Cricket · resolved market
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Gujarat Titans - Who wins the toss?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd5d1ae318071eeaa4dd236138a8fb36f6a3c4b28ab5369b3d83f1e23a6d74c2d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Gujarat Titansof Lucknow Super Giants, Gujarat Titans
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,184
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,218
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,184 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfea8…47aabacked Gujarat Titans | 46c | 845.08$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.55 | 215 | 40.9%88 W · 127 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Lucknow Super Giants | 2c | 684.01$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.84 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x490e…73adbacked Gujarat Titans | 54c | 489.84$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.28 | 261 | 30.7%80 W · 181 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa918…e3b7backed Lucknow Super Giants | 50c | 418.7$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.26 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +24%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac4d…066dbacked Lucknow Super Giants | 54c | 243.1$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.27 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc483…e42ebacked Lucknow Super Giants | 54c | 180.07$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.24 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf26f…8f93backed Lucknow Super Giants | 12c | 160$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 12cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25ae…2f20backed Lucknow Super Giants | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6524…29b2backed Gujarat Titans | 50c | 76.53$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.55 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67ab…283fbacked Lucknow Super Giants | 54c | 58.34$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.51 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | +8.3wins | +0.12per pick | 37cpaid | +8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7a9a…b45bbacked Lucknow Super Giants | 53c | 55.36$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.15 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5460…15b5backed Lucknow Super Giants | 52c | 46.69$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.28 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08d3…f837backed Lucknow Super Giants | 38c | 45$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7df3…c95cbacked Gujarat Titans | 47c | 43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.79 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2433…99aebacked Gujarat Titans | 53c | 42.17$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.82 | 145 | 27.6%40 W · 105 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb00…2f38backed Lucknow Super Giants | 54c | 40.3$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.76 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -65.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb314…3f10backed Lucknow Super Giants | 40c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x783c…f863backed Lucknow Super Giants | 51c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8d8…1ca6backed Gujarat Titans | 53c | 36.67$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.24 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c7…7ddebacked Lucknow Super Giants | 54c | 36.33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe256…1dd8backed Lucknow Super Giants | 54c | 36.01$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.45 | 81 | 38.3%31 W · 50 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc03c…bca2backed Lucknow Super Giants | 49c | 35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.15 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +57%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xacfd…5374backed Lucknow Super Giants | 54c | 25.88$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.97 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf57e…ae18backed Gujarat Titans | 51c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d9e…4f07backed Gujarat Titans | 49c | 20.77$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.59 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x174b…7a05backed Gujarat Titans | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e84…c03abacked Lucknow Super Giants | 51c | 19.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc254…1e3bbacked Lucknow Super Giants | 53c | 19.72$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 60 | 61.7%37 W · 23 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Gujarat Titans - Who wins the toss?this page
- Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Gujarat TitansGujarat Titans won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.