d48backed Soon-Woo Kwon58c517.24$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3004454.5%24 W · 20 L+3.7wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+18.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Hayato Matsuoka23c481.55$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.414,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf512…5198backed Hayato Matsuoka23c450.51$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.5357267.3%385 W · 187 L+33.5wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+7.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Hayato Matsuoka13c415.61$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.857,72447.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L+41.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x45e8…5169backed Hayato Matsuoka22c403.57$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.581822.2%4 W · 14 L-4.7wins-0.26per pick48cpaid-45.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x39dc…fc23backed Soon-Woo Kwon78c350$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.91,86144.4%827 W · 1,034 L-15.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbba3…89cabacked Hayato Matsuoka32c341.84$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.562245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Soon-Woo Kwon72c315.31$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.893,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Hayato Matsuoka25c298.74$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.333,27013.8%450 W · 2,820 L-549.1wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-57.4%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0x6aaa…ddfdbacked Hayato Matsuoka79c256.54$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.7727346.5%127 W · 146 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Soon-Woo Kwon61c254.42$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.526,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a46…196cbacked Hayato Matsuoka29c250.66$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.974837.5%18 W · 30 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x46ff…6672backed Hayato Matsuoka16c250$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21015512.9%20 W · 135 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick14cpaid+4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Hayato Matsuoka45c222.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.221,25850%629 W · 629 L-4.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dfe…a5d6backed Hayato Matsuoka47c213.34$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.3450458.9%297 W · 207 L+9.6wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf3c8…e340backed Soon-Woo Kwon7c202$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.4216718.6%31 W · 136 L-23.4wins-0.14per pick33cpaid-54.7%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x3b1f…6500backed Soon-Woo Kwon75c200$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15069249.6%343 W · 349 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Soon-Woo Kwon62c186$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.732,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0b95…07e5backed Soon-Woo Kwon74c175.68$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.496349.2%31 W · 32 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x73a2…3b68backed Soon-Woo Kwon72c162.04$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.8926349%129 W · 134 L-8.9wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Hayato Matsuoka19c158.49$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.3948652.1%253 W · 233 L-1.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf026…8df7backed Hayato Matsuoka22c150$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.337342.6%159 W · 214 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Soon-Woo Kwon71c142.69$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.5455660.3%335 W · 221 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Soon-Woo Kwon73c141$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.5943558.6%255 W · 180 L+9.0wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe82c…4d90backed Soon-Woo Kwon9c135.99$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.624413.6%6 W · 38 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick12cpaid-19.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4bd…6cecbacked Soon-Woo Kwon78c128.21$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10023248.3%112 W · 120 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Hayato Matsuoka26c112.85$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.3537153.9%200 W · 171 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Soon-Woo Kwon64c103.46$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.524,70349.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L+166.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb778…6492backed Hayato Matsuoka30c100$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$703655.6%20 W · 16 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc539…5ec2backed Soon-Woo Kwon76c92.11$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7032843.9%144 W · 184 L-11.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaf60…79c5backed Soon-Woo Kwon78c91.45$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.154136.6%15 W · 26 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Hayato Matsuoka20c89.61$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.7745147.2%213 W · 238 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Hayato Matsuoka27c85.09$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.4939955.4%221 W · 178 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd38…93b1backed Hayato Matsuoka24c82.28$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.894940.8%20 W · 29 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2af3…7246backed Hayato Matsuoka24c78.91$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.712100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+180.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Hayato Matsuoka26c78.9$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.111,13250.3%569 W · 563 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8dec…60c2backed Hayato Matsuoka31c76.6$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.8334950.4%176 W · 173 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Hayato Matsuoka22c74.16$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.8485742.8%367 W · 490 L-23.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Soon-Woo Kwon67c73.89$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.496,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7dca…72a5backed Hayato Matsuoka19c71.73$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.0420847.1%98 W · 110 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xecae…b906backed Hayato Matsuoka60c70.1$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.111,02646.8%480 W · 546 L+14.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b24…11efbacked Soon-Woo Kwon69c70$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.364065.9%422 W · 218 L+2.9wins0.00per pick65cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a05…7757backed Hayato Matsuoka23c68.65$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.012556%14 W · 11 L+2.4wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+23.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3372…1914backed Hayato Matsuoka45c67.27$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.275166.7%34 W · 17 L+3.6wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+7.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x230d…b378backed Soon-Woo Kwon80c61.25$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick63cpaid-56.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5ce5…af2ebacked Hayato Matsuoka46c53.9$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.217146.5%33 W · 38 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd51…ce69backed Soon-Woo Kwon62c52.92$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.9637156.3%209 W · 162 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed Soon-Woo Kwon79c50.76$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4053752.3%281 W · 256 L+2.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Hayato Matsuoka25c49.48$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.111,67850.8%852 W · 826 L+30.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5625…6c2abacked Soon-Woo Kwon72c44.44$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3212831.3%40 W · 88 L-20.8wins-0.16per pick48cpaid-36.8%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x8dcd…74c6backed Hayato Matsuoka45c44.3$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.421833.3%6 W · 12 L-3.3wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-31.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xdd77…ef21backed Soon-Woo Kwon72c44.26$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.6765264.1%418 W · 234 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+2.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4fb4…8830backed Hayato Matsuoka47c42.55$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.553935.9%14 W · 25 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c38…291fbacked Hayato Matsuoka30c41.9$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.3310155.4%56 W · 45 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53c5…cb95backed Soon-Woo Kwon76c40.29$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.6224244.6%108 W · 134 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Hayato Matsuoka32c39.34$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.7257252.3%299 W · 273 L+17.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x722a…d6edbacked Soon-Woo Kwon76c38.89$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.566864.7%44 W · 24 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Hayato Matsuoka29c38.76$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.551,45950.1%731 W · 728 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56cd…2ddcbacked Soon-Woo Kwon71c35.21$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2523249.1%114 W · 118 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe761…4f54backed Soon-Woo Kwon68c34.74$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.5626349.4%130 W · 133 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e2a…a58dbacked Soon-Woo Kwon31c33.72$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5416369.3%113 W · 50 L+16.6wins+0.10per pick59cpaid+14.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4093…5749backed Soon-Woo Kwon61c29$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.792,85549.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54f0…6a27backed Soon-Woo Kwon73c27.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick52cpaid-48.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe7be…908dbacked Soon-Woo Kwon74c27.16$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.992832.1%9 W · 19 L-5.7wins-0.20per pick52cpaid-44.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xd866…55e0backed Soon-Woo Kwon72c25.64$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.5438460.4%232 W · 152 L+29.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbe53…2dbabacked Soon-Woo Kwon72c20$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.488273.5%648 W · 234 L+19.8wins+0.02per pick71cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd88…e4d9backed Soon-Woo Kwon75c16.54$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.411457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+18.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.