Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on March 29?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x649386b378b36cd82b8e12350d14349dd1d945fd807b0a313f95b8346ee9568f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $116,058
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $122,139
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $116,058 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 182 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x562d…b739backed No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x832b…8b8bbacked No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…f3e2backed No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1b…cebdbacked No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78df…406abacked No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bad…b337backed No | 1c | 3,053$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.11 | 323 | 10.5%34 W · 289 L | +15.6wins | +0.05per pick | 6cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed No | 11c | 1,480$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.23 | 590 | 21.7%128 W · 462 L | -24.2wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcda…bb51backed Yes | 75c | 1,361$1,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.98 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82f3…9f82backed No | 73c | 881.67$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640.27 | 1,455 | 24.7%359 W · 1,096 L | -33.3wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…2112backed Yes | 77c | 802.57$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.45 | 101 | 84.2%85 W · 16 L | +26.9wins | +0.27per pick | 57cpaid | +70.6%equal weight | 74+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a1…3840backed Yes | 31c | 794$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.34 | 1,153 | 27.1%312 W · 841 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed Yes | 27c | 767.46$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.53 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 36c | 607.11$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.85 | 860 | 50.9%438 W · 422 L | +29.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c0…5443backed Yes | 40c | 603.4$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.63 | 187 | 40.6%76 W · 111 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 41c | 574.32$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.26 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 33c | 519.92$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.13 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 51c | 492.1$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.86 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…3024backed No | 11c | 482.12$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.43 | 336 | 20.2%68 W · 268 L | +24.9wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed No | 49c | 473.38$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.05 | 2,001 | 38.4%768 W · 1,233 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc24f…81d3backed No | 7c | 458.73$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.33 | 985 | 71%699 W · 286 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 57c | 420.89$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.01 | 1,842 | 63.5%1,170 W · 672 L | -42.5wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 54c | 329.01$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.27 | 583 | 49.4%288 W · 295 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…50febacked Yes | 44c | 310.07$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.6 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -4.8wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcd15…b352backed No | 41c | 303.83$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.92 | 1,857 | 18.7%347 W · 1,510 L | +77.0wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3859…6903backed Yes | 36c | 291.21$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.9 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd96b…7f20backed Yes | 41c | 269.99$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.94 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 34c | 261.07$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.61 | 1,840 | 37%681 W · 1,159 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x343f…bb4dbacked Yes | 40c | 253.97$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.27 | 135 | 33.3%45 W · 90 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05e7…9641backed Yes | 38c | 250$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 18cpaid | +85.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde4c…fa5fbacked No | 62c | 250$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc6f…f0f0backed No | 6c | 229.63$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.92 | 41 | 9.8%4 W · 37 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8596…34c2backed No | 59c | 200.99$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.58 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef3…f1c5backed Yes | 39c | 200.13$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.82 | 324 | 44.4%144 W · 180 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae07…8059backed Yes | 34c | 198.39$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.1 | 435 | 25.3%110 W · 325 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95b2…49aabacked Yes | 57c | 174.01$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.1 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dce…4490backed Yes | 30c | 169.99$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.99 | 1,285 | 19.5%250 W · 1,035 L | +44.3wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd80a…c714backed Yes | 35c | 166.96$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.62 | 1,977 | 18.8%371 W · 1,606 L | +8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fc…88e1backed Yes | 32c | 163.04$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.55 | 1,298 | 33.1%430 W · 868 L | +39.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd637…7617backed Yes | 49c | 156.74$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.35 | 135 | 33.3%45 W · 90 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc08e…9594backed Yes | 27c | 155$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.65 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa37d…b2b4backed Yes | 68c | 154.23$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.96 | 321 | 57.3%184 W · 137 L | +17.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 63c | 149.89$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.81 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 31c | 146.32$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.03 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked Yes | 13c | 137.98$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.93 | 368 | 19.6%72 W · 296 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe07e…0e7ebacked Yes | 37c | 134.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.05 | 334 | 50.6%169 W · 165 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefc8…4676backed Yes | 56c | 130$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.2 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1361…f12bbacked Yes | 32c | 129.23$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.81 | 1,924 | 33.8%651 W · 1,273 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4add…6fe5backed Yes | 41c | 125.88$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.88 | 1,452 | 36.8%534 W · 918 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d6…b8e3backed Yes | 14c | 120.38$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.31 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 22c | 118.6$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.81 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xfe84…20e0backed No | 68c | 117.64$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc17e…906abacked Yes | 51c | 110$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.07 | 540 | 43.9%237 W · 303 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ea…266abacked No | 19c | 104.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -56%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7768…ee93backed Yes | 28c | 102$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9271…19eabacked Yes | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.29 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x78f3…9d2cbacked Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +157.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f12…7057backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 192 | 59.9%115 W · 77 L | -9.3wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe01f…ff34backed Yes | 38c | 99.99$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.99 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x600c…8bd4backed Yes | 42c | 99.99$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.99 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc85e…5d37backed Yes | 40c | 99.28$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.28 | 146 | 32.9%48 W · 98 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 68c | 94.6$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.67 | 3,175 | 62.7%1,992 W · 1,183 L | +12.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd50…c0a8backed No | 62c | 93.22$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.59 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Yes | 29c | 92.86$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.5 | 3,859 | 23.4%903 W · 2,956 L | +128.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 46c | 92.75$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.11 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x4611…3790backed Yes | 31c | 92.15$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.58 | 31 | 9.7%3 W · 28 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c82…f315backed Yes | 35c | 90.01$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.2 | 139 | 30.2%42 W · 97 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce1…c33abacked No | 68c | 87.77$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.88 | 149 | 61.1%91 W · 58 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 59c | 86.5$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.38 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d84…4ff1backed No | 67c | 83.36$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.25 | 295 | 58%171 W · 124 L | -13.7wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e04…d367backed No | 62c | 83.32$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.38 | 89 | 69.7%62 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…faeabacked No | 29c | 80.1$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.35 | 311 | 70.7%220 W · 91 L | +42.3wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6316…7488backed Yes | 28c | 80$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.28 | 153 | 34%52 W · 101 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e44…eec7backed Yes | 41c | 79.99$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.19 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc921…d6f3backed No | 62c | 79.01$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.86 | 153 | 39.9%61 W · 92 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a3…b156backed Yes | 40c | 75.3$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.3 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb44d…ba3abacked Yes | 27c | 75.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.07 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 30cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x710d…02aabacked Yes | 75c | 75$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.96 | 340 | 67.4%229 W · 111 L | +24.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x483d…65f2backed No | 67c | 73.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.51 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2967…4ae7backed Yes | 25c | 72.65$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.45 | 257 | 25.7%66 W · 191 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1941…deeabacked Yes | 35c | 71.73$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.97 | 1,072 | 36.6%392 W · 680 L | +25.9wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x579a…9908backed No | 62c | 67$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.54 | 121 | 54.5%66 W · 55 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0eb…a7d8backed No | 61c | 65.57$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 58 | 74.1%43 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 72cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83fe…23d9backed No | 67c | 64$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.88 | 327 | 60.6%198 W · 129 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 34c | 64$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.23 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf576…a786backed No | 71c | 63.41$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.02 | 376 | 69.4%261 W · 115 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 69cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b85…b31ebacked Yes | 41c | 61.9$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.52 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x883f…0634backed Yes | 31c | 61.2$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.22 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…916fbacked No | 57c | 61.02$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.54 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe11d…44ecbacked No | 41c | 60.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.94 | 180 | 41.7%75 W · 105 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadd0…df58backed Yes | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.2 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc10…311fbacked Yes | 45c | 57.94$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77f0…2b1fbacked No | 74c | 57.64$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.55 | 3,028 | 49.8%1,509 W · 1,519 L | +16.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbb…2faabacked Yes | 35c | 57.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.04 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4791…3b1abacked Yes | 28c | 56.76$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.63 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 47c | 56.43$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.33 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3681…4e48backed No | 73c | 54.84$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.79 | 1,375 | 56%770 W · 605 L | +25.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed Yes | 59c | 53.59$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.84 | 981 | 60.6%594 W · 387 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 37c | 53.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f8…f4cbbacked Yes | 63c | 52.05$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.14 | 812 | 34.1%277 W · 535 L | +56.9wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7e24…7379backed Yes | 35c | 51.77$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.65 | 456 | 19.1%87 W · 369 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on March 29?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be 90°F or higher on March 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on March 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on March 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on March 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on March 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on March 29?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.