TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Hornets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 228.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$171,613
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$173,408

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $171,613 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 177 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x32ed…f960backed Over47c16,733$7,936 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,797.112,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under59c15,807$9,248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,247.651,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbe56…593abacked Under2c7,200$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120825%2 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.18per pick7cpaid+170.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1fcd…445ebacked Under2c7,200$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120425%1 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick6cpaid+25%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xceb1…bd4fbacked Under2c7,200$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120190%0 W · 19 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x79fb…c230backed Under2c7,200$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120450%2 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.39per pick11cpaid+441.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under51c6,134$3,110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,109.942,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x191a…b47dbacked Under2c6,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10060%0 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f4c…39c0backed Under2c6,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10050%0 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcab3…5e13backed Under2c5,400$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9020%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf99e…4d03backed Under1c5,100$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5480%0 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over41c5,002$2,055 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,947.695,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6eb…bc82backed Under2c4,900$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1162623.1%6 W · 20 L+4.4wins+0.17per pick6cpaid+428%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8f18…9aa7backed Under3c4,740$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.551118.2%2 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick9cpaid+10%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x929e…1715backed Under3c4,740$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.55933.3%3 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.24per pick9cpaid+96.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe4a4…ebccbacked Under3c4,740$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.55119.1%1 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick4cpaid-35.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c14…68f3backed Under2c4,500$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75100%0 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over47c3,762$1,761 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,001.253,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5886…fe3bbacked Under2c3,500$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55170%0 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94ba…001dbacked Under6c3,400$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2021010%1 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick7cpaid-17.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd7e4…15eebacked Under3c3,175$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.55416.7%9 W · 45 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick14cpaid-18.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x15ac…f3babacked Over63c3,066$1,938 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,128.051090%9 W · 1 L+3.1wins+0.31per pick59cpaid+272.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4722…2abfbacked Under6c2,500$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1531717.6%3 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick11cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d1a…0df6backed Under52c2,234$1,162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,161.5620744.9%93 W · 114 L-8.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Under46c2,104$970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$970.472,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ba3…9a44backed Under6c2,100$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1202020%4 W · 16 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick10cpaid+43.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over45c2,020$903 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,117.142,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20a3…0fcabacked Under3c1,900$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$651513.3%2 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick7cpaid+38.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x691f…b933backed Under6c1,900$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick5cpaid+42.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5df3…db0bbacked Under3c1,900$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5630%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf26f…8f93backed Under4c1,520$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.82611.5%3 W · 23 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick9cpaid-32.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc582…853cbacked Under4c1,520$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.81816.7%3 W · 15 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick8cpaid+124.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd866…55e0backed Over65c1,482$969 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$512.315863.9%101 W · 57 L+9.9wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+0.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7ca5…73bcbacked Under56c1,370$767 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$767.240451.5%208 W · 196 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12b9…6312backed Under50c1,337$668 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$668.267236.1%26 W · 46 L-5.1wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-26.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7333…ca16backed Under1c1,300$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16551.8%1 W · 54 L+0.3wins0.00per pick1cpaid+81.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Under20c1,190$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.1280440.3%324 W · 480 L+27.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Under53c1,159$614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$614.252,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over44c1,158$509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$648.226,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6617…29bdbacked Under19c1,137$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.712637.3%47 W · 79 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2480…c148backed Under8c1,100$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$892528%7 W · 18 L+4.5wins+0.18per pick10cpaid+150.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Under26c1,029$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.5178639.2%308 W · 478 L+27.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-4.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Under50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50053951.6%278 W · 261 L+20.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0979…fc8abacked Under2c1,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203619.4%7 W · 29 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick12cpaid-4.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x417e…85e4backed Under5c1,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick3cpaid+177.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over48c997.74$478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$519.59,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96ac…61e8backed Under52c971.2$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505.021850%9 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+2.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa900…5acebacked Under27c955$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.2511538.3%44 W · 71 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6bb…6b39backed Under27c954.99$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.258040%32 W · 48 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb98d…c479backed Under27c954.99$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.257441.9%31 W · 43 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x324c…93d9backed Under2c950$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5981%1 W · 97 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick2cpaid-49%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Over49c868$421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$446.7410239.2%40 W · 62 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcaeb…a226backed Under63c866.81$546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$545.871546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc63b…6e4ebacked Under17c809$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.1931238.5%120 W · 192 L+15.3wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+5.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Over50c800$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40084342.9%362 W · 481 L-39.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed Over44c792.8$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445.9218235.7%65 W · 117 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Under57c792.75$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455.7265872.8%479 W · 179 L+46.1wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf3c8…e340backed Under21c733$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.8433030.9%102 W · 228 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x796d…9551backed Under21c733$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.844835.4%17 W · 31 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-36%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb0f…b652backed Under25c725$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.9326639.8%106 W · 160 L+13.0wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9fca…e8edbacked Over28c680.96$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490.415738.6%22 W · 35 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+11.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01b4…372ebacked Under13c615$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.9529810.4%31 W · 267 L+22.5wins+0.08per pick3cpaid+230.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under52c604.7$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.843,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc14f…7d8dbacked Under52c582.72$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.012657.7%15 W · 11 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+14.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Over50c552.12$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.061,15747.9%554 W · 603 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e06…6077backed Under70c549.85$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386.61233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-39.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8e52…2320backed Over72c502.54$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.712281.8%18 W · 4 L+3.4wins+0.16per pick66cpaid+24%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf6c8…a184backed Under27c502$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.9840440.1%162 W · 242 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xab30…379fbacked Under9c500$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4630224.8%75 W · 227 L+15.5wins+0.05per pick20cpaid+43.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9309…c705backed Under10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501513.3%2 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick12cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa8ed…8bb4backed Over41c470.54$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.626046.7%28 W · 32 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Over49c446.5$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.3381349.4%402 W · 411 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbaed…5749backed Over44c415.3$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.647052.9%37 W · 33 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed Over50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20052951.2%271 W · 258 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed Over48c393.87$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.8744345.1%200 W · 243 L+2.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x863a…6ffdbacked Under51c374.34$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.9110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x986c…5842backed Over50c374.21$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.111100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7da4…f0a4backed Under10c350$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344037.5%15 W · 25 L+7.9wins+0.20per pick18cpaid+93.3%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x5cdf…8666backed Under25c346$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.6813837.7%52 W · 86 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick34cpaid-3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc74d…9690backed Under15c333$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.8423649.2%116 W · 120 L+28.6wins+0.12per pick37cpaid+27.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x3a72…0a38backed Under15c333$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.8416640.4%67 W · 99 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+13.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb40e…7cc9backed Under52c329.07$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.674025%10 W · 30 L-6.9wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-56.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xbde7…cf8abacked Under16c325$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.257326%19 W · 54 L+7.9wins+0.11per pick15cpaid+19.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4483…c565backed Under48c314.97$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.6823251.7%120 W · 112 L-0.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Under43c304.56$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.9717946.4%83 W · 96 L+8.8wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xce5f…ab17backed Under27c300$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8217748%85 W · 92 L+16.4wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+18.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under49c298.77$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.671,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x767a…a7b7backed Over67c294.06$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.04683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.32per pick51cpaid+63.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over44c263.3$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.451,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6510…36d1backed Under21c244$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.435334%18 W · 35 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick30cpaid-5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x42f2…fdb4backed Over51c228.38$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.911558.3%67 W · 48 L+8.0wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2ee7…4c1abacked Under60c220.88$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.4514852.7%78 W · 70 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91e0…26a0backed Under29c204.99$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.5245544.8%204 W · 251 L+21.8wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc9b7…93ebbacked Under60c202.83$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.613052.3%68 W · 62 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44ab…e7b6backed Over57c177.53$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.342556%14 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-4.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Under50c174.1$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.5252053.3%277 W · 243 L+29.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x00d4…4c46backed Under25c173$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.8421242%89 W · 123 L+12.8wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+8.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x99f7…1a59backed Under25c173$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.8423441.5%97 W · 137 L+13.6wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+6.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Over47c172.97$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.8393543.6%408 W · 527 L-32.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa209…d90ebacked Over48c162.46$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.277164.8%46 W · 25 L+5.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+11.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 33 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.