MLB · resolved market

New York Yankees vs. New York Mets: O/U 7.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe17d9a04bfeee2e128bb8cab3a91ecca792aa0b1c0db3753f2fdfdf8250b352c

Rebuilt 11 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: May 16, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $35,967
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $41,506

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,967 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in MLB
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x5268…135dbacked Over	40c	5,993$2,424 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,423.89	11,357	52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L	+209.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16bb…8492backed Under	56c	5,639$3,158 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,481.34	865	48.7%421 W · 444 L	-8.9wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x762e…4bf0backed Under	60c	5,347$3,208 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,138.67	245	51.8%127 W · 118 L	-7.2wins	-0.03per pick	55cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x15ab…97b6backed Over	44c	3,000$1,320 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,320	12	75%9 W · 3 L	+3.0wins	+0.25per pick	50cpaid	+47.4%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Over	45c	2,072$939 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$938.51	2,369	47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L	-11.6wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under	59c	1,958$1,155 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$802.85	4,553	49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L	-9.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe3ad…45f9backed Over	46c	1,580$727 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$726.76	117	41.9%49 W · 68 L	-8.9wins	-0.08per pick	49cpaid	-14%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked Under	54c	1,410$761 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$648.6	680	53.2%362 W · 318 L	+2.2wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over	46c	1,302$592 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$592.39	10,846	51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L	+137.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x329c…2485backed Over	44c	1,150$506 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$506	92	62%57 W · 35 L	+8.9wins	+0.10per pick	52cpaid	+21.8%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0x45d5…a7a0backed Over	37c	988.38$361 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$361.32	827	41.1%340 W · 487 L	-21.3wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over	43c	958.28$411 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$410.99	6,899	50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L	-7.1wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over	44c	923.4$406 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$406.29	2,407	48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L	-62.3wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over	31c	754.2$235 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$235.45	12,247	46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L	-68.6wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa951…8a2fbacked Over	2c	659$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.18	30	23.3%7 W · 23 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	22cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Under	59c	593.22$350 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$243.22	475	45.9%218 W · 257 L	-13.3wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over	41c	483.11$198 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$198.08	5,401	50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L	+17.6wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2f4e…1fb8backed Under	68c	469.21$317 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$152.4	3,792	45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L	-5.5wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under	58c	464.94$270 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$195.2	9,728	46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L	+32.8wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed Over	22c	444.32$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.75	1,733	49%849 W · 884 L	+6.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under	56c	382.56$214 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$168.33	1,284	49.5%635 W · 649 L	-1.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over	11c	272$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.19	1,843	43.6%804 W · 1,039 L	-15.8wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over	35c	252.93$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.87	4,381	44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L	+77.8wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Under	62c	252$157 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$95.25	8,470	52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L	+510.0wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xca20…7b68backed Over	22c	247.91$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.54	371	43.9%163 W · 208 L	-21.4wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8d10…940abacked Over	45c	226.93$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.12	1,014	47.7%484 W · 530 L	-28.0wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb2ca…d984backed Under	55c	217.48$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$97.48	383	53.8%206 W · 177 L	+16.1wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+10.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbd38…99d4backed Under	58c	200$116 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$84	267	59.2%158 W · 109 L	+17.0wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2e1f…8fdebacked Over	38c	200$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76	22	13.6%3 W · 19 L	-5.3wins	-0.24per pick	38cpaid	-71.7%equal weight	37-0.11 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under	54c	146.94$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.88	1,769	51.6%912 W · 857 L	+16.9wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over	22c	136.36$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	6,116	55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L	+344.6wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed Over	46c	109$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.14	726	48.1%349 W · 377 L	-17.6wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Under	57c	100$57 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43	1,851	53.1%982 W · 869 L	+18.1wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Over	43c	100$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43	1,836	50.8%932 W · 904 L	-3.9wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb0f4…6fa9backed Under	78c	100$78 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22	1,777	58.4%1,037 W · 740 L	+91.8wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Over	22c	99.95$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.99	1,379	50.6%698 W · 681 L	-2.4wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2573…2726backed Under	59c	76.7$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.7	230	51.7%119 W · 111 L	-8.9wins	-0.04per pick	56cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5569…c927backed Under	59c	71.7$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.73	128	58.6%75 W · 53 L	-3.8wins	-0.03per pick	62cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked Over	39c	69.7$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.88	5,127	54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L	+232.0wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6815…9edbbacked Over	22c	68.14$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.99	447	44.1%197 W · 250 L	-6.5wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x985c…e5d2backed Under	59c	67.8$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.8	544	55.1%300 W · 244 L	+13.9wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over	53c	58$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.68	374	44.4%166 W · 208 L	+8.0wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Under	55c	54.55$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.55	614	50.8%312 W · 302 L	+9.3wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x07c0…5dd2backed Under	55c	50$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.5	184	58.2%107 W · 77 L	+4.7wins	+0.03per pick	56cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x48b9…abe2backed Over	46c	50$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23	348	43.4%151 W · 197 L	+10.3wins	+0.03per pick	40cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x96c1…2c59backed Over	45c	50$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.5	1,498	45.3%678 W · 820 L	-8.7wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e45…39dabacked Under	77c	49.93$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.48	185	47.6%88 W · 97 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over	41c	47$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.27	996	24.6%245 W · 751 L	-70.1wins	-0.07per pick	32cpaid	-24.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Under	59c	47$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.27	701	54.2%380 W · 321 L	+4.8wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb021…4aabbacked Over	46c	43.48$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	27	51.9%14 W · 13 L	+1.3wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over	56c	40$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.4	1,723	50.3%867 W · 856 L	+55.0wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x55d6…1f24backed Under	54c	35.24$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.21	312	58%181 W · 131 L	+15.0wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Under	57c	33.19$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.27	3,453	51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L	+58.1wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4dea…5e23backed Over	45c	29.99$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.4	425	50.1%213 W · 212 L	+8.3wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Under	52c	29.82$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.44	6,303	48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L	+181.4wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa923…6704backed Over	42c	25.38$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.66	95	43.2%41 W · 54 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x27cf…979abacked Under	76c	21.43$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.19	120	49.2%59 W · 61 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

New York Yankees vs. New York Mets: O/U 7.5this page
New York Yankees vs. New York MetsNew York Yankees won
New York Yankees vs. New York Mets: O/U 10.5Under won
New York Yankees vs. New York Mets: O/U 4.5Over won
New York Yankees vs. New York Mets: O/U 5.5Over won
New York Yankees vs. New York Mets: O/U 6.5Over won
New York Yankees vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.5Under won
New York Yankees vs. New York Mets: O/U 9.5Under won
Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)New York Yankees won
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)New York Yankees won
Spread: New York Yankees (-2.5)New York Yankees won
Spread: New York Yankees (-3.5)New York Mets won
Spread: New York Yankees (-4.5)New York Mets won
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Yankees vs. New York MetsNo won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

New York Yankees vs. New York Mets: O/U 7.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event