Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 7?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x13ddf444fc4ba4a8a287e6313de02ce2459bc07262c6d564f6c33970537fcb72
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,205
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,709
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,205 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x652d…46b3backed No | 4c | 1,291$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.09 | 618 | 20.7%128 W · 490 L | +36.9wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7439…0799backed No | 6c | 394.4$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.16 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1048…e362backed No | 12c | 288.27$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.2 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | +9.6wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +62%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7735…4740backed Yes | 72c | 276.87$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.87 | 259 | 33.6%87 W · 172 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb9…83acbacked No | 11c | 276.55$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.2 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +5.3wins | +0.17per pick | 38cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd6…092abacked No | 8c | 261.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.91 | 247 | 36%89 W · 158 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 12c | 220.96$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.57 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed No | 31c | 211.26$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.96 | 605 | 23.3%141 W · 464 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 38c | 205.43$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.34 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x109e…9a31backed No | 55c | 199.96$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.98 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -4.8wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 16c | 164.76$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.84 | 3,474 | 33.9%1,177 W · 2,297 L | -175.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 34c | 150.45$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.03 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 13c | 135.98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.12 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x5c38…f194backed No | 34c | 127.98$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.09 | 2,517 | 47.2%1,188 W · 1,329 L | +52.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b40…ced4backed No | 9c | 123.37$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 958 | 52.5%503 W · 455 L | +103.2wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa98a…a5a8backed No | 67c | 109.37$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.61 | 2,015 | 67.7%1,365 W · 650 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae2e…40adbacked Yes | 74c | 105.36$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.76 | 295 | 20.7%61 W · 234 L | +7.8wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0dc…15ddbacked No | 14c | 101.88$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1440…7712backed Yes | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6be…f6a3backed No | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 299 | 41.1%123 W · 176 L | +20.8wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa0d8…56bbbacked Yes | 72c | 90.7$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.83 | 147 | 52.4%77 W · 70 L | +11.7wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd50c…3360backed Yes | 43c | 87.78$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.86 | 281 | 42%118 W · 163 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73b1…3190backed No | 56c | 85$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.6 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2acf…f9bbbacked Yes | 36c | 85$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.4 | 1,227 | 33.9%416 W · 811 L | +45.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe34d…41f0backed Yes | 45c | 80$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59ec…3dd8backed No | 56c | 77.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.67 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.38per pick | 55cpaid | -63%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 57c | 74.26$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.63 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15d0…1284backed Yes | 46c | 68.42$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.73 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -5.4wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd4…ea0ebacked No | 29c | 67.37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.36 | 438 | 59.6%261 W · 177 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba96…95a7backed Yes | 45c | 67.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.1 | 240 | 29.2%70 W · 170 L | -15.8wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x94a6…0cd5backed Yes | 44c | 66$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.96 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe055…3157backed No | 39c | 63.39$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.87 | 66 | 60.6%40 W · 26 L | +6.6wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7280…65d2backed Yes | 37c | 63$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.41 | 220 | 23.6%52 W · 168 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb732…6900backed No | 18c | 62.69$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.26 | 412 | 58.3%240 W · 172 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd682…8d3dbacked Yes | 61c | 61.98$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.98 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…37a6backed Yes | 45c | 56.03$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.03 | 409 | 35%143 W · 266 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f85…1774backed No | 60c | 56$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40b0…f139backed Yes | 43c | 55$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.45 | 297 | 40.7%121 W · 176 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb5…c34fbacked No | 55c | 54.53$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 129 | 62.8%81 W · 48 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 59c | 54$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.92 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 30c | 53.44$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.41 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa55…e024backed Yes | 44c | 52.89$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.62 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc84…a0d2backed Yes | 45c | 51$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.23 | 106 | 34.9%37 W · 69 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…10fabacked Yes | 44c | 51$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.56 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8480…8b20backed Yes | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 56c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7c…b00dbacked No | 63c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 786 | 63.6%500 W · 286 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…b3a9backed No | 30c | 49.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2,995 | 31.4%940 W · 2,055 L | +41.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x529f…ad0dbacked No | 60c | 47$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe49f…b083backed Yes | 43c | 46.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 188 | 37.2%70 W · 118 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf40e…43c2backed Yes | 44c | 45.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.75 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +69.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…064abacked No | 60c | 43.9$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.3 | 2,555 | 63.8%1,631 W · 924 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8297…d600backed Yes | 42c | 39.61$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.97 | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11a4…f434backed No | 60c | 39$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.56 | 475 | 69.5%330 W · 145 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf4e…426fbacked Yes | 40c | 37$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.2 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4560…8ce8backed No | 46c | 36.75$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.76 | 350 | 58.3%204 W · 146 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdff…b57fbacked Yes | 40c | 36$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 30cpaid | +111.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec7c…7ad4backed Yes | 45c | 36$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.86 | 190 | 37.4%71 W · 119 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…619abacked No | 59c | 35.17$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.75 | 274 | 64.6%177 W · 97 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec1…07a5backed No | 68c | 34.38$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.38 | 247 | 68.4%169 W · 78 L | +12.8wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa259…6597backed No | 62c | 33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.35 | 995 | 71.1%707 W · 288 L | +22.0wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d65…da6ebacked Yes | 47c | 31.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.78 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 64c | 31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 4,525 | 65.6%2,967 W · 1,558 L | -134.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5964…35dfbacked No | 39c | 30.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 1,279 | 33.6%430 W · 849 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc17f…d96abacked Yes | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x240d…5f3cbacked Yes | 40c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 42c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16c9…17afbacked Yes | 44c | 29.55$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 150 | 44.7%67 W · 83 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa90d…ce28backed Yes | 65c | 29.11$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.11 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 69cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 39c | 28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.16 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3904…539bbacked No | 58c | 26.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 427 | 62.8%268 W · 159 L | +16.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b18…bd24backed Yes | 76c | 26.18$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.28 | 65 | 64.6%42 W · 23 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1632…ad5abacked No | 47c | 25.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 502 | 61%306 W · 196 L | -17.9wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe422…4d64backed No | 41c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 2,065 | 43.6%900 W · 1,165 L | -11.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd85…7a3dbacked No | 62c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.55 | 1,050 | 51.2%538 W · 512 L | -99.4wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3a…0255backed Yes | 44c | 24.12$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7903…57f6backed No | 65c | 24$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.52 | 277 | 69%191 W · 86 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8842…dfa7backed Yes | 46c | 23.15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 452 | 36.5%165 W · 287 L | +20.0wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5848…1e49backed No | 63c | 21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 863 | 62.9%543 W · 320 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1153…707fbacked Yes | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 44 | 75%33 W · 11 L | +5.9wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…2f1ebacked No | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 175 | 70.3%123 W · 52 L | +9.9wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…a6dcbacked No | 58c | 17.75$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -67%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9aff…9945backed Yes | 74c | 17.66$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.66 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1d…8e23backed No | 60c | 16.79$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 71cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce05…7852backed Yes | 79c | 15.94$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.33 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbca…cb90backed Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 7?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on May 7?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on May 7?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on May 7?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on May 7?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on May 7?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on May 7?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.