TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: FURIA Esports vs Sentinels - Game 3 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
FURIA Esportsof FURIA Esports, Sentinels
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$393,622

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $393,622 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 195 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x17f1…af18backed Sentinels1c70,052$673 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$672.633775.6%21 W · 356 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick5cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5ea…d96abacked FURIA Esports48c58,646$28,397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,249.6855955.8%312 W · 247 L+50.8wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+20.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Sentinels26c17,404$4,479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,478.632,40642.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L+21.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebc7…4003backed Sentinels52c15,328$7,896 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,895.5728361.5%174 W · 109 L+18.0wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+11.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed FURIA Esports67c13,908$9,266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,641.325446.1%117 W · 137 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe308…25cdbacked FURIA Esports49c11,340$5,556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,783.5866437.2%247 W · 417 L-12.8wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf201…527ebacked Sentinels49c9,171$4,461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,460.761,29545.1%584 W · 711 L+49.7wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Sentinels51c8,835$4,479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,478.9890348.4%437 W · 466 L+14.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2aad…88d4backed Sentinels37c8,455$3,104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,104.4728827.4%79 W · 209 L-30.6wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-33.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x11e5…337ebacked FURIA Esports50c6,576$3,286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,290.034151.2%21 W · 20 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xafd4…7e61backed Sentinels50c5,778$2,887 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,886.781,20054.1%649 W · 551 L+28.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa469…0782backed Sentinels52c5,635$2,930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,930.171,32253.2%703 W · 619 L+36.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec0e…672cbacked FURIA Esports49c5,459$2,684 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,775.0553640.3%216 W · 320 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed FURIA Esports47c5,390$2,517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,873.53,58440.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L+31.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Sentinels35c4,349$1,505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,505.171,59234%541 W · 1,051 L-79.3wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-32.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7a0f…1305backed Sentinels51c3,999$2,022 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,021.731,46361.4%899 W · 564 L-19.5wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked FURIA Esports50c3,824$1,904 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,920.242,00458.2%1,166 W · 838 L+86.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa7ea…bbb3backed Sentinels33c3,797$1,263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,262.996328.6%18 W · 45 L-11.1wins-0.18per pick46cpaid-48.6%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x910d…cfc0backed Sentinels7c3,759$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.1218451.6%95 W · 89 L+9.4wins+0.05per pick47cpaid0%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b75…3fd1backed Sentinels10c3,209$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.7794134.5%325 W · 616 L+33.6wins+0.04per pick31cpaid-1.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Sentinels44c3,008$1,319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,318.5426144.1%115 W · 146 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-17.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3186…e9cabacked FURIA Esports64c2,660$1,711 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$949.281,53662.6%961 W · 575 L+157.8wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+8.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed Sentinels51c2,621$1,339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,339.241,15649.1%568 W · 588 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fd7…ee69backed Sentinels5c2,532$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.391540%6 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Sentinels52c2,353$1,224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,223.82,82541.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L-14.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-4.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6a06…31d8backed FURIA Esports70c2,347$1,647 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$699.5348353.4%258 W · 225 L-19.9wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a14…d748backed FURIA Esports57c2,160$1,238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$922.26556.9%37 W · 28 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Sentinels50c2,135$1,068 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,067.551,63040.1%654 W · 976 L+48.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked FURIA Esports44c2,105$931 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,174.021,25937.6%473 W · 786 L+34.1wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed FURIA Esports50c2,089$1,044 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,045.093,13133.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L-150.7wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-34.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Sentinels38c1,925$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$740.52,90538.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L-118.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-27.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa19d…3909backed Sentinels52c1,814$943 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$943.121,52150.6%769 W · 752 L+3.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked FURIA Esports50c1,761$872 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$889.131,59842.4%677 W · 921 L-17.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x183f…85e3backed Sentinels51c1,700$867 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8671,09153.8%587 W · 504 L+38.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcdb8…e969backed Sentinels21c1,622$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3381,24152.7%654 W · 587 L+5.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13c7…11d9backed Sentinels51c1,600$816 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81671249.2%350 W · 362 L+14.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Sentinels52c1,442$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$749.841,30555.9%729 W · 576 L+44.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x39bb…9e51backed Sentinels34c1,400$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.8818149.2%89 W · 92 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x141f…7711backed Sentinels28c1,385$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392.4514248.6%69 W · 73 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x09cf…d623backed Sentinels54c1,350$729 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7293652.8%19 W · 17 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-18.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcdfb…980cbacked FURIA Esports49c1,268$621 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$646.7419150.8%97 W · 94 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e38…de0fbacked FURIA Esports55c1,246$684 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$562.136149.2%30 W · 31 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda32…04a1backed Sentinels31c1,200$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36642148.2%203 W · 218 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+36.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f2f…552cbacked FURIA Esports75c1,144$860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.5916349.7%81 W · 82 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5b7…3e1cbacked Sentinels57c1,139$649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$649.2434651.2%177 W · 169 L+1.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c0f…fe01backed FURIA Esports49c1,125$551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$573.5636260.5%219 W · 143 L-0.5wins0.00per pick61cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5623…6930backed Sentinels42c1,080$457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456.9313946%64 W · 75 L+0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6fdd…d385backed Sentinels51c1,070$546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$545.76162.3%38 W · 23 L+5.2wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+36.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x480e…71e9backed FURIA Esports56c1,045$582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$463.226453.8%142 W · 122 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3edb…5280backed Sentinels54c1,044$568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$568.12060%12 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d05…6f11backed FURIA Esports49c1,020$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.4110044%44 W · 56 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5a9…45ffbacked Sentinels7c1,011$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7018244.5%81 W · 101 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9738backed Sentinels52c1,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52060053.2%319 W · 281 L+15.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e91…ea34backed Sentinels1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1050569.9%353 W · 152 L+15.1wins+0.03per pick67cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1bcb…b05abacked Sentinels57c1,000$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57023751.5%122 W · 115 L+11.7wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked FURIA Esports70c1,000$699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.461,15568.1%786 W · 369 L+35.1wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a8f…6353backed Sentinels5c1,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509938.4%38 W · 61 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-5.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2560…0b02backed FURIA Esports52c948.96$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$458.9739749.1%195 W · 202 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed FURIA Esports50c931$465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$465.6743947.6%209 W · 230 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x006a…14edbacked FURIA Esports71c913.76$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.123754%128 W · 109 L-12.7wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x37f8…b5e5backed Sentinels51c912.07$466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$465.6554944.4%244 W · 305 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x079f…a9d1backed FURIA Esports50c843$418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$424.5510844.4%48 W · 60 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a67…ef6bbacked Sentinels52c766.4$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395.868254.9%45 W · 37 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e3f…6941backed Sentinels52c747$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385.4439447.2%186 W · 208 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked FURIA Esports50c721$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.7130545.2%138 W · 167 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdab8…1bc7backed Sentinels16c700$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.6714936.9%55 W · 94 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39fd…5a3fbacked Sentinels52c699.99$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36426360.1%158 W · 105 L+1.1wins0.00per pick60cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Sentinels47c698.44$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32575630%227 W · 529 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe235…aba2backed Sentinels47c694.4$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.3757947.3%274 W · 305 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4687…8d42backed FURIA Esports60c670.51$401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.883959%23 W · 16 L+3.3wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbb11…66cbbacked Sentinels16c660$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.81,01955.8%569 W · 450 L+22.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5ea…d07fbacked Sentinels52c600$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31295951.3%492 W · 467 L+42.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x682d…4cd6backed Sentinels8c599.99$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.3145618.9%86 W · 370 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-45.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f84…202ebacked Sentinels52c599$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.4895847.6%456 W · 502 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x829b…4892backed Sentinels52c598.08$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3115853.4%31 W · 27 L+5.0wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+25.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0d83…272cbacked Sentinels50c560.45$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28059241.9%248 W · 344 L-16.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x59aa…3376backed Sentinels54c555.54$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.991,13143.1%487 W · 644 L+0.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc9c5…6394backed Sentinels59c508.47$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3008726.4%23 W · 64 L-6.3wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-15.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x04bd…39a0backed Sentinels30c502.67$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.661,22945.1%554 W · 675 L+48.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa5cf…8cc5backed Sentinels46c499.99$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2301,18044.5%525 W · 655 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1a6…afa6backed Sentinels48c498.9$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2405853.4%31 W · 27 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x77c0…af29backed Sentinels4c486.88$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.2221819.3%42 W · 176 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-19.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xce08…510bbacked Sentinels51c472$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.441,21254.5%660 W · 552 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked FURIA Esports49c469$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.7537345%168 W · 205 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked FURIA Esports50c463$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.1445344.6%202 W · 251 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2418…66c8backed Sentinels51c446.27$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.64252.4%22 W · 20 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf060…b07abacked Sentinels52c401.88$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.9811127.9%31 W · 80 L-11.1wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-43.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3fbd…c4e4backed Sentinels55c400$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22052538.9%204 W · 321 L+18.0wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6463…1f5cbacked Sentinels51c400$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.917143.3%74 W · 97 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf859…a183backed FURIA Esports50c386.14$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.791,21352.3%635 W · 578 L+33.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf69…4fa2backed Sentinels17c379.99$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.276028.9%220 W · 540 L-0.8wins0.00per pick29cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbff9…009dbacked Sentinels53c377.36$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20012450%62 W · 62 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Sentinels52c368$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.561,25838.6%485 W · 773 L-61.8wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-20.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x709f…a1e4backed FURIA Esports76c351.49$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$849264.1%59 W · 33 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick63cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Sentinels8c330.55$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.5644843.8%196 W · 252 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3333…3c23backed FURIA Esports49c324.49$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.4928042.5%119 W · 161 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa57d…0670backed Sentinels35c321$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.1111631%36 W · 80 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-20%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb87…4611backed FURIA Esports54c314.81$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.8126556.2%149 W · 116 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd711…749cbacked Sentinels51c307.82$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.9126049.2%128 W · 132 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Sentinels6c301.89$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.722,67935.7%957 W · 1,722 L-153.5wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.