NBA · resolved market
Hornets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 225.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x319e8535a68d83ed843dfb7b2202464376be01ee190b07e6645e5085698b2354
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,561
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,970
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,561 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 52c | 2,458$1,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,189.25 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 47c | 1,952$913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$913.48 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 49c | 1,486$724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$724.08 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7333…ca16backed Under | 1c | 1,300$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 55 | 1.8%1 W · 54 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Under | 4c | 1,205$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.16 | 804 | 40.3%324 W · 480 L | +27.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Under | 2c | 1,200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 123 | 6.5%8 W · 115 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -89.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2c…dac5backed Over | 53c | 1,020$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.58 | 423 | 48.5%205 W · 218 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Under | 6c | 1,013$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.07 | 786 | 39.2%308 W · 478 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked Under | 2c | 1,000$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 80 | 2.5%2 W · 78 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -88.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed Under | 2c | 900$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 98 | 1%1 W · 97 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -49%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Under | 4c | 845.05$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.45 | 404 | 40.1%162 W · 242 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Under | 40c | 822.82$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.8 | 182 | 35.7%65 W · 117 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa900…5acebacked Under | 5c | 600$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 115 | 38.3%44 W · 71 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6bb…6b39backed Under | 5c | 600$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb98d…c479backed Under | 5c | 600$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Over | 53c | 550.08$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.54 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 47c | 456.93$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.76 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x796d…9551backed Under | 6c | 450$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -36%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…e340backed Under | 4c | 432.18$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 330 | 30.9%102 W · 228 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 47c | 392.42$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.44 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b3e…5bc0backed Over | 49c | 293.11$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.11 | 96 | 46.9%45 W · 51 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07f5…d680backed Over | 57c | 265.46$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.59 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 47c | 256.5$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.56 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x150c…cbb4backed Under | 50c | 247.41$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.73 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -38%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Under | 7c | 240$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 455 | 44.8%204 W · 251 L | +21.8wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbaac…ff10backed Over | 78c | 176.65$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.61 | 124 | 54.8%68 W · 56 L | -7.9wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 46c | 160.12$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.77 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 46c | 117.56$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.77 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd4…7401backed Under | 12c | 116$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.66 | 249 | 36.9%92 W · 157 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24e4…0478backed Over | 53c | 107.8$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.66 | 88 | 50%44 W · 44 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5aa…0058backed Over | 50c | 97$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.5 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0204…0e31backed Over | 39c | 94.1$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.64 | 289 | 49.1%142 W · 147 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x199f…7e77backed Over | 65c | 90.37$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.63 | 68 | 61.8%42 W · 26 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…9805backed Under | 47c | 80$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.6 | 229 | 42.8%98 W · 131 L | -9.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Under | 34c | 79.71$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.1 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 47c | 70.31$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.3 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf2d…e660backed Over | 51c | 66.61$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.64 | 113 | 43.4%49 W · 64 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02e7…2519backed Under | 49c | 59.35$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.08 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f28…d173backed Over | 66c | 53$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.02 | 155 | 62.6%97 W · 58 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa209…d90ebacked Over | 52c | 52.97$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.37 | 71 | 64.8%46 W · 25 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Under | 58c | 44.84$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.97 | 342 | 55.6%190 W · 152 L | +28.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +36%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 49c | 36.84$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.05 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0095…42c1backed Over | 53c | 36.67$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.24 | 219 | 52.5%115 W · 104 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 48c | 35.26$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.92 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0258…06d0backed Over | 47c | 33.37$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.56 | 110 | 33.6%37 W · 73 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Over | 60c | 31.31$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.38 | 377 | 53.8%203 W · 174 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf69b…a6ddbacked Under | 50c | 26.71$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.37 | 97 | 35.1%34 W · 63 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…8cebbacked Over | 52c | 25.89$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.43 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23e7…fca5backed Over | 57c | 25.63$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.12 | 69 | 62.3%43 W · 26 L | +6.5wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Under | 46c | 24.24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.15 | 616 | 38.5%237 W · 379 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa24f…7c58backed Over | 50c | 24.24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.21 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…3d0ebacked Under | 44c | 23.65$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.47 | 75 | 72%54 W · 21 L | +11.7wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +22%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 33 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hornets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 225.5this page
- 1H Spread: Hornets (-0.5)Timberwolves won
- 1H Spread: Hornets (-1.5)Timberwolves won
- Anthony Edwards: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 25.5No won
- Anthony Edwards: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Ayo Dosunmu: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Coby White: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Hornets vs. TimberwolvesHornets won
- Hornets vs. Timberwolves: 1H MoneylineTimberwolves won
- Hornets vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 110.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 222.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 223.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 224.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 226.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 227.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 228.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 229.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 231.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 234.5Under won
- Julius Randle: Points O/U 19.5Yes won
- Kon Knueppel: Points O/U 18.5No won
- LaMelo Ball: Points O/U 19.5Yes won
- Miles Bridges: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Rudy Gobert: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
- Rudy Gobert: Rebounds O/U 11.5No won
- Spread: Hornets (-2.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Hornets (-3.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Hornets (-4.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Hornets (-5.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Hornets (-6.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Hornets (-7.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-1.5)Hornets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.