TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Chelsea FC vs. Port Vale FC: O/U 4.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$74,008
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$78,404

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,008 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 133 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x37e0…024ebacked Under59c10,000$5,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,899.8518950.3%95 W · 94 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb5fd…8c6dbacked Under59c6,298$3,698 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,697.521723.5%4 W · 13 L-4.7wins-0.28per pick51cpaid-58.4%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x2d46…98e9backed Over61c4,916$2,997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,918.88683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.14per pick69cpaid+27.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over54c4,117$2,234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,883.084,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over41c3,620$1,493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,126.751,22049.8%607 W · 613 L+4.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under38c3,469$1,315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,314.956,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x762e…4bf0backed Under61c2,861$1,735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,735.145851.7%30 W · 28 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26eb…22d0backed Over40c2,500$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,500.021735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-15.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0ea3…71a1backed Over41c2,096$861 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,234.872268.2%15 W · 7 L+5.1wins+0.23per pick45cpaid+52.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Under60c2,000$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20040953.3%218 W · 191 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Under46c1,689$777 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7775954.2%32 W · 27 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Over41c1,500$615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88582763%521 W · 306 L+113.2wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+41.9%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Over39c1,365$538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$826.681,26433.7%426 W · 838 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked Under2c1,200$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18933.2%3 W · 90 L-0.2wins0.00per pick3cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Over42c1,179$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$687.8714055%77 W · 63 L+18.4wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+29.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Under73c1,008$735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73530050.7%152 W · 148 L-16.5wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-8.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0656…4d9bbacked Under2c1,000$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16565.4%3 W · 53 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick4cpaid+150.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc87…dd68backed Over48c935$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490.755632.1%18 W · 38 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick35cpaid+2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x458c…ee3ebacked Over57c881.26$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.261258.3%7 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick68cpaid-17.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc1ae…f001backed Over38c849.99$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5271643.8%7 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.12per pick32cpaid+74%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed Over41c731.71$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431.715345.3%24 W · 29 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Over41c608.77$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.1513347.4%63 W · 70 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a1c5backed Over54c557.15$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.1510847.2%51 W · 57 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74e0…af4bbacked Over41c538$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.419426.3%51 W · 143 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick24cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over44c514.85$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.9918851.6%97 W · 91 L+13.2wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+13.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under26c491.83$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.4996645.4%439 W · 527 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over41c483.27$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.111,07445%483 W · 591 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over41c482.68$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.9319356%108 W · 85 L+21.4wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+24.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x1f4f…6dddbacked Over43c475$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.758643%37 W · 49 L-0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa0f…574cbacked Over60c464.46$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.55147.1%24 W · 27 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-24.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6081…f0f2backed Over50c437.96$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.982958.6%17 W · 12 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed Under61c432.99$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.569035.6%32 W · 58 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+1.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Over57c410.73$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.159058.9%53 W · 37 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfce1…4f4cbacked Over55c351.27$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.615457.4%31 W · 23 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x49ca…5944backed Over63c317.46$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.4611969.7%83 W · 36 L+7.5wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9ed9…9949backed Over40c312.5$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.53063.3%19 W · 11 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbec5…8f77backed Over36c300$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1921266.7%8 W · 4 L+4.0wins+0.34per pick33cpaid+94.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x7c15…9667backed Under61c300$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18312744.1%56 W · 71 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-18.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Over39c300$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18312251.6%63 W · 59 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Under56c286.17$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.7136545.2%165 W · 200 L-14.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Over41c262.53$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.323556.2%132 W · 103 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadb9…ef55backed Over55c258.34$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.874254.8%23 W · 19 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Over41c244.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.471,22442.3%518 W · 706 L-27.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over40c240.28$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1431,66234.9%580 W · 1,082 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc559…9614backed Over49c240$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.43100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+96.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Over41c231.5$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.29752.6%51 W · 46 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed Over42c227.01$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.5222146.2%102 W · 119 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under46c221.69$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.811,93442.4%820 W · 1,114 L-43.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ae4…7c46backed Over44c215.15$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.677758.4%45 W · 32 L+0.3wins0.00per pick58cpaid+4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x87f0…361dbacked Under58c200$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1161650%8 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+9.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb47f…d792backed Over62c200$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$762759.3%16 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Over41c180$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.251847.3%245 W · 273 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+11.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e46…60d6backed Over54c176$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.76960.9%42 W · 27 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick58cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc9b7…93ebbacked Over53c174.87$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.634562.2%28 W · 17 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick57cpaid-2.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e2d…fb60backed Over58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.4114351%73 W · 70 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x22af…399abacked Over70c171.36$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.414533.3%15 W · 30 L+3.9wins+0.09per pick25cpaid+110.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb1cc…1958backed Over61c170.72$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.242871.4%20 W · 8 L+3.0wins+0.11per pick61cpaid+19.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xef5c…6ababacked Over61c160.16$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.872642.3%11 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-23.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xba0c…7800backed Over42c153.57$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.071457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+27.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9209…b4d5backed Over40c149.65$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.792962.1%18 W · 11 L+4.1wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+31.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xc7fa…f6dfbacked Under48c148.4$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.231735.3%6 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-22.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Over41c143.21$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.2116753.3%89 W · 78 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd208…29e6backed Over41c143.21$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.216866.2%45 W · 23 L+9.0wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+21.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Over41c143.21$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.216462.5%40 W · 24 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Over39c140$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.1779639.6%315 W · 481 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x030d…8e95backed Over41c133.32$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.665457.4%31 W · 23 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+20.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd9f5…0688backed Under60c130$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$785642.9%24 W · 32 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2aef…f8dfbacked Under56c124.44$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.691735.3%6 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ef1…cea5backed Over51c117.78$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.841323.1%3 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-57.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2fdb…e671backed Over41c106.39$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.72100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+111%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x370e…5df3backed Over43c105$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.8512450.8%63 W · 61 L+7.1wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbde…3dc9backed Under57c105$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.8511143.2%48 W · 63 L-6.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-18.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x21db…2a42backed Over48c104$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.088037.5%30 W · 50 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-15.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xea74…cf99backed Over40c100$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$605164.7%33 W · 18 L+4.7wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+15.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8900…a444backed Under44c98.94$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.163056.7%17 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd208…cbcdbacked Over55c81.75$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.793262.5%20 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick60cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72bd…d37abacked Over57c81.27$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.8611850.8%60 W · 58 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7798…9ef0backed Over62c80.65$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.651100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under37c79.25$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.1431849.1%156 W · 162 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked Over41c78.97$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.3210861.1%66 W · 42 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over37c75.66$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.6775850%379 W · 379 L+20.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x94d4…18f9backed Over66c73.91$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251478.6%11 W · 3 L+2.4wins+0.17per pick62cpaid+28.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Over41c73.08$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.4311055.5%61 W · 49 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Under49c71.43$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3540841.9%171 W · 237 L-8.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf69b…a6ddbacked Over41c68.52$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.432751.9%14 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0655…faf8backed Over44c68.18$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.186553.8%35 W · 30 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Under34c62.4$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.0921250%106 W · 106 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xce06…c99dbacked Over79c57.58$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.893441.2%14 W · 20 L-5.4wins-0.16per pick57cpaid-34.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb36a…30cabacked Over35c57.14$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.144535.6%16 W · 29 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ee7…4c1abacked Over76c55.65$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.295561.8%34 W · 21 L-0.2wins0.00per pick62cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Over40c52.39$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.3213748.9%67 W · 70 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4167…f99abacked Over42c51$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.581947.4%9 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+17.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Over50c48.06$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.1910054%54 W · 46 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Under39c48$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.727254.2%39 W · 33 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8847…0a81backed Under31c47.85$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.820%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc2d4…d21fbacked Over41c45$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.551070%7 W · 3 L+2.7wins+0.27per pick43cpaid+79.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x958d…3501backed Under69c44.44$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.5342862.4%267 W · 161 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x287f…3c11backed Over61c43.8$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.08540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-30.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0154…30f7backed Under59c42.37$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2515553.5%83 W · 72 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Over41c42.1$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.6330057%171 W · 129 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.