Fifa International · resolved market
Argentina vs. Mauritania: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8a52311cf097c851e66287dc095c4441c683261a7cea408e767ffe99ff8b0ec1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,157
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,815
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,157 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 52c | 2,140$1,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,030.18 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa084…bb99backed Under | 50c | 2,132$1,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,073.2 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +73.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc7…43e5backed Over | 23c | 1,939$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.71 | 138 | 30.4%42 W · 96 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8566…c626backed Under | 49c | 1,416$694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722.15 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb9…f6b3backed Over | 53c | 1,183$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625.41 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Over | 51c | 922.94$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.94 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 56c | 555.9$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313 | 454 | 28%127 W · 327 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 54c | 499.96$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.88 | 592 | 30.1%178 W · 414 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7e…cd92backed Under | 49c | 470$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a4…f0c0backed Over | 54c | 450.69$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.87 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 54c | 440.35$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.45 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae3…3c15backed Over | 57c | 429.14$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.54 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 48c | 408.17$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.7 | 831 | 53.3%443 W · 388 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 50c | 341.25$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.01 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0a8…2282backed Over | 50c | 300.52$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 80 | 36.3%29 W · 51 L | -6.6wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a2b…c97cbacked Under | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9859…1650backed Over | 54c | 249.97$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.69 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed Under | 55c | 241.46$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.39 | 159 | 50.9%81 W · 78 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Over | 50c | 199.69$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.84 | 237 | 49.8%118 W · 119 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Under | 52c | 181.24$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.24 | 823 | 40.9%337 W · 486 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2605…2b17backed Under | 57c | 175.97$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.97 | 39 | 74.4%29 W · 10 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9256…5bcebacked Over | 54c | 138.47$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.27 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +110%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39ee…4ad6backed Over | 58c | 126.54$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +16%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Over | 57c | 125.68$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.64 | 257 | 27.2%70 W · 187 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Under | 58c | 125$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.17 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b95…07e5backed Under | 50c | 120.44$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.65 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Under | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 246 | 54.1%133 W · 113 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Under | 46c | 101.87$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.01 | 167 | 58.7%98 W · 69 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08f0…2000backed Over | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x797e…fc29backed Over | 54c | 99.43$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.51 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -68.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 46c | 99.26$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.62 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc71a…f135backed Under | 47c | 97.36$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.6 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Under | 45c | 94.47$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.22 | 436 | 53.7%234 W · 202 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb18c…df51backed Over | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -5.1wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0a1e…5349backed Over | 57c | 91.7$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.98 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 71c | 89.97$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.09 | 864 | 55.3%478 W · 386 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Under | 71c | 89.97$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.09 | 255 | 54.5%139 W · 116 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Under | 71c | 89.97$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.09 | 246 | 53.3%131 W · 115 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 71c | 89.97$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.09 | 508 | 50%254 W · 254 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c56…0615backed Under | 50c | 86.5$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61e4…fb60backed Under | 46c | 80$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +4.3wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Under | 45c | 79$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.22 | 707 | 50.1%354 W · 353 L | +25.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8e…7fe3backed Over | 54c | 75.37$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.66 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0922…d953backed Under | 51c | 74.76$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.98 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Under | 47c | 74.47$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.47 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +5.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Under | 53c | 61.5$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.13 | 84 | 56%47 W · 37 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2c…9d16backed Over | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 282 | 40.8%115 W · 167 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5258…4f34backed Under | 50c | 60.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.46 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x431e…5079backed Under | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed Under | 51c | 55.39$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.19 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68d1…f166backed Over | 55c | 54.53$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8855…83adbacked Over | 54c | 49.5$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.83 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe7be…908dbacked Under | 51c | 49.42$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 43c | 48.6$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.48 | 368 | 50.3%185 W · 183 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Over | 55c | 45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 159 | 32.7%52 W · 107 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 51c | 43.14$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 308 | 36%111 W · 197 L | -17.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed Over | 50c | 41.56$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.79 | 208 | 60.6%126 W · 82 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c66…5ab3backed Over | 54c | 40.67$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.96 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.20per pick | 43cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked Over | 51c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dcd…74c6backed Under | 56c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +65.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed Over | 50c | 39.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.58 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under | 47c | 38.79$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.56 | 637 | 45.4%289 W · 348 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb44…71dfbacked Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9c…1700backed Under | 71c | 35.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 93 | 51.6%48 W · 45 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa658…f93ebacked Under | 59c | 34.11$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.11 | 147 | 66%97 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16fe…9496backed Over | 62c | 29.27$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.25 | 127 | 44.1%56 W · 71 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d54…81a1backed Over | 36c | 27.8$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8385…66b7backed Over | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae1c…91c3backed Over | 53c | 24.53$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed Under | 45c | 23$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.65 | 60 | 25%15 W · 45 L | -5.6wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe868…7c4fbacked Under | 51c | 22.84$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.19 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae6f…6c9bbacked Under | 47c | 21.28$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +3.1wins | +0.28per pick | 45cpaid | +80.2%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Under | 53c | 21.28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 218 | 46.8%102 W · 116 L | +19.9wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Under | 60c | 20.03$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 198 | 62.1%123 W · 75 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe153…a036backed Over | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e2…388ebacked Over | 55c | 19.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 63cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Argentina vs. Mauritania: O/U 4.5this page
- Argentina vs. Mauritania: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Argentina vs. Mauritania: O/U 1.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Mauritania: O/U 2.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Mauritania: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Argentina (-1.5)Mauritania won
- Spread: Argentina (-4.5)Mauritania won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.