Tennis · resolved market
Bucaramanga: Maxime Janvier vs Nicolas Villalon
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc3f50d661e7d560d4aa06035440494c23e28f4ec77030fbe2ef7860b1adb0b75
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nicolas Villalonof Maxime Janvier, Nicolas Villalon
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,275
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,275 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8cda…2de5backed Maxime Janvier | 41c | 12,541$5,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,194.92 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Nicolas Villalon | 56c | 4,942$2,788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,153.86 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Nicolas Villalon | 58c | 4,364$2,535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,829.67 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Maxime Janvier | 0c | 3,918$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.55 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31c1…7047backed Maxime Janvier | 46c | 2,192$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,007.98 | 798 | 55.9%446 W · 352 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Maxime Janvier | 20c | 1,462$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.83 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Nicolas Villalon | 60c | 1,338$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.58 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c32…d322backed Maxime Janvier | 77c | 909.08$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 120 | 66.7%80 W · 40 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Maxime Janvier | 30c | 901.88$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.85 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Nicolas Villalon | 61c | 699.54$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.65 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfe…a5d6backed Maxime Janvier | 77c | 647.62$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 504 | 58.9%297 W · 207 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Nicolas Villalon | 48c | 613.06$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.92 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5788…b08cbacked Maxime Janvier | 48c | 426.42$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.68 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb58…a62ebacked Nicolas Villalon | 56c | 378.89$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.92 | 217 | 67.7%147 W · 70 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Nicolas Villalon | 28c | 328.26$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.16 | 288 | 35.1%101 W · 187 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Nicolas Villalon | 77c | 324.5$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.11 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Nicolas Villalon | 22c | 312.7$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.91 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Nicolas Villalon | 22c | 302.5$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Nicolas Villalon | 70c | 241.27$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.25 | 958 | 46.6%446 W · 512 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc629…5e51backed Maxime Janvier | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 573 | 49.6%284 W · 289 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22d2…82d7backed Nicolas Villalon | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 279 | 40.1%112 W · 167 L | -11.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe82c…4d90backed Maxime Janvier | 10c | 182.76$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.88 | 44 | 13.6%6 W · 38 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2488…ff0ebacked Nicolas Villalon | 59c | 167.31$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.6 | 486 | 50.6%246 W · 240 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bd…6cecbacked Nicolas Villalon | 59c | 167.27$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.58 | 232 | 48.3%112 W · 120 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x423c…25d5backed Maxime Janvier | 17c | 151.06$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.68 | 103 | 17.5%18 W · 85 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Nicolas Villalon | 75c | 132.99$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.61 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd88a…1eefbacked Nicolas Villalon | 25c | 132$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 544 | 34.2%186 W · 358 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a46…196cbacked Maxime Janvier | 25c | 131.37$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.84 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Maxime Janvier | 77c | 125.53$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.66 | 1,284 | 39.2%503 W · 781 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Nicolas Villalon | 32c | 115.07$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.52 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20f6…0f69backed Maxime Janvier | 61c | 108.2$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.84 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…8048backed Maxime Janvier | 76c | 100.26$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 412 | 72.8%300 W · 112 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Nicolas Villalon | 26c | 100$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 245 | 47.8%117 W · 128 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91c0…e4ccbacked Maxime Janvier | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 515 | 39.8%205 W · 310 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c3…079fbacked Maxime Janvier | 64c | 92.68$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 893 | 64.4%575 W · 318 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe214…7febbacked Maxime Janvier | 25c | 90$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 124 | 44.4%55 W · 69 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2a…a58dbacked Nicolas Villalon | 58c | 87.23$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.41 | 163 | 69.3%113 W · 50 L | +16.6wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1e57…ddc3backed Nicolas Villalon | 34c | 83.21$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.97 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -57%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Nicolas Villalon | 23c | 82$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.14 | 556 | 60.3%335 W · 221 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Nicolas Villalon | 24c | 80.26$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Maxime Janvier | 78c | 80$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.4 | 423 | 53.7%227 W · 196 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Maxime Janvier | 32c | 77.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.94 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Maxime Janvier | 17c | 76.77$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 1,130 | 27.9%315 W · 815 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x810d…6080backed Maxime Janvier | 71c | 67.21$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.04 | 139 | 55.4%77 W · 62 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…5403backed Nicolas Villalon | 59c | 66.26$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.17 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dec…60c2backed Nicolas Villalon | 64c | 65.48$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.63 | 349 | 50.4%176 W · 173 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0154…30f7backed Maxime Janvier | 76c | 65.48$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 524 | 57.4%301 W · 223 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x700a…58a5backed Maxime Janvier | 42c | 59.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.1 | 180 | 20.6%37 W · 143 L | -14.0wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd77…ef21backed Maxime Janvier | 53c | 54$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 652 | 64.1%418 W · 234 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7789…d6c0backed Maxime Janvier | 75c | 50$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd866…55e0backed Nicolas Villalon | 52c | 49.31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.9 | 384 | 60.4%232 W · 152 L | +29.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d42…0b66backed Maxime Janvier | 26c | 46.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 222 | 62.6%139 W · 83 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x877c…e669backed Maxime Janvier | 74c | 43$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.82 | 229 | 63.3%145 W · 84 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Maxime Janvier | 75c | 40$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 580 | 67.8%393 W · 187 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked Maxime Janvier | 79c | 40$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.6 | 474 | 53.2%252 W · 222 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d00…95b2backed Nicolas Villalon | 56c | 39.26$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.18 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -31%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3900…145ebacked Nicolas Villalon | 41c | 35.04$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.67 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a5…f64abacked Nicolas Villalon | 61c | 32.73$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.73 | 849 | 63.1%536 W · 313 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe44c…f15cbacked Maxime Janvier | 47c | 31.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 137 | 48.9%67 W · 70 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c56…0615backed Nicolas Villalon | 46c | 30.32$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.32 | 594 | 40.2%239 W · 355 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d2…2be9backed Maxime Janvier | 48c | 29.46$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.14 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Maxime Janvier | 76c | 25.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 1,276 | 61%778 W · 498 L | +27.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x586d…fb12backed Nicolas Villalon | 44c | 24.06$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.56 | 211 | 72%152 W · 59 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8dcd…74c6backed Maxime Janvier | 60c | 21.87$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.19 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.3wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Nicolas Villalon | 51c | 21.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.48 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…3221backed Nicolas Villalon | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 77 | 61%47 W · 30 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Nicolas Villalon | 72c | 18.49$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 416 | 58.7%244 W · 172 L | +22.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Nicolas Villalon | 75c | 17.67$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.46 | 1,132 | 50.3%569 W · 563 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Nicolas Villalon | 76c | 17.34$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.14 | 486 | 52.1%253 W · 233 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c67…de1dbacked Maxime Janvier | 73c | 17.1$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ea…42e8backed Maxime Janvier | 75c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 898 | 59.7%536 W · 362 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bucaramanga: Maxime Janvier vs Nicolas Villalonthis page
- Set 1 Winner: Janvier vs VillalonVillalon won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.