Premier League · resolved market
Chelsea FC vs. Port Vale FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf2394304d27a6735dd9792d6af67b6f514233457e91543fa76f73e002f5963a0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $78,882
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $110,353
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $78,882 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Over | 59c | 21,208$12,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,708.34 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Under | 41c | 11,710$4,801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,801.07 | 137 | 48.2%66 W · 71 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 30c | 4,548$1,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,369.9 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 41c | 2,269$935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$934.84 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9541…3b71backed Under | 39c | 2,133$836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$835.87 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 52cpaid | -56%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc95b…f819backed Under | 42c | 1,429$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 21c | 1,330$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.58 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Under | 40c | 1,099$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.72 | 133 | 48.9%65 W · 68 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Over | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 122 | 41.8%51 W · 71 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Under | 40c | 999.98$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.99 | 266 | 51.1%136 W · 130 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Under | 42c | 997.62$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 57c | 873.07$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.07 | 157 | 57.3%90 W · 67 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 11c | 855$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.5 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 42c | 741.1$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.25 | 1,220 | 49.8%607 W · 613 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 63c | 714.29$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.29 | 200 | 54.5%109 W · 91 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63a7…3bb2backed Under | 40c | 618.82$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 66c | 538.2$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.19 | 140 | 55%77 W · 63 L | +18.4wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 41c | 500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 1,074 | 45%483 W · 591 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Under | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Under | 40c | 475$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 300 | 50.7%152 W · 148 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Over | 56c | 446.43$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.43 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 41c | 379.88$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.32 | 964 | 43.7%421 W · 543 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Under | 35c | 357.42$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.31 | 518 | 47.3%245 W · 273 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Under | 28c | 286.04$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.09 | 353 | 28.6%101 W · 252 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 72c | 276.3$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.39 | 193 | 56%108 W · 85 L | +21.4wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x23f9…3c2dbacked Under | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a53…074abacked Under | 11c | 240.91$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8a…02acbacked Under | 11c | 240.91$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1650…42f6backed Under | 42c | 240.21$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.89 | 70 | 37.1%26 W · 44 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Under | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 222 | 42.8%95 W · 127 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Under | 11c | 219.36$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.13 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Over | 60c | 219.22$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.13 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 41c | 217$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.97 | 1,224 | 42.3%518 W · 706 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4192…d6aabacked Under | 41c | 210$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.1 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa46d…d8e5backed Under | 41c | 210$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.1 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed9…9949backed Over | 60c | 208.33$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.33 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22d2…82d7backed Under | 26c | 203.99$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.74 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Under | 31c | 200$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 614 | 41.2%253 W · 361 L | -27.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0542…e195backed Over | 57c | 192.98$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.98 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd810…2eb8backed Under | 41c | 185$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.85 | 50 | 68%34 W · 16 L | +8.2wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 65c | 182.22$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.38 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb47f…d792backed Over | 59c | 180$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.8 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 61c | 157.57$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.94 | 698 | 51.1%357 W · 341 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe735…4198backed Under | 41c | 150$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.5 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x666b…d240backed Under | 41c | 150$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.5 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe500…4b37backed Over | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 107 | 51.4%55 W · 52 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b7…93ebbacked Over | 63c | 134.57$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.79 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94d4…18f9backed Over | 63c | 134.57$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.79 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 62cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3696…69cebacked Over | 56c | 130.11$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.25 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22e8…8435backed Under | 11c | 120.45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72bd…d37abacked Over | 65c | 112.08$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.08 | 118 | 50.8%60 W · 58 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0577…02ccbacked Under | 41c | 110$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.1 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 33c | 101.39$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.29 | 773 | 36.4%281 W · 492 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9209…b4d5backed Over | 60c | 100.65$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.26 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +4.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5660…1707backed Under | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b6a…8aa7backed Under | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8847…0a81backed Under | 17c | 97.24$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.53 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 77c | 93.77$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.73 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 25c | 91.75$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.68 | 365 | 45.2%165 W · 200 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda60…595cbacked Over | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 31cpaid | +98.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 66c | 81.81$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 827 | 63%521 W · 306 L | +113.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb4fc…e772backed Over | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07b9…3efebacked Over | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc86a…59b9backed Under | 43c | 76.74$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…5403backed Under | 43c | 70.37$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.26 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6859…f7c2backed Over | 63c | 63.49$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.49 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32e0…a295backed Over | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 22 | 81.8%18 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 72cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91d9…6c60backed Over | 63c | 61.42$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.42 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0154…30f7backed Under | 41c | 60.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 155 | 53.5%83 W · 72 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d9d…7d9ebacked Under | 42c | 59.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -4.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed Over | 54c | 59$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.14 | 124 | 50.8%63 W · 61 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed Under | 46c | 59$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.14 | 127 | 44.1%56 W · 71 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 22c | 57$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.69 | 966 | 45.4%439 W · 527 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under | 39c | 55.77$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.85 | 137 | 48.9%67 W · 70 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Under | 41c | 55.62$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 232 | 50.9%118 W · 114 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 60c | 50.76$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.51 | 1,662 | 34.9%580 W · 1,082 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed Over | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +4.7wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 60c | 49.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.95 | 517 | 50.1%259 W · 258 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed Under | 41c | 48.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 207 | 63.8%132 W · 75 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Over | 61c | 47.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.48 | 133 | 47.4%63 W · 70 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…f31bbacked Under | 39c | 45.79$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.86 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9c…1700backed Under | 39c | 45.79$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.86 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f4a…cf21backed Over | 57c | 43.79$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.83 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Under | 43c | 41.17$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 128 | 54.7%70 W · 58 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Under | 42c | 40.85$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.16 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf69b…a6ddbacked Over | 63c | 39.38$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.57 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Under | 40c | 34.69$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.81 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Over | 66c | 34.34$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.68 | 167 | 57.5%96 W · 71 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Over | 66c | 34.34$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.68 | 110 | 55.5%61 W · 49 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Over | 78c | 33.68$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.41 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Under | 41c | 30.19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.34 | 235 | 56.2%132 W · 103 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x806b…cccabacked Over | 61c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Under | 42c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e55…f5a3backed Over | 78c | 29$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.38 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 74cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0814…144bbacked Under | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd35e…a1e8backed Over | 60c | 24.4$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.76 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +5.9wins | +0.21per pick | 47cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x99ba…6391backed Over | 58c | 22.41$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Over | 60c | 21.82$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.73 | 159 | 49.1%78 W · 81 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed Over | 80c | 20.59$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.15 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce5…af2ebacked Over | 66c | 18.78$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.39 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chelsea FC vs. Port Vale FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Chelsea FC vs. Port Vale FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Chelsea FC vs. Port Vale FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Chelsea FC vs. Port Vale FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Chelsea FC vs. Port Vale FC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5)Chelsea FC won
- Spread: Chelsea FC (-2.5)Chelsea FC won
- Spread: Port Vale FC (-1.5)Chelsea FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.