NBA · resolved market
Spread: Timberwolves (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb6b7e2315dc81722ecb9d50c5a51766fd1bfefd1d4e2b374a36816b8135e2017
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hornetsof Timberwolves, Hornets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,551
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,956
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,551 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Timberwolves | 29c | 1,778$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.81 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Hornets | 76c | 1,421$1,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.56 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea4…ea06backed Timberwolves | 45c | 664.01$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.8 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd9…bfe8backed Hornets | 61c | 633.08$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.9 | 657 | 62.3%409 W · 248 L | +27.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a5c…0fc2backed Hornets | 66c | 604.49$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.71 | 102 | 55.9%57 W · 45 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Hornets | 54c | 549.2$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.63 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf90…8e17backed Hornets | 62c | 544$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.83 | 474 | 36.7%174 W · 300 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0204…0e31backed Hornets | 56c | 521.57$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.49 | 289 | 49.1%142 W · 147 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Timberwolves | 43c | 465.07$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.98 | 529 | 51.2%271 W · 258 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00d5…ed84backed Hornets | 59c | 443.81$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.96 | 170 | 50%85 W · 85 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23f9…3c2dbacked Timberwolves | 44c | 439.27$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.28 | 186 | 43.5%81 W · 105 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7574…9be2backed Hornets | 59c | 413.31$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.46 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +5.7wins | +0.25per pick | 49cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4980…57febacked Timberwolves | 35c | 376.46$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.76 | 102 | 45.1%46 W · 56 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Timberwolves | 34c | 366.76$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.25 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…dd71backed Hornets | 63c | 344.08$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.31 | 102 | 56.9%58 W · 44 L | +9.1wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Timberwolves | 35c | 322.7$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.36 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1015…c873backed Hornets | 57c | 272.47$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.16 | 627 | 44.5%279 W · 348 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Timberwolves | 37c | 271.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.13 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Timberwolves | 33c | 258.37$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.79 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Timberwolves | 42c | 154.57$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.16 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfc7…7f02backed Hornets | 63c | 117.34$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.41 | 75 | 57.3%43 W · 32 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Timberwolves | 45c | 104.23$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.9 | 806 | 53.6%432 W · 374 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Timberwolves | 47c | 104$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.88 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e4…cdc1backed Hornets | 59c | 97.54$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.99 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Timberwolves | 45c | 97.17$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.73 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…f31bbacked Timberwolves | 46c | 95.56$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.75 | 146 | 40.4%59 W · 87 L | -9.5wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Timberwolves | 46c | 95.12$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.75 | 716 | 54.1%387 W · 329 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Timberwolves | 46c | 95.12$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.75 | 592 | 50.2%297 W · 295 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Timberwolves | 46c | 95.12$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.75 | 516 | 47.5%245 W · 271 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Timberwolves | 46c | 95.12$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.75 | 564 | 47.9%270 W · 294 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Hornets | 58c | 84.03$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.29 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Timberwolves | 37c | 80.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.81 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Timberwolves | 48c | 80$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72a1…1950backed Hornets | 63c | 77.08$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.18 | 381 | 52.8%201 W · 180 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd12…9debbacked Hornets | 64c | 76.32$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.47 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed Timberwolves | 46c | 76.1$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.01 | 173 | 50.3%87 W · 86 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Timberwolves | 32c | 75.48$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.19 | 1,283 | 23.4%300 W · 983 L | -178.2wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Timberwolves | 40c | 71.39$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.83 | 609 | 45.8%279 W · 330 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe777…c734backed Timberwolves | 22c | 68.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 66 | 39.4%26 W · 40 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Hornets | 55c | 67.69$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.46 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90aa…5f6cbacked Timberwolves | 42c | 67.56$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.38 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Timberwolves | 37c | 63.51$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Timberwolves | 40c | 58.49$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.25 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Timberwolves | 37c | 56.75$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 346 | 41%142 W · 204 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Timberwolves | 45c | 53.72$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.18 | 570 | 51.9%296 W · 274 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x544f…3ca1backed Timberwolves | 44c | 53.22$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.42 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Timberwolves | 40c | 51.53$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.61 | 554 | 44.4%246 W · 308 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed Timberwolves | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 533 | 39.6%211 W · 322 L | -39.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbb…727fbacked Timberwolves | 40c | 48.09$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 144 | 48.6%70 W · 74 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdca9…0898backed Timberwolves | 37c | 47.11$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.36 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -5.3wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Timberwolves | 40c | 43.19$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.27 | 211 | 49.3%104 W · 107 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae6f…6c9bbacked Timberwolves | 46c | 41.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.49 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Timberwolves | 39c | 39.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.38 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdf…b8a0backed Hornets | 65c | 37.65$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.18 | 98 | 54.1%53 W · 45 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Hornets | 55c | 34.72$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.62 | 182 | 35.7%65 W · 117 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Hornets | 60c | 33.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1970…e980backed Hornets | 51c | 29.52$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.46 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | -7.3wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Timberwolves | 40c | 29.04$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.62 | 786 | 48.7%383 W · 403 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Timberwolves | 49c | 26.02$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 553 | 47.9%265 W · 288 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked Timberwolves | 45c | 25.64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.54 | 195 | 50.8%99 W · 96 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Timberwolves | 45c | 23.21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 717 | 52%373 W · 344 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb5…2112backed Hornets | 57c | 21.86$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ca…e04dbacked Hornets | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb700…5a62backed Hornets | 58c | 19.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 176 | 60.8%107 W · 69 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71d7…86e9backed Hornets | 56c | 19.27$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.56 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -4.3wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 33 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Timberwolves (-1.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Hornets (-0.5)Timberwolves won
- 1H Spread: Hornets (-1.5)Timberwolves won
- Anthony Edwards: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 25.5No won
- Anthony Edwards: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Ayo Dosunmu: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Coby White: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Hornets vs. TimberwolvesHornets won
- Hornets vs. Timberwolves: 1H MoneylineTimberwolves won
- Hornets vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 110.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 222.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 223.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 224.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 225.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 226.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 227.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 228.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 229.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 231.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 234.5Under won
- Julius Randle: Points O/U 19.5Yes won
- Kon Knueppel: Points O/U 18.5No won
- LaMelo Ball: Points O/U 19.5Yes won
- Miles Bridges: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Rudy Gobert: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
- Rudy Gobert: Rebounds O/U 11.5No won
- Spread: Hornets (-2.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Hornets (-3.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Hornets (-4.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Hornets (-5.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Hornets (-6.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Hornets (-7.5)Hornets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.