TailMyPicks
Market

Tennis · resolved market

Miyazaki: Blake Ellis vs Maximus Jones

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Blake Ellisof Blake Ellis, Maximus Jones
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$179,092
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$208,683

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $179,092 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 208 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked Maximus Jones6c10,465$663 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$662.9711,66643.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L+22.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7fa…f6dfbacked Blake Ellis53c8,487$4,483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,004.1728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-53.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Maximus Jones46c6,187$2,873 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,872.919,03836.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L-196.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Maximus Jones36c4,903$1,755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,755.442,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b14…5301backed Maximus Jones0c3,667$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.411325.7%29 W · 84 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-40.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x02fd…c162backed Maximus Jones31c2,524$789 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$789.133256.3%18 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-13.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Maximus Jones36c2,433$865 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$865.281,25850%629 W · 629 L-4.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Maximus Jones35c1,885$661 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$661.27,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Maximus Jones64c1,834$1,172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,171.545,00941.4%2,075 W · 2,934 L-82.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4924…f328backed Maximus Jones35c1,791$625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$625.457040%28 W · 42 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Maximus Jones31c1,518$474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$473.692,48945.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L-27.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Blake Ellis67c1,506$1,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504.178,24145.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L+166.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8aa6…83f9backed Maximus Jones32c1,483$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.745445.4%206 W · 248 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8df8…0db0backed Blake Ellis58c1,358$789 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$569.263751.4%19 W · 18 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1250…8f99backed Blake Ellis63c1,271$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.1110161.4%62 W · 39 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Maximus Jones34c1,261$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$430.112,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc87…ea3bbacked Blake Ellis50c1,172$586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58633346.2%154 W · 179 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+4.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3947…b1e9backed Maximus Jones70c1,122$786 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$785.63974.4%29 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick71cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Blake Ellis61c1,101$675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4264,76049.6%2,361 W · 2,399 L+176.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed Blake Ellis36c1,076$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$691.4437854%204 W · 174 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9541…3b71backed Blake Ellis54c972.4$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$447.32766.7%18 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+14.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcbcc…edc9backed Maximus Jones60c881.84$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$525.2317262.8%108 W · 64 L-0.1wins0.00per pick63cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9902…34b3backed Maximus Jones11c794.14$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.6311327.4%31 W · 82 L-6.4wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7b8c…31c3backed Maximus Jones13c776.51$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.0210857.4%62 W · 46 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-2.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b8f…f31bbacked Maximus Jones20c761.43$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.0616757.5%96 W · 71 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Maximus Jones41c721.23$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.6426131.4%82 W · 179 L-10.8wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-24%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Maximus Jones18c698.61$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.0239955.4%221 W · 178 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf69b…a6ddbacked Maximus Jones3c676.83$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.3319250.5%97 W · 95 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Maximus Jones24c670.45$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.6537153.9%200 W · 171 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x319b…d4d5backed Maximus Jones44c658.91$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.926144.3%27 W · 34 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-19.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf421…2e3abacked Maximus Jones8c657.62$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.125149%25 W · 26 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-11.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x76b4…ca9bbacked Blake Ellis38c600$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3722657.7%15 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+23.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe9c…1700backed Maximus Jones5c598.97$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.715059.3%89 W · 61 L+7.4wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x810d…6080backed Maximus Jones5c595.27$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.3413955.4%77 W · 62 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Blake Ellis49c589.75$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.871,44648.8%706 W · 740 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f22…0fb4backed Maximus Jones3c560.02$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.9943752.2%228 W · 209 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae02…7ed0backed Maximus Jones4c555.53$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.89056.7%51 W · 39 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1d9…5955backed Maximus Jones23c551.22$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.811752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.9wins+0.11per pick42cpaid+3.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xaa0f…574cbacked Blake Ellis65c542.83$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.769764.9%63 W · 34 L+8.7wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+7.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3f5b…f1e8backed Maximus Jones60c516.95$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.59650%3 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-31.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d1e…d5dfbacked Maximus Jones38c515.94$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.0618250%91 W · 91 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x06e7…3acabacked Maximus Jones3c505.99$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2933557%191 W · 144 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Maximus Jones17c496.04$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.8757052.6%300 W · 270 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Maximus Jones60c439.2$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.521,61550.6%817 W · 798 L-17.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x588b…8593backed Blake Ellis41c435.26$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.131,10743.5%481 W · 626 L-3.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Maximus Jones8c430.12$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.0348652.1%253 W · 233 L-1.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4693…bf61backed Blake Ellis56c424.07$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.466450%32 W · 32 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe031…5c08backed Maximus Jones52c386.29$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.573549.8%366 W · 369 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Maximus Jones53c366.72$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.362,56163%1,613 W · 948 L-10.2wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x46dc…92c3backed Blake Ellis68c364.55$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.7523949.4%118 W · 121 L+7.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Maximus Jones12c357.36$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4441658.7%244 W · 172 L+22.3wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked Maximus Jones7c353$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.8630555.4%169 W · 136 L+0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba77…da86backed Blake Ellis62c344.23$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.811070%7 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick65cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfce1…4f4cbacked Blake Ellis67c338.23$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.6117656.3%99 W · 77 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Maximus Jones60c335.48$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.871,67850.8%852 W · 826 L+30.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x94d4…18f9backed Blake Ellis67c333.74$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.172642.3%11 W · 15 L-4.2wins-0.16per pick58cpaid-33.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Maximus Jones20c332.1$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.2750156.1%281 W · 220 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4248…50febacked Blake Ellis62c317.97$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.8335436.4%129 W · 225 L-16.8wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ee7…4c1abacked Blake Ellis67c317.72$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.2810860.2%65 W · 43 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0bec…c707backed Blake Ellis67c310.46$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.9612861.7%79 W · 49 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa78e…b6c9backed Maximus Jones63c309.98$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.6111865.3%77 W · 41 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Blake Ellis67c304.05$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.444,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0efb…016cbacked Blake Ellis65c301.32$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.982763%17 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick59cpaid-5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x806b…cccabacked Maximus Jones31c300.75$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.783246.9%15 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecae…b906backed Maximus Jones39c300$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1161,02646.8%480 W · 546 L+14.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ae3…3c15backed Maximus Jones60c295.35$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.2168350.1%342 W · 341 L-25.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Blake Ellis63c293.47$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.021,22841.1%505 W · 723 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e38…1b52backed Maximus Jones31c287.58$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.1561924.4%151 W · 468 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d29…c9eebacked Blake Ellis57c269.58$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.267154.9%39 W · 32 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1650…42f6backed Maximus Jones33c269.04$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.276933.3%23 W · 46 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+11.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xebf1…fb9cbacked Blake Ellis74c257.16$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.88250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-32.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked Maximus Jones39c232.28$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.5929152.6%153 W · 138 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked Blake Ellis40c223.34$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.113464.7%22 W · 12 L+5.8wins+0.17per pick48cpaid+36.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Maximus Jones25c208.4$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.21,38116.4%227 W · 1,154 L-108.5wins-0.08per pick24cpaid-49.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdc8b…f894backed Blake Ellis42c199.39$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.988724.1%21 W · 66 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6075…2f82backed Blake Ellis69c198.92$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.5313944.6%62 W · 77 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+27.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Maximus Jones32c198.68$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.5812740.2%51 W · 76 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-13%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4820…c613backed Blake Ellis63c196.07$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.7110829.6%32 W · 76 L-9.3wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-39.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Maximus Jones12c192.73$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.545147.2%213 W · 238 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1248…8db1backed Maximus Jones58c189.99$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.225546.3%118 W · 137 L+0.7wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a73…a9c8backed Maximus Jones52c186.77$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.1262534.4%215 W · 410 L-20.1wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x30b9…9b83backed Blake Ellis73c181.05$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.231060%6 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+18.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa2dc…f9d3backed Maximus Jones51c171.59$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.517852.6%41 W · 37 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d8c…35b0backed Maximus Jones58c167.18$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.522465.2%146 W · 78 L+9.3wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Maximus Jones33c164.15$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.541,24551.9%646 W · 599 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6932…6878backed Blake Ellis41c163.37$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.3987135.4%308 W · 563 L+22.9wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x78d8…cffcbacked Blake Ellis63c155.31$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.533348.5%16 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Maximus Jones52c153.34$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.29,37444.3%4,154 W · 5,220 L-244.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Maximus Jones65c150.62$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.9250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd92d…e560backed Blake Ellis48c148.41$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.531546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdad9…c300backed Maximus Jones68c144.24$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.087749.4%38 W · 39 L-9.0wins-0.12per pick61cpaid-10.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6d6f…7135backed Maximus Jones60c135.87$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8215557.4%89 W · 66 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+13.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0b0a…bd3bbacked Blake Ellis74c133.03$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.593278.1%25 W · 7 L+2.9wins+0.09per pick69cpaid+10.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0115…ca23backed Blake Ellis57c128.17$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.111127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.21per pick48cpaid-44.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa1a9…e22ebacked Blake Ellis42c127.36$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.171,28439.2%503 W · 781 L-12.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01f5…5cfbbacked Maximus Jones40c120.95$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.21957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x17f5…3e64backed Blake Ellis67c118.13$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.742857.1%16 W · 12 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x610b…36a3backed Maximus Jones41c117.63$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.2354844.5%244 W · 304 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Maximus Jones18c116.46$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.4561752.5%324 W · 293 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee4c…8572backed Blake Ellis45c116.19$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.923429.1%68 W · 166 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.