Bundesliga · resolved market
FC Schalke 04 vs. DSC Arminia Bielefeld: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9815ca96da28b1a8a120d1d2ecd35d5f09c1faa1c0884289c323c90743c52d82
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,558
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,558 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1f09…9312backed Over | 54c | 6,491$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,599.99 | 332 | 44.6%148 W · 184 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 65c | 4,560$2,957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,602.82 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 46c | 4,149$1,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,223.33 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked Under | 48c | 2,738$1,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,423.5 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 48c | 2,582$1,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350.16 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 49c | 2,283$1,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,158.03 | 536 | 45.9%246 W · 290 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3102…187cbacked Over | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.99 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf617…80c9backed Under | 49c | 1,722$841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880.65 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…274ebacked Over | 46c | 1,470$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676.2 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x598b…f296backed Under | 51c | 1,000$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.72 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ba…2a30backed Over | 52c | 987.99$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.76 | 128 | 61.7%79 W · 49 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 52c | 807.69$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 142 | 60.6%86 W · 56 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Under | 50c | 796$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4922…34a7backed Over | 30c | 653.74$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.21 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 18c | 651$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.43 | 486 | 58.6%285 W · 201 L | +44.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +33%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…5544backed Under | 44c | 615.04$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.42 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 187 | 59.4%111 W · 76 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Over | 39c | 512.82$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd92d…e560backed Under | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb4…90f3backed Under | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Under | 46c | 400$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 311 | 45%140 W · 171 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe706…89bcbacked Over | 52c | 375.67$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.35 | 118 | 43.2%51 W · 67 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c1…a528backed Under | 49c | 363.96$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.62 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -32%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d1c…f13cbacked Under | 57c | 300$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 48c | 300$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42df…bb2fbacked Over | 19c | 300$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | +5.1wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Under | 45c | 282.51$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.04 | 59 | 28.8%17 W · 42 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 49c | 249.98$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.74 | 496 | 47.4%235 W · 261 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 58c | 215.55$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.09 | 1,305 | 40.8%532 W · 773 L | -42.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over | 30c | 213.33$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 61 | 34.4%21 W · 40 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Over | 53c | 201.7$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.9 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Over | 50c | 201$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 221 | 57%126 W · 95 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Under | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Over | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 115 | 43.5%50 W · 65 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 118 | 57.6%68 W · 50 L | +15.7wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Under | 47c | 197.37$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.78 | 205 | 45.9%94 W · 111 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc385…8eb0backed Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc734…aaa5backed Under | 50c | 180$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8470…b1e3backed Under | 50c | 164$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3bb…67cdbacked Over | 49c | 162$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…84f5backed Over | 50c | 161$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34c8…d6ddbacked Under | 49c | 160$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +103.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9e…7505backed Over | 66c | 158.92$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.89 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 63cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Over | 53c | 158.49$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 189 | 58.2%110 W · 79 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x782e…b317backed Over | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 49c | 152.62$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.39 | 481 | 46.4%223 W · 258 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 59c | 151.55$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 253 | 52.2%132 W · 121 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under | 44c | 150$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +27%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked Under | 48c | 149.15$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.56 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +4.8wins | +0.17per pick | 44cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7de9…c5afbacked Over | 52c | 138.13$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 49c | 125$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.75 | 636 | 45.1%287 W · 349 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf479…0fe3backed Over | 52c | 124.67$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.83 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc91…0fdbbacked Over | 51c | 117.65$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 209 | 57.4%120 W · 89 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 388 | 45.6%177 W · 211 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 117 | 44.4%52 W · 65 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 95 | 48.4%46 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Over | 48c | 81.78$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c16…c36fbacked Over | 34c | 79.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Over | 52c | 70$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.4 | 128 | 43%55 W · 73 L | -9.9wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff44…20d4backed Over | 51c | 65$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x426d…bdfcbacked Over | 50c | 64$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf96a…9bb8backed Under | 51c | 63$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Under | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +5.5wins | +0.29per pick | 34cpaid | +101.4%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7f5b…b37ebacked Over | 50c | 56$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…4d6ebacked Over | 61c | 52.46$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca14…e335backed Under | 51c | 52$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6aa…3746backed Over | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeedf…1483backed Over | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Under | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 104 | 54.8%57 W · 47 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed Under | 49c | 49.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.3 | 80 | 67.5%54 W · 26 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed Over | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 129 | 51.2%66 W · 63 L | +12.1wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 48c | 49$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.63 | 1,083 | 50.8%550 W · 533 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a8a…0064backed Over | 50c | 48$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Over | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 64 | 35.9%23 W · 41 L | -7.6wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xae71…f3b0backed Under | 51c | 47$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61c6…2e9fbacked Over | 52c | 44.92$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.36 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82d5…3aa8backed Over | 50c | 44$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba2b…0c59backed Under | 58c | 41.36$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.32 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a76…b30fbacked Over | 51c | 40.33$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.57 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf693…995ebacked Under | 52c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7280…65d2backed Under | 49c | 37.14$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.94 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3aa…6977backed Over | 50c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe827…567fbacked Over | 51c | 33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d7e…0b15backed Over | 51c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd628…04f1backed Over | 50c | 31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7c…3a5bbacked Under | 48c | 30.96$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.95 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb292…0502backed Under | 50c | 30.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb7…a64dbacked Over | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed Under | 50c | 29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Under | 74c | 28.96$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.57 | 120 | 64.2%77 W · 43 L | +10.5wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a3f…8d1dbacked Over | 51c | 28.49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60e8…006fbacked Over | 50c | 28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa306…9746backed Over | 53c | 27.62$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb1a…c4aebacked Over | 51c | 25.25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe16e…0be4backed Under | 48c | 25.15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97c7…dddfbacked Over | 54c | 23.43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.55 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 43cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc7…296dbacked Under | 50c | 23.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe339…1ba6backed Over | 50c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd84b…0df3backed Under | 79c | 20.1$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.22 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Schalke 04 vs. DSC Arminia Bielefeld: O/U 2.5this page
- FC Schalke 04 vs. DSC Arminia Bielefeld: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- FC Schalke 04 vs. DSC Arminia Bielefeld: O/U 1.5Under won
- FC Schalke 04 vs. DSC Arminia Bielefeld: O/U 3.5Under won
- FC Schalke 04 vs. DSC Arminia Bielefeld: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: DSC Arminia Bielefeld (-1.5)FC Schalke 04 won
- Spread: DSC Arminia Bielefeld (-2.5)FC Schalke 04 won
- Spread: FC Schalke 04 (-1.5)DSC Arminia Bielefeld won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.