NBA · resolved market
Spread: Trail Blazers (-12.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa1d912f90718db73f1767c9c3bac8eb7ba65c4e08ab0ce0b19f95d5801ef87b5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Trail Blazersof Trail Blazers, Bucks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $172,483
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $172,483 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 121 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Bucks | 37c | 56,564$21,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,033.7 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Trail Blazers | 60c | 55,544$33,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,217.56 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked Bucks | 48c | 16,032$7,695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,695.24 | 247 | 44.1%109 W · 138 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8cdc…b83fbacked Bucks | 41c | 12,195$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 209 | 48.8%102 W · 107 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Trail Blazers | 52c | 12,000$6,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,760 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c1…9fe2backed Bucks | 42c | 8,962$3,732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,731.81 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Bucks | 50c | 8,142$4,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,071 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Bucks | 49c | 5,555$2,722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,721.93 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Trail Blazers | 77c | 4,316$3,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$992.61 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x001a…1fb9backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 4,248$2,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,124 | 316 | 43.4%137 W · 179 L | -18.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Trail Blazers | 61c | 3,089$1,884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,204.27 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…aa62backed Trail Blazers | 51c | 2,828$1,443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,385.94 | 583 | 47%274 W · 309 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Trail Blazers | 51c | 2,760$1,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,349.74 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cc7…0602backed Bucks | 40c | 2,448$979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.2 | 93 | 52.7%49 W · 44 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Bucks | 39c | 2,104$821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$821.45 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Trail Blazers | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Trail Blazers | 56c | 1,737$971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765.36 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed Bucks | 41c | 1,700$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697 | 286 | 43%123 W · 163 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Trail Blazers | 62c | 1,601$988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.13 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Trail Blazers | 54c | 1,509$818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.71 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked Bucks | 48c | 1,351$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648.48 | 286 | 49.7%142 W · 144 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91f7…4767backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 1,273$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635.61 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 1,236$619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.56 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b78…9992backed Bucks | 49c | 1,233$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.17 | 200 | 51.5%103 W · 97 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0936…6c02backed Bucks | 50c | 1,096$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda2e…8904backed Bucks | 44c | 1,084$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477 | 93 | 43%40 W · 53 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Bucks | 47c | 1,040$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.78 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Trail Blazers | 55c | 985.17$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.33 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a39…fa93backed Trail Blazers | 79c | 969.86$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.91 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Trail Blazers | 77c | 882.18$679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.9 | 369 | 49.6%183 W · 186 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x490b…eec9backed Bucks | 45c | 794.44$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.5 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd48…d64fbacked Trail Blazers | 51c | 784.31$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.31 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa42a…d91fbacked Trail Blazers | 51c | 648$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.52 | 623 | 47.5%296 W · 327 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Trail Blazers | 60c | 594.32$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.65 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b5f…3492backed Trail Blazers | 72c | 584.74$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.87 | 248 | 56.5%140 W · 108 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Trail Blazers | 52c | 567.81$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.99 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Trail Blazers | 50c | 563$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.5 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Trail Blazers | 56c | 548$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.98 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed Trail Blazers | 77c | 517.87$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.11 | 200 | 49%98 W · 102 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Trail Blazers | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 461 | 45.6%210 W · 251 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Trail Blazers | 59c | 416$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.56 | 266 | 38.7%103 W · 163 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Trail Blazers | 61c | 413.28$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.87 | 564 | 47.9%270 W · 294 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0556…132abacked Bucks | 49c | 399.97$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.98 | 93 | 46.2%43 W · 50 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2db1…45e5backed Trail Blazers | 51c | 313.73$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.73 | 248 | 49.6%123 W · 125 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4880…5626backed Trail Blazers | 61c | 310.51$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.1 | 186 | 48.9%91 W · 95 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b1a…d790backed Bucks | 41c | 285.6$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.1 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Bucks | 48c | 279.33$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.37 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Trail Blazers | 53c | 240$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.8 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc58c…8b7fbacked Bucks | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed Trail Blazers | 78c | 200$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 619 | 57.5%356 W · 263 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Bucks | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1,198 | 38.8%465 W · 733 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72a1…1950backed Trail Blazers | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 381 | 52.8%201 W · 180 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Bucks | 34c | 179.03$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.49 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Trail Blazers | 61c | 167.38$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.97 | 414 | 49.3%204 W · 210 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…fcd8backed Trail Blazers | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 250 | 49.6%124 W · 126 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Trail Blazers | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 516 | 47.5%245 W · 271 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7100…b346backed Trail Blazers | 62c | 151.79$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.68 | 201 | 47.8%96 W · 105 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Trail Blazers | 53c | 142.03$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.1 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Bucks | 50c | 140$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 656 | 49.2%323 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Trail Blazers | 53c | 135.4$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 890 | 48.8%434 W · 456 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Bucks | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 454 | 45.4%206 W · 248 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Bucks | 46c | 119$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.74 | 775 | 49.2%381 W · 394 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Bucks | 38c | 115.38$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.84 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Trail Blazers | 61c | 115.05$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.3 | 423 | 52.5%222 W · 201 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18b6…babfbacked Bucks | 45c | 102.22$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Trail Blazers | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 596 | 50.3%300 W · 296 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Trail Blazers | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 255 | 59.2%151 W · 104 L | +13.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcbce…507dbacked Bucks | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f79…f7f7backed Bucks | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 94 | 42.6%40 W · 54 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Bucks | 41c | 97.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 271 | 38.7%105 W · 166 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Bucks | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf89f…32b0backed Trail Blazers | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Trail Blazers | 77c | 94.21$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 390 | 55.6%217 W · 173 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d15…8026backed Trail Blazers | 54c | 92.81$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.81 | 278 | 54.7%152 W · 126 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbd…b8d3backed Trail Blazers | 53c | 89.84$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.22 | 672 | 48.8%328 W · 344 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc81a…c368backed Bucks | 46c | 80$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.8 | 177 | 47.5%84 W · 93 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Trail Blazers | 54c | 79.62$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.27 | 492 | 49.8%245 W · 247 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Trail Blazers | 55c | 79.4$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.01 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7793…33a6backed Bucks | 46c | 70.76$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.55 | 293 | 44.4%130 W · 163 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Bucks | 40c | 62.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,393 | 48.3%673 W · 720 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Bucks | 37c | 61.5$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.05 | 1,283 | 23.4%300 W · 983 L | -178.2wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x7583…0469backed Bucks | 41c | 60.97$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc392…595dbacked Trail Blazers | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 405 | 48.4%196 W · 209 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc036…30d4backed Trail Blazers | 54c | 55.53$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.53 | 519 | 46.8%243 W · 276 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Bucks | 39c | 54.56$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.28 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 54.03$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.02 | 609 | 45.8%279 W · 330 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Bucks | 39c | 51.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.14 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a31…152cbacked Bucks | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 484 | 51.2%248 W · 236 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…4648backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 166 | 51.2%85 W · 81 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7bb…2753backed Bucks | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -4.8wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed Bucks | 46c | 49.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 533 | 39.6%211 W · 322 L | -39.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Bucks | 36c | 47.81$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.27 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8dec…60c2backed Trail Blazers | 62c | 46.94$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.04 | 180 | 52.2%94 W · 86 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2a…a58dbacked Bucks | 42c | 46.53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.54 | 140 | 54.3%76 W · 64 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe35…6789backed Bucks | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 150 | 54.7%82 W · 68 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked Bucks | 41c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 144 | 43.1%62 W · 82 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa018…a27abacked Bucks | 47c | 39.97$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.79 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb692…7c83backed Bucks | 45c | 39.69$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.86 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 53cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Bucks | 46c | 38.35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 917 | 46.9%430 W · 487 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe33d…9512backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 36.78$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.24 | 264 | 50%132 W · 132 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-12.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Trail Blazers (-7.5)Trail Blazers won
- Bucks vs. Trail BlazersTrail Blazers won
- Bucks vs. Trail Blazers: 1H O/U 116.5Over won
- Bucks vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 225.5Over won
- Bucks vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 226.5Over won
- Deni Avdija: Points O/U 24.5No won
- Jerami Grant: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
- Jerami Grant: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Kyle Kuzma: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Kyle Kuzma: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Kyle Kuzma: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Myles Turner: Points O/U 10.5No won
- Myles Turner: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-10.5)Trail Blazers won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-11.5)Trail Blazers won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-13.5)Trail Blazers won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-14.5)Trail Blazers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.