MLB · resolved market
Miami Marlins vs. Detroit Tigers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd789e563eeb1f29387e72d1c43524cc190e9b06f49c43ec39d5935fdaa79df02
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Detroit Tigersof Miami Marlins, Detroit Tigers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $103,897
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $111,105
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $103,897 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 159 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Miami Marlins | 45c | 11,623$5,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,225.53 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Miami Marlins | 44c | 10,000$4,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,349.86 | 133 | 49.6%66 W · 67 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…232fbacked Detroit Tigers | 56c | 7,429$4,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,268.57 | 178 | 53.4%95 W · 83 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6498…8910backed Detroit Tigers | 59c | 5,852$3,453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,399.48 | 517 | 56.5%292 W · 225 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Miami Marlins | 2c | 5,144$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.89 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd21…a494backed Detroit Tigers | 56c | 5,000$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,199.89 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Miami Marlins | 27c | 4,866$1,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,301.77 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Detroit Tigers | 56c | 3,841$2,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,701.62 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Miami Marlins | 10c | 3,756$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.16 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Detroit Tigers | 59c | 3,212$1,893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,318.81 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Detroit Tigers | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Detroit Tigers | 55c | 2,323$1,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,045.47 | 449 | 53.7%241 W · 208 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x333a…dc3fbacked Miami Marlins | 45c | 2,296$1,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,033.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Miami Marlins | 23c | 2,176$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.93 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Detroit Tigers | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 338 | 52.7%178 W · 160 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Detroit Tigers | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 274 | 51.8%142 W · 132 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Miami Marlins | 7c | 1,941$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.37 | 1,173 | 29%340 W · 833 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked Detroit Tigers | 55c | 1,799$989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.42 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed Miami Marlins | 45c | 1,367$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.01 | 262 | 45.8%120 W · 142 L | -17.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Miami Marlins | 43c | 1,201$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.48 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cea…b12dbacked Miami Marlins | 44c | 1,141$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.18 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Miami Marlins | 45c | 1,091$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.16 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Miami Marlins | 7c | 842.1$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.59 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Detroit Tigers | 58c | 819.93$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.3 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Miami Marlins | 33c | 791.23$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.54 | 310 | 39%121 W · 189 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Detroit Tigers | 76c | 711.82$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.56 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4a…eee7backed Miami Marlins | 44c | 681.82$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 308 | 44.2%136 W · 172 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Detroit Tigers | 55c | 599.99$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Detroit Tigers | 77c | 578.01$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.45 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf477…7286backed Miami Marlins | 5c | 565.8$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.29 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6076…f8fdbacked Miami Marlins | 19c | 529.91$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.81 | 142 | 43%61 W · 81 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Miami Marlins | 22c | 528.23$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.19 | 152 | 43.4%66 W · 86 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Miami Marlins | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Detroit Tigers | 57c | 492.31$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.69 | 273 | 45.4%124 W · 149 L | -13.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Detroit Tigers | 75c | 490.81$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.74 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Detroit Tigers | 77c | 456.85$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.08 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Detroit Tigers | 56c | 434.64$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.24 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc45a…5a3ebacked Miami Marlins | 7c | 404.66$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.33 | 85 | 42.4%36 W · 49 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Detroit Tigers | 56c | 334.92$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.36 | 507 | 51.7%262 W · 245 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Miami Marlins | 44c | 323.41$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.3 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8f…5259backed Detroit Tigers | 55c | 311.36$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.11 | 122 | 57.4%70 W · 52 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…fc23backed Detroit Tigers | 66c | 293.82$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.8 | 656 | 51.2%336 W · 320 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6796…453fbacked Miami Marlins | 10c | 289.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.76 | 704 | 50.1%353 W · 351 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Detroit Tigers | 56c | 286.86$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.22 | 283 | 47.7%135 W · 148 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd35e…6dc2backed Detroit Tigers | 57c | 284.47$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4824…3cafbacked Detroit Tigers | 57c | 280.57$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f68…105ebacked Miami Marlins | 44c | 278.32$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c89…3171backed Miami Marlins | 44c | 274.46$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f2c…23b1backed Detroit Tigers | 57c | 272.78$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd33d…b41dbacked Detroit Tigers | 57c | 272.78$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x967c…cf0cbacked Detroit Tigers | 57c | 272.78$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97d7…d385backed Miami Marlins | 44c | 272.52$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8540…beb9backed Miami Marlins | 44c | 270.59$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x626c…609fbacked Miami Marlins | 44c | 256.1$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Detroit Tigers | 77c | 253.01$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.24 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Miami Marlins | 45c | 240$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Detroit Tigers | 76c | 237.27$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.52 | 393 | 51.9%204 W · 189 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Detroit Tigers | 76c | 237.27$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.52 | 126 | 56.3%71 W · 55 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Detroit Tigers | 77c | 228.43$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.54 | 418 | 47.6%199 W · 219 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Detroit Tigers | 77c | 228.43$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.54 | 344 | 52.6%181 W · 163 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Detroit Tigers | 77c | 228.43$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.54 | 452 | 46.2%209 W · 243 L | -18.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed Detroit Tigers | 77c | 228.43$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.54 | 133 | 43.6%58 W · 75 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Detroit Tigers | 77c | 228.43$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.54 | 286 | 46.2%132 W · 154 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55af…6a1bbacked Miami Marlins | 44c | 222.27$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.8 | 363 | 45.7%166 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Detroit Tigers | 66c | 219.43$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.61 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0140…9510backed Miami Marlins | 45c | 214.89$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.7 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Miami Marlins | 6c | 209.72$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.61 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…f31bbacked Miami Marlins | 6c | 203.03$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee1d…ccc9backed Miami Marlins | 6c | 203.03$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Miami Marlins | 34c | 200$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked Detroit Tigers | 79c | 198.86$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.23 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe530…a2cabacked Miami Marlins | 44c | 197.67$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.98 | 415 | 49.2%204 W · 211 L | +22.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe30e…4eedbacked Miami Marlins | 9c | 196.65$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.31 | 111 | 16.2%18 W · 93 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -11%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Miami Marlins | 35c | 196$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.6 | 341 | 45.2%154 W · 187 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Miami Marlins | 16c | 180.4$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.6 | 117 | 51.3%60 W · 57 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Detroit Tigers | 56c | 173.86$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 664 | 48.2%320 W · 344 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Detroit Tigers | 67c | 172.96$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.67 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44d5…1a5bbacked Miami Marlins | 30c | 163.05$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.47 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d62…eaf3backed Miami Marlins | 44c | 160.33$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.55 | 196 | 42.9%84 W · 112 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf213…a627backed Miami Marlins | 45c | 156.87$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.59 | 689 | 42.2%291 W · 398 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10cf…1cfbbacked Miami Marlins | 45c | 156.87$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.59 | 335 | 47.5%159 W · 176 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Miami Marlins | 24c | 153.39$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.23 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Detroit Tigers | 56c | 150$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 354 | 46%163 W · 191 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8200…8444backed Miami Marlins | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 48 | 20.8%10 W · 38 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Detroit Tigers | 77c | 149.9$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.48 | 180 | 56.1%101 W · 79 L | +11.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Miami Marlins | 13c | 143.75$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.15 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Miami Marlins | 23c | 133.49$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…2dd7backed Miami Marlins | 45c | 130$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.5 | 1,277 | 43.1%550 W · 727 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked Miami Marlins | 16c | 129.39$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.01 | 609 | 41.4%252 W · 357 L | -22.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Detroit Tigers | 77c | 128.08$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.46 | 946 | 48.9%463 W · 483 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Detroit Tigers | 77c | 128.08$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.46 | 183 | 45.4%83 W · 100 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed Detroit Tigers | 77c | 128.08$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.46 | 122 | 50.8%62 W · 60 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Miami Marlins | 44c | 121.77$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.58 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1461…30a1backed Detroit Tigers | 55c | 121.65$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.41 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc982…6804backed Detroit Tigers | 56c | 119.96$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.78 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked Detroit Tigers | 56c | 117.63$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.76 | 258 | 51.9%134 W · 124 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04eb…f50dbacked Detroit Tigers | 55c | 116.76$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.54 | 187 | 54%101 W · 86 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Miami Marlins | 45c | 110.71$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.82 | 267 | 51.7%138 W · 129 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…36cfbacked Miami Marlins | 45c | 110$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 1,310 | 43.6%571 W · 739 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32de…ce27backed Miami Marlins | 45c | 110$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 636 | 44.7%284 W · 352 L | +13.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Miami Marlins vs. Detroit Tigersthis page
- Miami Marlins vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 6.5Over won
- Miami Marlins vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 7.5Under won
- Miami Marlins vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5Under won
- Miami Marlins vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-2.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-3.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-4.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Miami Marlins vs. Detroit TigersYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.