TailMyPicks
Market

NHL · resolved market

Avalanche vs. Islanders

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Islandersof Avalanche, Islanders
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$60,117
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$60,988

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,117 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 126 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x40e3…0787backed Avalanche19c5,613$1,047 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,047.1932331.3%101 W · 222 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-28.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1608…a990backed Avalanche30c4,724$1,439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,439.49747.4%46 W · 51 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Islanders62c4,503$2,792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,711.311,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x03b4…af9abacked Islanders48c4,000$1,916 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,084.331361.5%8 W · 5 L+2.2wins+0.17per pick44cpaid+36.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa89e…fb60backed Avalanche58c3,767$2,176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,17610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf00f…711abacked Islanders43c2,615$1,124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,490.8513756.2%77 W · 60 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Islanders58c1,477$854 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$622.73,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Avalanche52c1,415$736 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$735.9444848.9%219 W · 229 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x42d9…0293backed Islanders45c1,200$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$660742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x444e…ab89backed Avalanche56c1,200$672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$671.971154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f91…907fbacked Islanders43c1,099$473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$626.66875%6 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.29per pick46cpaid+74.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4aef…9337backed Islanders42c1,077$452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$625.6325340.7%103 W · 150 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+0.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Islanders42c1,042$437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$604.771,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Islanders44c966.03$425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541.0692848.5%450 W · 478 L+17.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcefa…bef8backed Avalanche35c914.83$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.876953.6%37 W · 32 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Islanders42c798.39$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$463.0797651.6%504 W · 472 L-3.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x15c9…e725backed Avalanche41c734.25$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.045322.6%12 W · 41 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-36.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xee06…f8b1backed Avalanche23c606.69$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.63438.2%13 W · 21 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x84b5…e9a2backed Avalanche58c550$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick58cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x82c6…2e59backed Islanders71c528.61$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.31643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Avalanche56c504.54$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.511,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x69ad…211bbacked Avalanche15c440.35$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.08425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-56%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x433f…a0dcbacked Islanders35c389.78$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.362528%7 W · 18 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-3.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9e87…8befbacked Avalanche57c385.96$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22013457.5%77 W · 57 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2983…59d1backed Avalanche56c383.93$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21531248.4%151 W · 161 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Avalanche56c357.14$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,03955.2%574 W · 465 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc2e7…35b1backed Avalanche56c357.14$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001060%6 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+24.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Islanders57c342.57$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.7285464.2%548 W · 306 L+64.5wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+18.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfdbf…c88ebacked Avalanche30c335.53$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.6620540.5%83 W · 122 L+0.6wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked Islanders61c300$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1169553.7%51 W · 44 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+7.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Avalanche56c279.84$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.484051.4%432 W · 408 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3b7…520dbacked Islanders44c249.73$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.3328542.1%120 W · 165 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x931f…d15dbacked Avalanche57c245.61$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14012859.4%76 W · 52 L+0.4wins0.00per pick59cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Islanders44c228.04$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.8372444.6%323 W · 401 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x19b8…9c8ebacked Islanders45c222.23$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.2319438.1%74 W · 120 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ea5…2af9backed Avalanche57c210.53$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12015456.5%87 W · 67 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc94b…fd9bbacked Avalanche58c206.98$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12038040.5%154 W · 226 L-16.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Avalanche28c200$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.181,02540.8%418 W · 607 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Avalanche35c180.4$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.7391334.1%311 W · 602 L-27.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked Avalanche28c180$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.472448.3%350 W · 374 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Avalanche56c178.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,03755%570 W · 467 L-0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e09…86a4backed Avalanche37c135.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-20%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x773c…cf18backed Avalanche56c131.61$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.377054.3%38 W · 32 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf426…152fbacked Islanders45c127.59$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.181060%6 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+25.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e82…6060backed Islanders47c121.47$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.432365.2%15 W · 8 L+3.0wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+25.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x85bc…5c35backed Avalanche56c119.34$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.831457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x23be…da4fbacked Islanders44c113.64$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.6422246.8%104 W · 118 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6163…8507backed Islanders44c113.64$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.6419852.5%104 W · 94 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5f4…e5f6backed Avalanche56c112.54$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.021637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.4wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-29.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2f8d…c769backed Avalanche56c112.2$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.831050%5 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7526…fb52backed Avalanche57c111.63$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.631136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.19per pick55cpaid-38.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2235…d67fbacked Islanders45c111.62$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.627062.9%44 W · 26 L+8.0wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+25.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x52fd…481fbacked Islanders44c108.41$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.71450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+12.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3c94…1e9dbacked Avalanche56c105.16$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.89742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-19.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Islanders44c105.16$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.8960549.3%298 W · 307 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x994e…9cf5backed Avalanche55c105.01$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.7649351.3%253 W · 240 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ea3…dc8ebacked Islanders45c105$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.75650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+19.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb1f…30e8backed Avalanche58c103.45$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-47.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x850c…672ebacked Islanders44c102.07$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.161258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcaa0…5590backed Avalanche56c102$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.12560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf745…c3e5backed Avalanche57c101.23$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.7425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick55cpaid-60.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1733…d96fbacked Islanders47c100.94$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.52433.3%8 W · 16 L-3.3wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-29.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2366…1078backed Avalanche59c100$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5945954.2%249 W · 210 L-1.5wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe327…ec05backed Avalanche38c100$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384047.5%19 W · 21 L-3.2wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-16.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2798…3d88backed Avalanche55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5540%0 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x904b…429cbacked Avalanche56c100$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5650049.4%247 W · 253 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5036…416bbacked Islanders43c100$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5727643.5%120 W · 156 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b6a…672bbacked Islanders45c96.07$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.841866.7%12 W · 6 L+3.2wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+37.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd24e…9441backed Avalanche34c89.31$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308863.6%56 W · 32 L+8.6wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+24.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x3bef…9be3backed Avalanche57c87.72$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502842.9%12 W · 16 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-7.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc2a1…a603backed Avalanche45c66.95$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x602d…3534backed Avalanche60c58.33$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3543256.5%244 W · 188 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a01…dc8ebacked Avalanche56c57.83$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.3820%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf983…1ae2backed Islanders45c55.56$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.561040%4 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4084…1b19backed Islanders45c55.56$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.561040%4 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-24.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64e3…b942backed Avalanche57c52.63$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301250%6 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick57cpaid+1.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4eb8…9231backed Avalanche37c50$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.57448.6%36 W · 38 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-12.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa61d…22f6backed Avalanche58c48$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.8630549.2%150 W · 155 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ccf…2fedbacked Islanders77c46.91$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.5923761.6%146 W · 91 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1984…241ebacked Avalanche56c44.58$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258445.2%38 W · 46 L-7.8wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-18.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x630c…1230backed Islanders45c44.45$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.451060%6 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+33.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x71cd…912dbacked Islanders28c41.42$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.8218237.9%69 W · 113 L+29.4wins+0.16per pick22cpaid+202.9%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x239c…4805backed Islanders44c35.16$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.69580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.32per pick48cpaid+67.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x51c4…7714backed Avalanche57c35.09$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20850%4 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-16.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd229…fcd6backed Islanders41c35$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.651637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd732…5b9bbacked Islanders43c32.95$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.784100%4 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+103.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1d3c…2f8cbacked Islanders44c30.65$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3e3…d658backed Avalanche56c30.65$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.1620%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ba7…3e30backed Islanders45c30.64$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.851100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ce9…642cbacked Avalanche54c30.14$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.28250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7dce…38ecbacked Islanders50c29.91$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.914045%18 W · 22 L+3.6wins+0.09per pick36cpaid-9.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd17a…c692backed Islanders44c29.57$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.562100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+102.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7499…bf8fbacked Avalanche57c29.04$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.5510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba0a…c614backed Islanders43c28.9$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.471100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0acd…0f8ebacked Islanders44c28.55$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.931100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+126.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf922…9a38backed Islanders45c27.98$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.391100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda8f…259dbacked Islanders43c26.94$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.36366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+28.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c92…0dd6backed Avalanche57c26.81$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.28250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa579…0b16backed Avalanche58c25.86$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.19per pick55cpaid-27.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5b25…808abacked Avalanche55c25.71$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.1410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.