TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Hornets (-2.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Hornetsof Hornets, Timberwolves
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$82,000
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$84,256

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $82,000 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x37c1…c53abacked Hornets54c19,968$10,785 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,183.451,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Timberwolves50c19,841$9,868 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,868.082,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Hornets50c17,102$8,547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,555.151,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1bc0…4429backed Timberwolves46c9,676$4,451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,450.9648343.7%211 W · 272 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Timberwolves51c9,244$4,714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,714.441,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00d5…ed84backed Hornets49c7,913$3,877 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,035.7417050%85 W · 85 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked Timberwolves46c7,351$3,381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,381.4328649.7%142 W · 144 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Timberwolves44c6,437$2,839 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,839.226,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Hornets51c4,945$2,517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,428.149,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Hornets53c2,500$1,325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,17522752%118 W · 109 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd529…f0d4backed Hornets53c2,091$1,103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$987.781,08563.6%690 W · 395 L+86.7wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+13%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x422c…9840backed Hornets56c2,051$1,149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$902.535831%18 W · 40 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Hornets54c2,000$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92057950.1%290 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19d8…1691backed Hornets54c1,945$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$894.6172241.4%299 W · 423 L+2.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedc8…3296backed Timberwolves47c1,482$701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700.521361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+30.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0b78…9992backed Timberwolves46c1,417$652 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$651.8220051.5%103 W · 97 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Hornets55c1,274$695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$578.634,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a7e…1cc7backed Timberwolves51c1,206$615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$615.118429.8%25 W · 59 L-6.5wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-36.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Hornets48c829.86$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431.531,25948.7%613 W · 646 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc25…4fa8backed Hornets49c791.35$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.5910849.1%53 W · 55 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21c7…cad0backed Hornets54c657.35$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.97933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-35.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa6df…dda7backed Hornets51c533.56$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.9624247.1%114 W · 128 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Timberwolves48c507.32$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.1650954.8%279 W · 230 L+14.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x986c…dbc6backed Timberwolves52c506.14$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.247651.7%246 W · 230 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Hornets54c500.01$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2301,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Hornets50c485$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.556447.9%270 W · 294 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Hornets58c482.1$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.4887750.2%440 W · 437 L-19.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2d9…0092backed Timberwolves42c459.62$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.0476250.4%384 W · 378 L+3.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Hornets78c410.01$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.328,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Timberwolves49c402$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.95,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Hornets55c358.03$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.1123553.6%126 W · 109 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a28…cf73backed Timberwolves46c343.37$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.951127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.13per pick41cpaid-40.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x81cf…9227backed Timberwolves22c342.44$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.89549.5%47 W · 48 L+5.6wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-2.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9e80…9cebbacked Timberwolves46c283$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.188248.8%40 W · 42 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+23.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf10b…2041backed Hornets48c280.42$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.7619548.7%95 W · 100 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Timberwolves46c263.41$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.933,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdca9…0898backed Timberwolves45c251.47$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.034839.6%19 W · 29 L-5.3wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-17.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Timberwolves50c251.31$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.9893543.6%408 W · 527 L-32.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2db1…45e5backed Timberwolves52c222.1$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.5824849.6%123 W · 125 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3865…fcbebacked Timberwolves46c210.35$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.7616450%82 W · 82 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7793…33a6backed Timberwolves45c209.61$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.7129344.4%130 W · 163 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed Timberwolves47c206$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.8249852.6%262 W · 236 L+15.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfce1…4f4cbacked Timberwolves52c197.63$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.7719550.8%99 W · 96 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Timberwolves52c196.36$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.1134953%185 W · 164 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0fd…e1f5backed Hornets54c194.48$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.4649351.7%255 W · 238 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3918…b552backed Hornets51c193.44$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.3914046.4%65 W · 75 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c8a…02acbacked Timberwolves52c187.99$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.7611346%52 W · 61 L-8.1wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-20.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Hornets54c180.07$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.831,38954.9%762 W · 627 L+16.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x59ce…6f07backed Timberwolves52c180$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.621347.9%102 W · 111 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Hornets51c164.46$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.181349.4%402 W · 411 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6c4…df5fbacked Hornets54c160$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.648152%250 W · 231 L+13.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Hornets49c150$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.92,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7cfa…9743backed Timberwolves46c147.99$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.084045%18 W · 22 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe7be…908dbacked Timberwolves50c116.45$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.77846.2%36 W · 42 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0258…06d0backed Timberwolves40c115.66$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.8911033.6%37 W · 73 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-29.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ee7…4c1abacked Timberwolves52c105.99$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.1114852.7%78 W · 70 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9318…22b8backed Hornets49c98.92$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.4519543.1%84 W · 111 L-12.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed Hornets55c97.3$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.7933949.9%169 W · 170 L-1.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8584…6b7dbacked Timberwolves52c95.51$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.679958.6%58 W · 41 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Timberwolves48c95.35$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.391,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x25c5…8581backed Hornets55c88.45$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.83557.1%20 W · 15 L-0.2wins0.00per pick58cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbaed…5749backed Timberwolves48c82.17$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.327052.9%37 W · 33 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Timberwolves47c81.33$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.2240750.6%206 W · 201 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ae4…7c46backed Hornets53c80.85$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3833653.9%181 W · 155 L+13.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Hornets51c76.71$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.441,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Timberwolves48c73.43$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.2455444.4%246 W · 308 L-11.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x23e7…fca5backed Timberwolves50c73.22$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.956962.3%43 W · 26 L+6.5wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+10.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Hornets49c72.63$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.063,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e6b…8a98backed Timberwolves45c68.94$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.1534641%142 W · 204 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfef5…4e98backed Hornets49c63.31$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.291936.8%7 W · 12 L-2.6wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-22.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Timberwolves49c60.37$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.7789048.8%434 W · 456 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0bec…c707backed Timberwolves52c60.13$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.2716053.8%86 W · 74 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b2c…5e10backed Timberwolves46c52.59$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.1925752.5%135 W · 122 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Hornets53c46.26$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.7455347.9%265 W · 288 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd6f…bad3backed Timberwolves27c44.25$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.056341.3%26 W · 37 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4cad…0303backed Timberwolves47c43.7$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.3811059.1%65 W · 45 L+5.3wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd774…82cdbacked Timberwolves46c40.81$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.7735551.3%182 W · 173 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Timberwolves34c39.99$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7362047.3%293 W · 327 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb870…5a8abacked Hornets53c38.55$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.1291846.2%424 W · 494 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Hornets61c35.93$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.0937753.8%203 W · 174 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcfe2…883ebacked Hornets55c35.38$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.921145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-26.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ba0…980fbacked Hornets55c35.38$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.923577.1%27 W · 8 L+5.6wins+0.16per pick61cpaid+23.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xffcf…ec0ebacked Hornets55c35.38$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.929846.9%46 W · 52 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd0e0…4d8fbacked Hornets50c34.92$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.4665950.8%335 W · 324 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd8a2…86debacked Timberwolves52c33.62$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.488646.5%40 W · 46 L-4.6wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Timberwolves56c32.53$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.221,57353.4%840 W · 733 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd62d…5992backed Hornets49c29.68$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.1337852.9%200 W · 178 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Hornets54c28.7$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.21,32249.9%660 W · 662 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x792a…7364backed Timberwolves53c27.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5821649.1%106 W · 110 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5cfc…20b7backed Timberwolves47c26.97$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.673345.5%15 W · 18 L-3.0wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-13.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Timberwolves44c26.78$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.751,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f8d…1a96backed Timberwolves48c25.15$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.169445.7%43 W · 51 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x638f…f92fbacked Timberwolves46c22.59$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3920%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f6e…6a74backed Timberwolves52c22.41$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6521651.4%111 W · 105 L-12.5wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc1e8…01a9backed Hornets55c21.23$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.55250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5b9…fc3fbacked Hornets58c20.17$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.471952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c36…e462backed Timberwolves51c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.211851.7%61 W · 57 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 33 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.