Other European Leagues · resolved market
Heracles Almelo vs. FC Utrecht: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1b90608028d2f88d9e6f92a8aa5c26ffc0e11aa6168abec04d0818794a6bafb6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,567
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,567 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 55c | 5,113$2,815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,298.81 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08ba…2a30backed Over | 77c | 1,988$1,531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,530.76 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 24c | 1,875$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,425 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Over | 48c | 1,200$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.96 | 275 | 42.5%117 W · 158 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2dc…b624backed Over | 45c | 999.99$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 52c | 757.81$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.77 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 23c | 710.88$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.95 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00a0…bf76backed Over | 37c | 700$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 20c | 508.66$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Over | 77c | 500$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385 | 199 | 54.3%108 W · 91 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 62c | 486.52$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 212 | 54.7%116 W · 96 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbec3…760ebacked Over | 11c | 424.18$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.24 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 23c | 403.52$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.76 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x649a…02afbacked Over | 73c | 399.68$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.2 | 48 | 68.8%33 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 74cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 67c | 375.42$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 178 | 50.6%90 W · 88 L | -8.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa18f…073fbacked Over | 38c | 334.49$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.47 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 77c | 285.07$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.57 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 65c | 272.45$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 387 | 47.5%184 W · 203 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6aa…3746backed Over | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 124 | 40.3%50 W · 74 L | +11.4wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0189…cab8backed Over | 75c | 200$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc91…0fdbbacked Over | 77c | 194.81$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | -5.2wins | -0.13per pick | 71cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 56c | 180$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 513 | 56.3%289 W · 224 L | +23.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x027b…5587backed Over | 49c | 177.19$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.73 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +31%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 55c | 155.65$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.09 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb5…f5ecbacked Under | 53c | 139.3$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.47 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 21c | 118.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 227 | 27.8%63 W · 164 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 80c | 112.97$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.59 | 501 | 46.1%231 W · 270 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 63c | 100$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96b4…c2f1backed Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e3…0d1abacked Over | 32c | 95.41$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 398 | 50%199 W · 199 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d8f…2b46backed Over | 76c | 82.16$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.08 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 73cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Over | 77c | 81$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.25 | 171 | 41.5%71 W · 100 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 23c | 79$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.63 | 435 | 46.7%203 W · 232 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed Over | 76c | 64.35$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.65 | 132 | 52.3%69 W · 63 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 51c | 52.98$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50b7…9802backed Over | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 26c | 52.56$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 546 | 50.4%275 W · 271 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed Over | 75c | 50$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.4 | 111 | 63.1%70 W · 41 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…f5b5backed Over | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 123 | 61%75 W · 48 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…ad8dbacked Over | 35c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.9wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Over | 70c | 49.98$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.99 | 230 | 61.3%141 W · 89 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f2…2512backed Over | 49c | 49.1$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.06 | 73 | 32.9%24 W · 49 L | -10.8wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 25c | 46.66$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed Over | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 149 | 50.3%75 W · 74 L | +12.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Under | 55c | 44.51$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.23 | 78 | 61.5%48 W · 30 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Over | 61c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 136 | 53.7%73 W · 63 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed Under | 55c | 37.64$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.01 | 57 | 77.2%44 W · 13 L | +9.4wins | +0.16per pick | 61cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Over | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba2b…0c59backed Under | 49c | 26.72$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.66 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0718…fccebacked Over | 46c | 26.06$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b14…b151backed Over | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 63cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 217 | 67.7%147 W · 70 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9856…7014backed Over | 78c | 25.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.73 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -4.3wins | -0.25per pick | 66cpaid | -43%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x555a…931abacked Over | 75c | 14.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Heracles Almelo vs. FC Utrecht: O/U 1.5this page
- Heracles Almelo vs. FC Utrecht: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Heracles Almelo vs. FC Utrecht: O/U 2.5Under won
- Heracles Almelo vs. FC Utrecht: O/U 3.5Under won
- Heracles Almelo vs. FC Utrecht: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: FC Utrecht (-1.5)Heracles Almelo won
- Spread: FC Utrecht (-2.5)Heracles Almelo won
- Spread: Heracles Almelo (-1.5)FC Utrecht won
- Spread: Heracles Almelo (-2.5)FC Utrecht won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.