Euroleague · resolved market
Olimpia Milano vs. Barcelona
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4511bc0ec8fd3a1a228198b8e64b3d827f6d6ea0aa88893b91a140f36c82783f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Olimpia Milanoof Olimpia Milano, Barcelona
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,440
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,440 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Olimpia Milano | 50c | 6,088$3,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,044.12 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +4.2wins | +0.19per pick | 45cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Barcelona | 50c | 5,663$2,836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,835.69 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Olimpia Milano | 58c | 4,555$2,638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,916.79 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb38a…3293backed Barcelona | 43c | 4,175$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Barcelona | 14c | 1,337$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.43 | 269 | 35.3%95 W · 174 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Olimpia Milano | 67c | 1,001$671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.3 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Olimpia Milano | 50c | 826.48$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.24 | 275 | 57.5%158 W · 117 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Barcelona | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee9…1362backed Olimpia Milano | 65c | 768.88$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.32 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a0…1f3dbacked Barcelona | 45c | 532.77$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239 | 107 | 36.4%39 W · 68 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Barcelona | 36c | 406.21$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.83 | 265 | 44.5%118 W · 147 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Barcelona | 30c | 307.79$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.13 | 369 | 39.8%147 W · 222 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa370…06fbbacked Barcelona | 16c | 306.25$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Barcelona | 35c | 290.25$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.42 | 132 | 35.6%47 W · 85 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Olimpia Milano | 51c | 276.28$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.27 | 314 | 46.2%145 W · 169 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed Barcelona | 52c | 252.19$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 106 | 34.9%37 W · 69 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda22…6d2abacked Barcelona | 44c | 218.18$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Barcelona | 49c | 216.5$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.08 | 120 | 40.8%49 W · 71 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Olimpia Milano | 60c | 210$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.4 | 114 | 55.3%63 W · 51 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Olimpia Milano | 50c | 208$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4515…5c36backed Barcelona | 52c | 200.19$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca4a…338abacked Olimpia Milano | 59c | 194.95$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.69 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Olimpia Milano | 71c | 156.04$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.44 | 435 | 43.7%190 W · 245 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9734…8f5ebacked Barcelona | 50c | 140$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4faa…7a49backed Olimpia Milano | 69c | 126.9$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -28%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Barcelona | 36c | 113.94$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.68 | 289 | 43.6%126 W · 163 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5700…a854backed Barcelona | 50c | 106.45$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.49 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x980e…c819backed Barcelona | 34c | 100.53$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.18 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85a4…7412backed Olimpia Milano | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1ea…18e7backed Barcelona | 38c | 79.62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Olimpia Milano | 61c | 79.36$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.25 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +4.3wins | +0.33per pick | 44cpaid | +79.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xda86…6ff9backed Olimpia Milano | 66c | 75.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.97 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9651…0488backed Barcelona | 50c | 66$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08c1…7fbebacked Olimpia Milano | 64c | 62.22$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.22 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Olimpia Milano | 73c | 61.82$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.75 | 370 | 52.7%195 W · 175 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Barcelona | 40c | 57$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.82 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53c5…cb95backed Barcelona | 20c | 51.8$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Olimpia Milano | 51c | 49.47$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.24 | 131 | 47.3%62 W · 69 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6a…d38abacked Barcelona | 44c | 42.41$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Olimpia Milano | 50c | 42.04$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.12 | 214 | 44.4%95 W · 119 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf58…711fbacked Olimpia Milano | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.9 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Barcelona | 33c | 38.89$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.66 | 255 | 17.6%45 W · 210 L | -29.4wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Barcelona | 41c | 33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Barcelona | 50c | 27.1$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.55 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe84…54ddbacked Olimpia Milano | 56c | 24.48$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f57…770ebacked Barcelona | 50c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7280…65d2backed Olimpia Milano | 69c | 22.86$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd243…2dcfbacked Barcelona | 50c | 20.01$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d1…4cb7backed Olimpia Milano | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 57cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8353…01a8backed Barcelona | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…c320backed Olimpia Milano | 61c | 19.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.67 | 66 | 63.6%42 W · 24 L | +5.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7a…899bbacked Olimpia Milano | 54c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.65 | 209 | 36.4%76 W · 133 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.