TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Other European Leagues · resolved market

Heracles Almelo vs. FC Utrecht: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$60,919

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,919 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x83d2…d196backed Over51c25,000$12,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,749.825543.6%24 W · 31 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb3d0…d2f0backed Under49c10,502$5,146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,356.04250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under61c5,168$3,156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,012.597,88945.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L+11.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over55c5,000$2,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,749.9737641.5%156 W · 220 L-17.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe0a2…40d5backed Under49c4,443$2,175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,267.834654.3%25 W · 21 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under49c4,169$2,025 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,143.612,13045.8%975 W · 1,155 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over51c3,302$1,693 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,692.7666047.6%314 W · 346 L+1.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid+3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Under49c3,113$1,525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,587.616446.9%30 W · 34 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbca0…d7a0backed Over35c2,940$1,029 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0297138%27 W · 44 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over52c2,894$1,505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,504.9883440.8%340 W · 494 L-35.3wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4270…e461backed Under49c2,824$1,384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,440.242100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb96e…b3a2backed Under49c2,465$1,208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,257.312100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xea00…c1f1backed Under48c2,336$1,128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,207.993745.9%17 W · 20 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c06…8478backed Under45c1,892$851 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,040.362100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+115.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked Under49c1,710$834 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$876.34755.3%26 W · 21 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd3f…44f1backed Under45c1,576$709 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$866.562462.5%15 W · 9 L+2.3wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+23.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf617…80c9backed Under49c1,371$672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$699.43366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+30.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf16d…b7f9backed Over40c1,007$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405.299929.3%29 W · 70 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Over51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5108845.5%40 W · 48 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under48c918.37$441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$477.553060%18 W · 12 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x00a0…bf76backed Over13c899.99$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1171643.8%7 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.11per pick33cpaid+34.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x08ba…2a30backed Over52c881$458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$458.123461.8%21 W · 13 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick67cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked Under45c786.67$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432.673560%21 W · 14 L+3.6wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+19.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over53c571.27$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30013662.5%85 W · 51 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4844…32c9backed Over53c566.13$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3007052.9%37 W · 33 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+13.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Under49c563.27$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.2713357.1%76 W · 57 L+10.3wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+13.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x31d5…157dbacked Under49c544.3$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.3333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-31.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x97b3…4a85backed Over52c429.99$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.294153.7%22 W · 19 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over51c427.98$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.192,33446.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L+14.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under49c406.21$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.1543546.7%203 W · 232 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe398…4ce5backed Under74c405.41$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.415172.5%37 W · 14 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick71cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa35f…b58fbacked Over35c353.16$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.215127.5%14 W · 37 L-4.6wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-28.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2d46…98e9backed Over52c348.09$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.0110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over46c261.09$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.462,30942.8%988 W · 1,321 L-41.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under49c231.1$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.8667050.6%339 W · 331 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under48c208$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.1622542.7%96 W · 129 L-11.6wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf800…bdbabacked Over51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1029638.5%37 W · 59 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Over53c190$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.719954.3%108 W · 91 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x49ca…5944backed Over53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011359.3%67 W · 46 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under48c181.99$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.691,46748%704 W · 763 L+3.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd4c3…60d9backed Over50c178.46$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.3520%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Over50c178.11$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.0642347.8%202 W · 221 L+1.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d3b…8cdfbacked Under47c177$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.811100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over31c175.62$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.792,17948%1,046 W · 1,133 L-26.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9406…acabbacked Under48c157$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Under49c150$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.514257.7%82 W · 60 L+6.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under49c150$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.511855.9%66 W · 52 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over35c142.86$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020241.6%84 W · 118 L-0.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Under49c115$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.6510756.1%60 W · 47 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under45c114.68$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.651,10747.7%528 W · 579 L+1.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcfe6…49f8backed Over53c113.21$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6026653.4%142 W · 124 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Under49c110$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.111656%65 W · 51 L+7.4wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under47c104.4$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.331,71148.3%827 W · 884 L-18.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cb5…6be6backed Over52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$522133.3%7 W · 14 L-4.1wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-39.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over34c100$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3493845.4%426 W · 512 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x98e9…8dbebacked Over53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533444.1%15 W · 19 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5251356.3%289 W · 224 L+23.9wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x63c5…1ecbbacked Under48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.3318749.7%93 W · 94 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd162…72aabacked Over51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502965.5%19 W · 10 L+3.0wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+6.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5027864.4%179 W · 99 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c16…c36fbacked Over27c92.85$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.275024%12 W · 38 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-11.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed Under49c90$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.98658.1%50 W · 36 L+5.4wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Under49c90$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.910156.4%57 W · 44 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd0ac…0a6bbacked Over53c76$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Under49c68.46$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356857.4%39 W · 29 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e98…110bbacked Over56c63.12$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.352437.5%9 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-25.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed Under49c60$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.68557.6%49 W · 36 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Under49c60$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.68957.3%51 W · 38 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Under49c60$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.69160.4%55 W · 36 L+7.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+12.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Under49c60$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.69959.6%59 W · 40 L+7.1wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Under49c60$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.68560%51 W · 34 L+5.2wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+9.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Under49c60$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.66155.7%34 W · 27 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked Under49c60$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.67959.5%47 W · 32 L+5.2wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Under49c60$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.69359.1%55 W · 38 L+5.9wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+10.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked Under47c60$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.89159.3%54 W · 37 L+6.1wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbe7b…cc6abacked Over53c59$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea75…7fbdbacked Over53c57$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.2110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under48c53.71$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.9354650.4%275 W · 271 L+15.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Under48c50$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267957%45 W · 34 L+4.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+13.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Under49c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.59861.2%60 W · 38 L+7.2wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+14.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x46af…1f6abacked Under49c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.57957%45 W · 34 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+8.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over52c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2647842.9%205 W · 273 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa7b5…798cbacked Under49c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.57959.5%47 W · 32 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6bde…b181backed Over52c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-41.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7bb…2753backed Over52c47$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.446744.8%30 W · 37 L-4.7wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-13.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9ff2…f570backed Over53c44$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca2d…39edbacked Over49c41$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.0911553%61 W · 54 L+5.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd03b…856cbacked Under49c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.46960.9%42 W · 27 L+5.3wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+14.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Under61c39.68$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.436972.5%50 W · 19 L+10.0wins+0.15per pick58cpaid+29.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x7280…65d2backed Over52c37.38$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.44250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0630…c0a6backed Over53c37$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30d5…ea80backed Under45c33.33$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.33366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under45c32.2$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.7129052.4%152 W · 138 L+17.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa7e4…ea5cbacked Over52c31.5$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.3810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1121…6604backed Under49c31$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.818643%37 W · 49 L-6.1wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-14.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6afd…5cb1backed Under48c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.65463%34 W · 20 L+4.2wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+16.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x778e…ccd1backed Under49c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.36266.1%41 W · 21 L+6.9wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+20.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdc91…0fdbbacked Over53c29.87$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.834057.5%23 W · 17 L-5.2wins-0.13per pick71cpaid-21.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa488…91c3backed Under47c28$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.881369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+39.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc353…30a8backed Under45c26.62$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.6410236.3%37 W · 65 L-7.4wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-17.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.